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Friday, May 09, 2008
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| Democrats - eating their own |
| Posted by: McQ |
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I have been fascinated watching the reaction to Hillary Clinton's words about how the vote seems to be breaking down in the Democratic primary. Apparently noting the race of those she seems to be attracting and noting, simply by their number, they constitute a broader demographic, apparently has racist overtones if you listen to the likes of Joe Conason in Salon.But this time she violated the rhetorical rules, no doubt by mistake. It was her offhand reference to "working, hard-working Americans, white Americans" that raises the specter of old Dixie demagogues like Wallace and Lester Maddox. Was she dog-whistling to the voters of Kentucky and West Virginia?
While I still cannot believe she actually intended any such nefarious meaning, she seemed to be equating "hard-working Americans" with "white Americans." Which is precisely what Wallace and his cohort used to do with their drawling refrain about welfare and affirmative action. This is the grating sound of Richard Nixon's Southern strategy, even though Tricky Dick would never quite stoop to saying such things in public.
Of course, Nixon enjoyed a more commanding position politically than Clinton must now endure. She has been reduced to extolling her support from hardworking white folks — especially those who have "not completed college" — in an effort to prove that she can build a "broader coalition" in November than Obama. My goodness, in racial terms, can you draw upon two worse stereotypical bogey men than George Wallace and Lester Maddox (both solid Democrats at the time)? And invoking Richard Nixon's name is an obvious attempt to drag the racial implications over to the right side of the spectrum.
The fact remains that the class of voter Hillary Clinton is talking about, or at least a solid portion of that class, has always been Democrat. Its not like she's talking about stealing them from the Republicans. It is, in fact, the Republicans who've managed to steal them, at times, from the Democrats. They were called "Reagan Democrats" for a reason. Whether or not the appeal by both Reagan and Nixon was along racial lines is debatable. What isn't debatable is these voters are and always have been traditionally Democrats.
Black voters make up 25% of the Democratic voter base and 14% of the population. That obviously isn't enough to win an election. So the candidate who appeals to the broadest coalition of voters, one assumes, would be the best candidate for the party. What Clinton often leaves out of her pitch is the 90% support Obama enjoys among blacks. However, when he or his staff note that, no one thinks they're engaging in racial politics. It's a statistic, a way of analyzing how the vote breaks down for the candidate. It's in every exit poll we see.
So why is it, when Clinton does a similar analysis in a pitch to the party to be it's nominee, her noting the race of the supporters generates comments like this:What she should not ignore, however, is the damage that her increasingly reckless behavior is inflicting on her reputation and that of her husband — especially when she starts to sound like a reincarnation of the late George Wallace. What an absurd comparison, but at the same time a perfect example of how unable we are to talk about race and its role in politics. If Clinton's discussion is akin to that of George Wallace, then I must not remember the Wallace era as it actually happened.
While some may not like the implication that "white" workers are the "hard-working" Americans, I'm pretty sure that wasn't her intent, and even Conason acknowledges that. But it doesn't stop him from taking her to task for even suggesting some of the voting may be race based - on both sides.
Voters vote for a candidate for a variety of reasons. Noting that a particular group of a particular race and background have a tendency to vote for one Democrat over another doesn't mean that group is doings so based solely on race. Certainly some will. But then with 90% backing by black voters the same can be said in Obama's case, can't it? Why no discussion of "dog whistles" and "reputations" when that stat is thrown around?
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Category: Elections |
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
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| The Next Right |
| Posted by: Jon Henke |
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Patrick Ruffini, Soren Dayton and I are launching a new project, The Next Right.
 Soren Dayton says the "Republican Party is at a transitional point" - that the Right's "interest groups have become profoundly transactional and trivial in scope" and that we are heading for a significant reorientation.
I agree. In many ways, the Right has lost its logic. When tax rates were up to 70%, and the unintended consequences of the New Deal, Great Society programs and other social engineering policies were wreaking havoc across the economy, there was plenty of motivating energy for the Right to create and mobilize a Movement. But when, during a period of full employment and general growth, you're debating, say, whether tax rates should be 39.6% or 35.6%...well, you've got a less compelling raison d'etre for your Movement.
Meanwhile, Republicans have pursued the Iron Law of Oligarchy: it is the tendency of organization to devolve power to smaller groups of people, due to the "technical indispensability of leadership, the tendency of the leaders to organize themselves and to consolidate their interests". It's pretty basic public choice theory. Much of the DC-based infrastructure on the Right - Republican politicians, the advocacy organizations and non-profits, the massive, campaign-oriented fundraising machines that spring up in each cycle - has become the entrenched bureaucracy seeking its own promulgation.
That is not a sustainable state of affairs. The Republican Party isn't serving the Right, and the Right isn't likely to continue serving the Republican Party.
From time to time, when it becomes necessary to throw off such entrenched politicians, we must provide new guards to ensure our future security. What those new guards may be, nobody knows. But I hope The Next Right will be a useful place to discuss what the Right has become, what the Right could still be and how we can get it there.
Announcing the site, Patrick Ruffini writes...Put simply, the party, and in many cases, the movement, has lost its moorings. Earmarks exploded ten-fold, and it wasn't under a Democratic Congress. In this winter's primary, we saw the once mighty fiscal-social-national conservative coalition turned in on itself, with economic conservatives pitted against social conservatives. And too many of the "experts" in the Presidential campaigns this cycle failed to modernize the way the party does business, clinging to the old top-down rostrums of direct mail and fundraising-by-cocktail-party in an increasingly networked and crowdsourced world. [...] We're calling the site The Next Right because much of this story will be written in the future tense. Our analysis will be as much about looking ten and fifteen years down the road as it will be about dissecting the mechanics of the 2008 contest. What are the coalitions, strategies, and tactics the right needs to win again? How does the party need to change to attract a generation of voters who could very well be lost to us if we don't move fast? Where do we find the candidates who will lead a resurgent right in the 2010 and 2012 elections and beyond? ... In that spirit, we're opening the doors to anyone who wants to blog on The Next Right. Users will be able to create their own blogs on the site, an ability only a handful of conservative sites offer today. We're also looking for a great stable of front-page writers who can write smart, savvy analysis on a consistent basis - email us if you think you fit the bill. We want to open this up as much as possible. ... We don't think this alone will solve the activism gap. ... What we're hoping to do is create momentum and an intellectual framework for action - because action ultimately starts with narratives and ideas. We want grassroots conservatives and libertarians to start believing that they can make a difference again - a sense all too many have lost. ... The Next Right is about creating a vision for a 21st century Republican Party and conservative movement. Like Soren said, "I think that we have somewhat different views of what exactly this means." That's probably true. My political opinions imply nothing about Soren, Ruffini or anybody else who blogs there. Their opinions don't imply anything about my views. We probably have somewhat different views of the ideal composition of the coalition, and of what policies should, and should not, be pursued.
However, I believe we all have a pretty consistent view of what the Movement needs to do in the short term, particularly online. Where we're being crucified.
Whittaker Chambers once wrote "I am not a conservative ... I am a man of the Right." Likewise, I am neither a Conservative nor a Republican. I am a Man of the Right. Ideologically, I am a libertarian, and I believe I can be most effective on the most pressing issues by working to reorient the Republican Party in a better direction by rebuilding a Movement - The Next Right.
We'll debut the site soon. In the meantime, go there and sign up for updates and an email notification as soon as we go live.
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Category: New Media |
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| Science and models |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Or hard data vs. assumptions if you prefer:
The new study, detailed in the April 5 issue of the journal Geophysical Research Letters, marks the first time that researchers have been able to give a progress report on Antarctic climate model projections by comparing climate records to model simulations. (These comparisons have already been done for the other six continents.)
Information about Antarctica's harsh weather patterns has traditionally been limited, but temperature records from ice cores and ground weather stations have recently been constructed, giving scientists the missing information they needed.
"This is a really important exercise for these climate models," said study leader Andrew Monaghan of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Co.
Monaghan and his team found that while climate models projected temperature increases of 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit (0.75 degrees Celsius) over the past century, temperatures were observed to have risen by only 0.4 F (0.2 C).
"This is showing us that, over the past century, most of Antarctica has not undergone the fairly dramatic warming that has affected the rest of the globe," Monaghan said.
The gap between prediction and reality seemed to be caused by the models overestimating the amount of water vapor in the Antarctic atmosphere.
The cold air over the southernmost continent handles moisture differently than the atmosphere over warmer regions. Conclusion? Antarctica isn't about to melt away anytime soon, it appears, even if temperatures elsewhere on the globe do rise a bit.
The one bit of good news for the model builders:The models did, however, correctly capture the increases in snowfall over Antarctica in the late 20th century, followed by a decrease in the last decade. And, speaking of irony:One reason that Antarctica hasn't warmed as much as other parts of the globe is the existence of the man-made ozone hole overhead: It alters wind patterns, creating a swirling belt of winds around the landmass that keeps comparatively warm air from seeping in, preserving the continent's frigid temperatures.
One important exception to this rule is the Antarctic Peninsula, which has warmed by several degrees, in part because winds there draw in warmer air from the north. Well that and the volcano that vents on the Anarctic Peninsula, but you get the idea - there's still a lot to be learned before declarations like this ...The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has estimated that sea levels could rise by 7 to 23 inches (18 to 59 centimeters) globally this century, in part due to ice melt at both poles and from mountain glaciers. ... are taken at face value.
(HT: Looker)
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Category: Environment |
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| Respected in the World! [UPDATED] |
| Posted by: Jon Henke |
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When the European Union is bashing you for protectionism, you're not really that concerned about being "respected in the world", about honoring international agreements or about reducing poverty...Peter Mandelson, European trade commissioner, has said the protectionist stances taken by the US presidential candidates risk taking the world trading system back by decades.
In an interview with the BBC's Hardtalk programme to be broadcast on Thursday, Mr Mandelson said: "It is irresponsible to be pretending to people you can erect new protection, new tariff barriers around your economy in this 21st century global age and still succeed in sustaining peoples' living standards and jobs. It is a mirage and they know it." [...] Mr Mandelson said that even the rhetoric of protectionism was damaging. "It is very irresponsible in my view to pretend to people that we can disengage from international trade, we can create barriers around our economy and then be surprised when people retaliate by doing the same," he said. "It is going to lead us into a vicious spiral of beggar-thy-neighbour policies which will take us decades back in terms of trade growth." I expect the list of demands Democrats advocated under Bush and quickly abandoned under Democratic control will grow quite long.
UPDATE:
Citing Speaker Pelosi's attempts to "[exclude Republicans] from opportunities to participate in the crafting of the war funding bill" and "jam the bill" through, Rep. Randy Kuhl offers another example of the distance between Democratic promises and delivery.Speaker Pelosi also said in "A New Direction for America:"
- "Every person in America has a right to have his or her voice heard. No Member of Congress should be silenced on the floor.guaranteeing that the voices of all the people are heard."
- "Regular meetings between Chairs and Ranking Members of committees and staff should be held.
- "Members should have at least 24 hours to examine bill and conference report text prior to floor consideration. Rules governing floor debate must be reported before 10 p.m. for a bill to be considered the following day."
Well, the most recent supplemental appropriation bill is proving that these statements are raging falsities. Instead of allowing an open and transparent discussion on funding for our brave men and women serving this country, Speaker Pelosi would rather send a vital funding bill to the President without the opportunity for amendments. Contrast this with the promises of "Change" that Nancy Pelosi made in 2006...House Republicans might have their doubts, but Minority Leader Pelosi says a Democratic majority next year would place a heavy emphasis on bipartisanship — and would offer the Republicans minority rights often denied Democrats now. [...] In perhaps the biggest break from the current practices of GOP leaders, Pelosi said she would be willing to lose votes on the floor. "Absolutely," she said. "It's not about a defeat, it's about a decision. I certainly would not say that we can't bring things to the floor because we'll lose ... [Republicans] are afraid of ideas. That's why we can't have amendments, substitutes, and all the rest for the most part." She didn't mean it.
Politicians always promise Change when they're running for office. When they're actually elected to the office, they always hew to the Iron Law of Oligarchy. The problem isn't convincing politicians to say what you want them to say when they need your votes, but convincing them to follow through on it afterwards.
The Left and the Progressive blogosphere has given a great deal of thought to how to get their allies elected, but very little apparent thought to how to prevent them from becoming as bad as the politicians they replaced.
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Category: Trade |
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| Clinton - "there’s a pattern emerging here" |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Yes there is, and I want it noted that it is a pattern among Democratic voters.Hillary Rodham Clinton vowed Wednesday to continue her quest for the Democratic nomination, arguing she would be the stronger nominee because she appeals to a wider coalition of voters - including whites who have not supported Barack Obama in recent contests.
"I have a much broader base to build a winning coalition on," she said in an interview with USA TODAY. As evidence, Clinton cited an Associated Press article "that found how Sen. Obama's support among working, hard-working Americans, white Americans, is weakening again, and how whites in both states who had not completed college were supporting me."
"There's a pattern emerging here," she said. As an aside, I've always loved the characterization that blue-collar workers are the only "hard-working" Americans (that's who Clinton appeals too and is talking about).
It should be obvious that there has indeed been a continuing trend in voting in these primaries if you believe the exit polls. Clinton has picked up higher and higher percentages of white votes and Obama had 90% lock on the black vote.
Now, some would like to claim (and they will), that there is a certain level of the "Limbaugh effect" going on for Clinton. Perhaps. But the trend began establishing itself before Limbaugh's "Operation Chaos" was ever declared. And it accelerated after the Wright debacle. I'll leave it to you to decide if the shift of white Democratic voters toward Clinton is a matter of race or questions about Obama's character, but another rising exit poll statistic are those Clinton voters who declare they won't vote for Obama (and would instead vote for McCain).
Yes, it's May and such claims are easy to make, but it has to make the kingmakers in the Democratic party a little nervous anyway. And, of course, Democrats don't want to hear these points couched in racial terms:Clinton rejected any idea that her emphasis on white voters could be interpreted as racially divisive. "These are the people you have to win if you're a Democrat in sufficient numbers to actually win the election. Everybody knows that." And everyone also knows the race of those she's talking about, whether they'll admit it or not.Larry Sabato, head of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, said Clinton's comment was a "poorly worded" variation on the way analysts have been "slicing and dicing the vote in racial terms."
However, he said her primary support doesn't prove she's more electable. Either Democrat will get "the vast majority" of the other's primary election votes in a general election, he said. I mostly agree with the caveat that the "vast majority", in a tight race, may not be good enough. Of course, while the polls say now it may be a tight race, we really won't know until the Democratic nominee is named and the electorate is more focused. But this has to be - in an election year everyone predicted would see the Democratic nominee waltz into the White House - of concern to the party.
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Category: Elections |
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| Turn about fair play? |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Iran is miffed:Iranian officials accused the US and Britain of having links to a group responsible for a mosque explosion last month that killed 14 people and injured more than 200, the official news agency reported on Thursday.
Immediately after the April 12 blast in the southern city of Shiraz, Iranian officials said it was caused by a homemade bomb. Then they said:The following day, the government changed the account and said it was caused by ammunition leftover from a recent military exhibition in the mosque. Live ammunition at a military display at a mosque? The religion of peace - how appropriate is that?
Then the story changed again:But Thursday's report by the official news agency IRNA again suggested the explosion was an attack, not an accident.
"The group that planted the bomb had been in contact with some western countries, particularly Britain and the United States," IRNA quoted Intelligence Minister Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejehi as saying. Of course - why admit incompetence when you can propagandize the event and blame the Great Satan? And if it was actually a home-made bomb, why admit domestic dissatisfaction when you can blame an external enemy?Ejehi told reporters late on Wednesday that Iranian security agents have detained six suspects in the explosion. My guess is they'll end up confessing to whatever Iranian security deems most useful for their purposes.
The little dog yaps again.
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Category: Foreign Affairs |
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| King stubbornly refuses to amend his comments |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Funny, we've been pushing support for "Books for Soldiers" and Stephen King is saying, essentially, that poor readers are stuck with going in the military.
The controversy continues with King following up his former remarks with this:"I see a lot of young people who don't test well and don't read particularly well," he said. "When we ask them what they're going to do, they say go into the service. If you can read, the world is open to you, your opportunities are endless. If you can't read, your options are more limited. For low-income students with low grades, the [Armed Services] is one of their options." Obviously, to a point, he's absolutely correct. If you can read, your opportunities are much greater than otherwise.
And, just as obviously, if you can't read, your options are drastically more limited.
However, if you can't read, one of those options you'll be unable to exercise is joining the military. Sorry, illiterate need not apply because they're not going to take you.
That's what is so annoying about this repeated mantra from King - it assumes something which simply isn't true, and uses the military as the sole example of this untruth, as if going into the military is the absolute bottom of the barrel as far as choices go.
Well it may be for Stephen King (and I'd guess the military might view him in much the same way) but for any number of young men and women, it is their first choice, even when they're marvelous readers. King can't seem to wrap his head around that point. The military is also an option for high-income students with high grades, and, as statistics have shown, the vast majority of the military comes from the middle class, and as mentioned, have a higher level of high school grads than does the civilian workforce.
Had he just stopped with the claim that being unable to read limits your options while reading and reading well broadens them, he'd have been fine. But his ignorance of the military (against which, it appears, he may hold at some level of disdain), his obvious bias against it and his political views about Iraq seem to have overcome whatever message he was trying to transmit. For those who know better about the military, his original remarks ended up making King seem an ignorant fool. His continued defense of those remarks validates that conclusion.
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Category: The Left |
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Wednesday, May 07, 2008
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| The "flexible" Left |
| Posted by: McQ |
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James Kirchik - game, set and match:Open the pages of a liberal magazine or peruse the liberal blogosphere, and you're bound to come across denunciations of the religious right, if not religion itself. The "reality-based community," as self-satisfied liberal bloggers call themselves, was a term created in direct response to the "faith-based community," what the Bush administration called recipients of money from its Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives. Given the religious right's use of "faith" to justify hoaxes such as "intelligent design" and the ruinous attempt to convert homosexuals into heterosexuals, the left had good reason to criticize, and sometimes mock, the absurdities that are the inevitable result of religion mixing with politics.
Yet the left, with its healthy skepticism toward religion, has shown itself to be cynically flexible over the past few weeks in response to the utter insanities emitted from the big mouth of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Sen. Barack Obama's pastor, mentor and friend of 20 years. Suddenly, some liberals have discovered a newfound love for extremists who hide behind the cloth to justify their radical views. And of course, to observers of this phenomenon, this isn't the first time the left has been "flexible".
Bob Packwood? Run him out of town said the feminists.
The First Groper?
The sound of crickets chirping - still.
[From a parking lot in Brunswick GA with time in between appointments]
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Category: The Left |
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| Now! Hampshire |
| Posted by: Jon Henke |
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New Media political consultant Patrick Hynes has just rolled out a new site, Now! Hampshire - essentially, a citizen media project asking "citizen[s] in the Granite State to take up their pens and note pads-along with the video and audio recorders-and start a news beat of their own."
He starts it up with an interview with Sen. Sununu and an interview with Gov. Jeanne Shaheen.
It's a very good idea. The democratization of the media is a valuable development and sites like Now! Hampshire have the potential to recreate the way we think about, consume and participate in the news.
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Category: New Media |
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| NC and IN |
| Posted by: McQ |
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A very bad night for Hillary Clinton. Yes she won IN. But barely. And she was blown out it NC.
So ... what does that mean? Does the dogged and determined Democrat continue the chase, or does she give it up, given the results and bow to the seeming inevitable.
As you might imagine, the pundits and prognosticators are all over the place on this.
Coming up are two primaries in which she should do well given the demographics of each and how well they match up with her other wins. WV and KY should be Clinton country. But to what end? Even if she wins there, after last night, any ground she had made up in the popular vote was pretty much rubbed out and she certainly didn't gain in the delegate count. And, as many are predicting, she's not going to get the cash bounce she got after her more recent and more impressive wins (and there are rumors she's running short of cash again.).
Then come the reports that she's canceled all appearances on the morning shows - the equivalent of turning down free advertising for a cash strapped campaign.
You can't help but believe that the Democratic leadership has been working vigorously behind the scenes to end this bruising primary season. Indications are the Republicans are in line to be beat up rather badly in November, and these primary fights aren't at all aiding that possibility, but, in fact, are distracting from it.
Is she getting ready, finally, to pull a "for the good of the party" concession? Her 2008 political obituary has been written a number of times over the last 15 months, but she's refused to "die." I'm not sure what to make of her cancellations this morning, but for some reason, I just don't think Hillary Clinton has it in her to quit something which has been as much her obsession as it was her husband's. But watching Lanny Davis try to spin what was happening last night in a favorable way was just painful.
That said, the Clintons do seemingly have a self-delusional streak which allows them to ignore reality in favor of pursuing their goals, so, given everything I've mentioned above, I just can't see Hillary Clinton quiting this race until every opportunity and option short of quiting, has been exploited or exercised.
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Category: Elections |
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| Tracking the left’s faltering moral equivalence argument |
| Posted by: McQ |
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I mentioned the other day how the left was attempting to find McCain's Wright and Ayers. Frank Rich and Steve Chapman have made rather poor attempts. Now, apparently, Roland Martin, a CNN political commenter and journalist, feels inclined to give it a shot.
Michael Wade, at A Second Hand Conjecture, takes a look at Martin's screed and takes it apart quite handily. In the case of Wright, what most of these folks want to do is ignore the relationship of 23 years between he and Obama in order to make the equivalence work. Michael shoots it down while noting that Martin puts a twist on his argument by invoking race:Martin's analogy makes no sense, of course, which is why he simply waves his hand at the fact that Wright was Obama's pastor for twenty-some years. That's an inconvenient fact for his rant, so it's mentioned without being addressed, and instead tries to turn it into a racial issue. Martin is trying to set up the meme that Rev. Wright became and issue not because of his racist and anti-American utterings, but because he's black. The problem, however, is that picking up an endorsement from a crazy, anti-Catholic preacher is just not the same as sitting in a crazy, anti-American, white-hating, marxist-loving, Farrakhan-embracing preacher for over twenty years, not to mention personally choosing him as your spiritual mentor. The former says something about the state of politics for sure in that a candidate is essentially required to pick up such an endorsement in order to get the job. The latter says something about the candidate's judgment and choice of company and nothing about the state of politics in general (although, I believe it does say something about being in politics in Chicago). Watch for variations on this theme to continue to emerge from the left as the right continues to hammer the Wright/Obama connection. The left knows that while Democrats may have put this controversy somewhat behind them, it will indeed emerge as an issue again in the general election. And they are going to try all sorts of contorted arguments in the meantime to see if one will gain enough traction to neutralize the problem.
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Category: Elections |
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| Shameless Al Gore |
| Posted by: McQ |
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From the Business and Media Institute:Using tragedy to advance an agenda has been a strategy for many global warming activists, and it was just a matter of time before someone found a way to tie the recent Myanmar cyclone to global warming.
Former Vice President Al Gore in an interview on NPR's May 6 "Fresh Air" broadcast did just that. He was interviewed by "Fresh Air" host Terry Gross about the release of his book, "The Assault on Reason," in paperback.
"And as we're talking today, Terry, the death count in Myanmar from the cyclone that hit there yesterday has been rising from 15,000 to way on up there to much higher numbers now being speculated," Gore said. "And last year a catastrophic storm from last fall hit Bangladesh. The year before, the strongest cyclone in more than 50 years hit China - and we're seeing consequences that scientists have long predicted might be associated with continued global warming."
Gore claimed global warming is forcing ocean temperatures to rise, which is causing storms, including cyclones and hurricanes, to intensify. In fact, as we have pointed out, the oceans (as well as the global temperature) have been on a cooling trend.
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Category: Environment |
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| Books for Soldiers |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Go on over to Bithead's blog and read about the needs of "Books for Soldiers", a nonprofit which provides books and other media to members of the US Military who are on active duty.
I can tell you that it is amazing how many soldiers read on deployments. When I was a young soldier I carried a book in a waterproof bag with me everywhere and it stolen moments of rest (out of danger of course), I read. It was an escape. You can go to another place. It is a nice and necessary break.
If you're so inclined, follow the links and hit the tip jar. It is a worthy effort and a worthy cause.
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Category: Personal |
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Tuesday, May 06, 2008
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| Speaking truth to power ... |
| Posted by: McQ |
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In a real sense, and at considerable risk for doing so:Former Iranian president Mohamad Khatami was under fire from hardliners on Monday after comments interpreted as accusing the country's clerical leaders of supporting insurgents in the Middle East.
The hardline Kayhan newspaper accused the reformist Khatami of tarnishing the Islamic republic's reputation by implying it was carrying out "sabotage" work in other countries through insurgent groups.
In his speech, Khatami referred to the ambition of Iran's revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini to export the 1979 Islamic revolution around the world, but expressed fear this wish was being distorted.
"What did the imam (Khomeini) mean by exporting the revolution?" he asked in the speech Friday to university students in the northern province of Gilan, according to the Kargozaran newspaper.
"Did he mean that we take up arms, that we blow up places in other nations and we create groups to carry out sabotage in other countries? The imam was vehemently against this and was confronting it," he added.
His speech has been seen by some observers as accusing the Iranian authorities of encouraging militants to destabilize the Middle East, in particular Iraq and Lebanon. You think?! Now I have no idea whether or not Khomeini meant something else besides literally taking up arms and actually blowing up things when he talked about exporting the revolution. But there is a possibility that what he meant had to do with taking up "spiritual arms" and spreading a spiritual revolution through other means than violence. According to many Islamic scholars, that's supposed to be more in-line with the tenets of main-stream Islam.
But that's not the Iran today and the hard-liners are not pleased:"It is obvious that Mr Khatami must answer for his anti-patriotic comments and explain why he has taken such a stance," said Kayhan, whose editor-in-chief is appointed by supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
"Its only consequence has been to tarnish the shining reputation of the Islamic republic and its system, and confirm the baseless accusations of the arrogant powers," Kayhan said. "Shining reputation" indeed.
One of the things that bothers me about Iran is I think that a good portion of the leadership has come to believe its own propaganda. Call it the little dog syndrome. They don't know they're a little dog and don't seem to understand what a big dog could do to them it if got serious about a fight. So the little dog snaps, snips and prances around barking and nipping to the point that the big dog finally turns around, grabs it by the neck and makes it a quiet little dog - forever.
I've come to think that Iran believes it can handle the US in the Middle East. Not necessarily militarily, but Iran believes it has the upper hand there because of the US involvement/investment in Iraq. To a certain extent they're right. Iran believes that should the US make any untoward moves against it, Iran can upset that applecart altogether if it needs too (and it also believes that US wouldn't dare attack Iran because of that). What Iran doesn't seem to understand or comprehend is how overwhelming a reaction to its doing so might be from the US. So it keeps nipping away.
I'm also coming to the conclusion that Iran believes its shared faith with others in the ME is enough to overcome traditional racial biases within the region because the "Great Satan" is seen as a higher threat. I think Iran believes the other countries will either become allied with Iran or at least remain neutral (with obvious exceptions) should there be a confrontation between the US and Iran. And if the Great Satan isn't enough, Iran further believes that all it has to do is throw the "little Satan" (Israel) into the mix to assure cooperation.
I further believe Iran thinks that an attack by the US on Iran would be the catalyst for an Islamic revolution in which Iran would emerge as the center of that universe. I also think that and at some point (after it gains nukes?) Iran would almost welcome such an attack.
And I think it is those delusional beliefs which concern moderate Iranians like Khatami a great deal. Of course, I'm talking about the current Iranian leadership when I lay out my beliefs about Iran, not necessarily the people as a whole.
I think what Khatami foretells is a serious backlash forming among the Iranian people against the confrontational attitude among the present leadership. Khatami, because he is so well know, speaks for thousands, if not millions, who can't afford to say the things he says.
Frankly, I see Khatami's questioning of the current regime in Iran as a good sign. Hopefully he'll continue to speak out. I have no idea whether doing so will have any practical effect legally - I've seen nothing which indicates that the Iranian hard-liners would ever allow an election process that would unseat them, because I'd guess that would happen very quickly if they did. So I wonder if the only remaining way for the Iranians to moderate the leadership of their country is extralegally?
Rest assured of one thing, though - and many people have a tendency to forget this when talking emotionally about what we ought to do there - The quickest way to turn the dissatisfied and disgruntled with their country into patriots is to have their country attacked by a foreign power. Whenever a country and its leadership can point to an external enemy, you'll rarely, if ever, see them clamoring for change internally.
That makes it a tough row to hoe for us, certainly. So we need to be supporting people like Khatami and other dissident groups and get what they say out for others to see and read. We need to find a way to destabilize Iran as Iran is attempting to destabilize much of the ME. That, as far as I'm concerned is eminently fair. That is the way to wage war against that little dog and shut it up for good.
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Category: Foreign Affairs |
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| The left’s blindspot |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Dan Collins at Protein Wisdom is monitoring a bit of femfighting (he labels it a "Fempest") going on in the liberal side of the blogosphere.
It appears Amanda Marcotte has again found herself in a controversy, this time, per Collins allegedly "stealing ideas from women-of-color feminist bloggers and peddling it as her own."
The usual and predictable narratives come into play, including a prominent helping of victimology based solely on color.
It rolls on from there with an often hilarious back-and-forth that, as usual, seems to have no inkling of the ironic nature of the discussion.
Don Surber capsulizes the point that seems to always elude the left:[I]t is ... another example of how white liberals deal with people of color. We had John Cole and others using the N-word, rationalizing this obscenity as what Republicans "really meant to say" regarding Democratic Sen. Barack Obama.
Or the insertion of the N-word into a 15-year-old documentary to make Democratic Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign staff sound racist. How un-post-racial.
And of course the reaction to Scooter Libby's sentencing - "don't drop the soap" - is one of the many, many, many examples of lefty homophobia. Check out the first comment. Prison rape is a joke to many liberals.
Too many liberals (far from all) act as if their sexism, racism, homophobia and misogyny do not count because they are liberals and by definition cannot be racist or sexist or homophobes or misogynists. They are rarely further from the truth. And they always seem totally surprised when someone calls them on their hypocrisy.
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Category: The Left |
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| McCain - jobs Americans won’t do |
| Posted by: McQ |
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During a campaign stop in NC yesterday:Several audience members questioned McCain about his stance on immigration, though their perspectives ranged from complaining about immigrants returning to the U.S. after being expelled for criminal activity to arguing Americans do not want the jobs immigrants perform.
"People don't say to their children, 'I want you to get an education so you can grow up and be a roofer,'" said one woman. "We don't have people who want to do those jobs." In apparent agreement:McCain said he understood the need for qualified foreign workers, adding he believed the U.S. could only solve this intractable political problem by "securing the borders first" and then moving forward with more comprehensive reform. "I don't think you can take it piecemeal," he told the questioner. Yes, agreed, there is a need for qualified foreign workers - but not for the reason the woman states or McCain agrees too. Part of any plan to fix immigration must - must - include a vastly streamlined system for allowing foreign workers entry and the ability to ensure they can be tracked.
But I don't know how you agree with the woman's point that "we don't have people who want to do those jobs". If the cards I find in my mailbox weekly are any indication, there are many Americans who would love to put a roof on my house, do any drywall or carpentry work I might have a need for and painting - no job is too small, or so they claim.
While I recognize that what she says about "being a roofer" isn't necessary a parent's dream for their child, it doesn't follow that because that's not their dream, it isn't a job Americans want or won't do.
The larger point about ensuring a supply of qualified foreign labor to fill the gaps where our supply isn't adequate (remember we've had 4% unemployment for a few years even with a illegal immigrant population which numbers in the millions) is valid. But can we get off this rationalization that foreign workers are necessary primarily because they do jobs Americans don't want to do?
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Category: Immigration |
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| Are we again getting two for one? (update) |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Christopher Hitchens asks about the unanswered questions still hanging out there about the Obama/Wright relationship:What can it be that has kept Obama in Wright's pews, and at Wright's mercy, for so long and at such a heavy cost to his aspirations? Even if he pulls off a mathematical nomination victory, he has completely lost the first, fine, careless rapture of a post-racial and post-resentment political movement and mired us again in all the old rubbish that predates Dr. King. What a sad thing to behold. And how come? I think we can exclude any covert sympathy on Obama's part for Wright's views or style-he has proved time and again that he is not like that, and even his own little nods to "Minister" Farrakhan can probably be excused as a silly form of Chicago South Side political etiquette. All right, then, how is it that the loathsome Wright married him, baptized his children, and received donations from him? Could it possibly have anything, I wonder, to do with Mrs. Obama? Hitchens says he doesn't think or see any indication that Obama actually buys into the Wright poison. So what, or who, kept him in that church for those two decades? Who had the influence to do that if it wasn't Wright.
Hitchens says the answer is fairly clear when you dig into it a bit. And it certainly isn't an answer Obama, and for the most part, reporters, are going to want to explore:If there is a reason why the potential nominee has been keeping what he himself now admits to be very bad company-and if the rest of his character seems to make this improbable-then either he is hiding something and/or it is legitimate to ask him about his partner? And why does Hitchens go in that direction? Remember that 1985 thesis Michelle Obama wrote while at Princeton entitled "Princeton-educated Blacks and the Black community?" Hitchens is of the opinion the answer to why Barack Obama stayed in Wright's church may be found there:Anyway, at quite an early stage in the text, Michelle Obama announces that she's much influenced by the definition of black "separationism" offered by Stokely Carmichael and Charles Hamilton in their 1967 screed Black Power: The Politics of Liberation in America. That, of course, is the sort of black "separationism" which neatly fits in with the Rev. Wright's black liberation theology ala James Cone. And Michelle Obama's campaign rhetoric at certain times has belied a degree of bitterness about her country which many find hard to fathom, given her rather privileged upbringing and schooling.
So it seems rather logical and reasonable -given the evidence- to wonder whether perhaps the influencer here is Michelle Obama and that Wright is just the result of that influence.
Hitchens says:I have the distinct feeling that the Obama campaign can't go on much longer without an answer to the question: "Are we getting two for one?" And don't be giving me any grief about asking this. Black Americans used to think that the Clinton twosome was their best friend, too. This time we should find out before it's too late to ask. We'll see, won't we?
UPDATE: Powerline has a variation on the theme.
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Category: Elections |
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| The populist Clinton promises to take on OPEC |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Great populist rhetoric, but I'd love to know how she plans to "go right at OPEC". "We're going to go right at OPEC," she said. "They can no longer be a cartel, a monopoly that get together once every couple of months in some conference room in some plush place in the world, they decide how much oil they're going to produce and what price they're going to put it at," she told a crowd at a firehouse in Merrillville, IN.
"That's not a market. That's a monopoly," she said, saying she'd use anti-trust law and the World Trade Organization to take on OPEC. She claims she'd use our "anti-trust law", but I don't see that as having any effect on a cartel who would not find any difficulty selling its product elsewhere if we decide to make it difficult to sell it here. And, frankly, it shows a pretty significant ignorance (or she assumes a level of ignorance by voters) of how world markets work - cartel or no cartel.
Secondly, I'm not sure what the WTO can do to a cartel which essentially has functioned under its "watchful eye" for decades. Again, the cartel has all the cards and the WTO, when it gets down to brass tacks, has no real power.
But it certainly is fun stuff to spout when you really don't have any idea of how to have actually have an effect on gasoline prices (well except the obvious - drill, drill, drill, exploit, expolit, exploit) and your sole "plan" is to sell the vapor-ware of 'alternative fuels' and "windfall profits taxes" which will drive the price of gas even higher.
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Category: Elections |
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Monday, May 05, 2008
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| A different type of speed reading |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Have you ever been reading something and hit a line or a phrase that so stuns your sensibilities, that you aren't sure you really read it right? And then, of course, you reread it. You find you were right the first time. But somehow your brain just couldn't accept as credible what this author had said and so made you think you must have misread it.
Here's an example of that. An article entitled "Bill Clinton may be campaign's biggest loser", caught my eye. I was interested to see how the author was going to attempt to make that case.
But before he ever got to Bill, he talked about Hillary. He feels that she still has a future if she isn't the nominee. And it was while talking about her future he made a comparison that just stopped me in my tracks:In time she will have fresh opportunities; perhaps a Senate leadership role, or she may emulate Edward M. Kennedy as a truly great lawmaker, or, if Obama loses, make another run for the White House with lessons learned. *blink*
Did he really say that?
[reread]
Oh my. Edward Kennedy as a "truly great lawmaker?" That's a bit like claiming John Kerry was a truly great naval officer. Or Jimmy Carter was a truly great president.
*click*
Website closed - no remaining desire whatsoever to read this guy's opinion on anything else (and yes, I know I'm setting myself up for someone to say "that's mostly what I do with your stuff" - but of course, he or she will have already read to this point in order to make that claim, so I'll live with it). Interestingly enough, I'm finding more and more of these examples as I prowl the net.
Oh, and the fact that this guy was the Washington executive editor for Bloomberg, didn't come as a particularly shocking surprise.
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Category: Media |
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| Iraq - picking sides? |
| Posted by: McQ |
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Michael Yon explains what is happening in Iraq concerning the Mahdi army and our involvement in the fight with them. He explains why it is important, why it is different than fighting AQI and why our determination to help disarm them will most likely pay off in a more peaceful Iraq (although we may see a spike in US casualties).
That prompts Joe Klein< | | |