The nation’s long period of below-trend economic growth extends into its sixth year. 2Q GDP was only 2.3% annualized. The GDP Price Index is also restrained once again, at 2.0% annualized.
Initial weekly jobless claims rose 12,000 to 267,000. The 4-week average fell 3,750 to 274,750. Continuing claims fell 1,000 to 2.255 million.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell a steep -1.9 points lower to 40.5 in the latest week.
The Fed’s balance sheet fell $-15.0 billion last week, with total assets of $4.486 trillion. Reserve bank credit fell $-4.5 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $18.3 billion in the latest week.
The MBA reports that mortgage applications rose 0.8% last week, with purchases down -0.1% and refis up 2.0%.
The Pending Home Sales index unexpectedly fell a sharp -1.8% in June, to 110.3. Analysts expected a 0.4% increase.
The Fed took no interest rate action at the today’s FOMC meeting and saw no change in the pace of “moderate” economic growth.
Ezra Klein of Vox interviews Bernie Sanders. Meh. Nothing particularly newsworthy there. But in the process of this softball interview, the question of immigration comes up. Read the exchange:
You said being a democratic socialist means a more international view. I think if you take global poverty that seriously, it leads you to conclusions that in the US are considered out of political bounds. Things like sharply raising the level of immigration we permit, even up to a level of open borders. About sharply increasing …
Open borders? No, that’s a Koch brothers proposal.
Of course. That’s a right-wing proposal, which says essentially there is no United States. …
But it would make …
Excuse me …
It would make a lot of global poor richer, wouldn’t it?
It would make everybody in America poorer —you’re doing away with the concept of a nation state, and I don’t think there’s any country in the world that believes in that. If you believe in a nation state or in a country called the United States or UK or Denmark or any other country, you have an obligation in my view to do everything we can to help poor people. What right-wing people in this country would love is an open-border policy. Bring in all kinds of people, work for $2 or $3 an hour, that would be great for them. I don’t believe in that. I think we have to raise wages in this country, I think we have to do everything we can to create millions of jobs.
You know what youth unemployment is in the United States of America today? If you’re a white high school graduate, it’s 33 percent, Hispanic 36 percent, African American 51 percent. You think we should open the borders and bring in a lot of low-wage workers, or do you think maybe we should try to get jobs for those kids?
I think from a moral responsibility we’ve got to work with the rest of the industrialized world to address the problems of international poverty, but you don’t do that by making people in this country even poorer.
OK, you can quit laughing now. Klein caught flat footed and gasping. Sanders echoes exactly what the right has been saying while at the same time trying to put the blame on … the right.
Yeah, no sale Bernie, but the rest? Right on. Nailed it. Oh, and about that $15 minimum wage … yeah, you just killed it.
In reality Bernie likens businesses who want cheap labor with the “right wing”. Hardly true but for many on the left, business = “right wing”.
However, to categorically call “open borders” a “right-wing” idea is simply absurd. It certainly isn’t the right in this country pushing for amnesty and open-borders (well, except for some establishment GOP types). It isn’t the right-wing that has established sanctuary cities. And it definitely isn’t a right-wing federal administration refusing to enforce immigration laws.
But you all knew that.
So what is Bernie telling us with all this nation-state talk? That maybe, its really a form of “national socialism” he prefers?
Oh, wait …
The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index fell -0.2% in May, catching analysts by surprise. The Index is up 4.9% on a year-ago basis.
July’s PMI Services Flash reading is up 0.4 points from the June final, coming in at 55.2.
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell sharply lower in July, falling to 90.9 from 101.4 in June.
The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for July came in above analysts’ expectations, rising 7 points to a reading of 13.
The State Street Investor Confidence Index for July fell sharply to 114.6 from June’s unusually high reading of 127.0.
Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales continued to fall, down to 1.0% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 1.2%.
As you’ll see it’s as unachievable and utopian as all the other “clean energy” plans we’ve heard. In fact, IBD calls it a “farce”. And rightfully so.
Why? Well here are the basics:
Clinton says she has two big goals that she’ll start working on “day one” to combat climate change. First is to expand solar energy supplies by 700% by installing half a billion solar panels by 2020. Second is to power “every home in America” with renewable energy by 2027.
She describes these as “bold national goals.” The more appropriate label is “expensive pipe dream.”
Again, the latter description is more apt. Consider the goal of half a billion solar panels by 2020. That’s 5 years from now, folks. We all know that solar panels are a) expensive and b) don’t live up to their billing as to making us energy independent (well unless we are willing to carpet every sun touched surface on our house and property with them). So how will she accomplish this goal? Well, with your tax dollars (or borrowing) of course. Subsides, tax credits, outright grants, subsides to solar panel manufacturing and big government projects that install millions of panels in desert areas (Environmental impact? Only pipelines have that.).
My goodness, haven’t we done this before? And what’s that popular definition of “insanity”?
Also consider that perhaps the cleanest renewable energy, one that has contributed most to the use of renewable energy, is hydroelectric energy (46%). That source has been in decline due to pressure from environmental groups. We have less hydroelectric power now than we did in 2000. And that trend is likely to continue.
Biomass comes in second (9%) and is also in disfavor with environmental groups (greenhouse gasses).
That leaves three “renewable” sources – geothermal, solar and wind. Between the three, they currently contribute just “6.7% of the nation’s electricity capacity, according to the Energy Department.” In total, we have about 15% of our energy from all renewable sources. So you get an idea of how small the contribution of these three really are.
While Clinton didn’t say much about the other two, wind is a favorite of the renewable energy crowd. The problem with both wind and solar is the usual – powerful environmental groups oppose both. Especially groups concerned with the negative impact on wildlife they’ve demonstrated. It is no secret that both wind installations and large solar instillations are abattoirs for wildlife, especially birds.
So how likely is a President Clinton to see this bit of campaign positioning come to fruition? Well thankfully not very. It’s a slapdash bit of campaign nonsense. It is pure pandering with no hope of realization. It is the usual political campaign “policy” making that is all talk with no walk. It has no possibility of being realized and is just thrown out there to feed the base and keep them happy. It is the underpants gnomes in action.
It doesn’t even stand up to casual scrutiny. But don’t worry, her base has no reason for even casual scrutiny. If she said it, they believe it and that ends it.
Meanwhile, upon finishing her delivery of this devilish clever energy plan, she boarded her private jet and smoked off to her next destination.
Durable goods orders rose 3.4% in June, with ex-transportation orders up 0.8%. On a year over year basis, orders are down -2.8% overall, and -4.5 ex-transportation.
The Dallas Fed Manufacturing survey shows a bit less negativity in July, rising 2.4 points to -4.6.
New home sales in June plunged -6.8% to a 482,000 annual rate. Prices were also soft, at a median $281,800, down -1.8% year-on-year.
The PMI Manufacturing Index Flash for July came in at 53.8, which is very close to the final June reading of 54.0.
The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index continues to show deep contraction, though it rose to -7 from -9 in July.
The Conference Board’s Index of Leading Indictors rose 0.6% in June, pushed higher by a surge in Housing Permits.
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index moved back into positive territory in June, rising from -0.17 to 0.8.
Initial weekly jobless claims fell a startling 26,000 to 255,000, a 42-year low. The 4-week average fell 4,000 to 278,500. Continuing claims 9,000 to 2.207 million. Auto retooling, and temporary layoffs, always make jobless claims a very tricky number in July.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index dropped -0.8 points lower to 42.4 in the latest week.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose $11.7 billion last week, with total assets of $4.544 trillion. Reserve bank credit rose $12.0 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $5.9 billion in the latest week.