Free Markets, Free People

Iran: Khameni Speaks

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, head of the all powerful Guardian Council, gave his much anticipated speech in Iran today.

He effectively closed any chance for a new vote by calling the June 12 election a “definitive victory.”

The speech created a stark choice for opposition candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi and his supporters: drop their demands for a new vote or take to the streets again in blatant defiance of the man endowed with virtually limitless powers under Iran’s constitution.

This also leaves Mousavi with a very stark choice – back off and essentially support the regime, or put himself in a position to become an enemy of the regime. But what seems fairly clear is Khamenei isn’t going to sanction a new vote nor is he going to accept a different outcome. As proof of that, Khamenei essentially waves away the charge of voting fraud:

Khamenei said the 11 million votes that separated Ahmadinejad from his top opponent, Mousavi, was proof that fraud did not occur.

“If the difference was 100,000 or 200,000 or 1 million, one may say fraud could happen. But how can one rig 11 million votes?”

Of course we all know the arguments against this probability – i.e. Iran uses all paper ballots, polls were open until midnight and within hours the final results were announced (with skeptics pointing out it was physically impossible to count those ballots that quickly).

As was expected, Khamenei echoed the Ahmadinejhad charge of foreign (external) interference:

Khamenei blamed foreign media and Western countries of trying to create a political rift and stir up chaos in Iran.

“Some of our enemies in different parts of the world intended to depict this absolute victory, this definitive victory, as a doubtful victory,” he said, according to an official translation on state TV’s English-language channel. “It is your victory. They cannot manipulate it.”

Khameni’s speech sets up the possibility of a real confrontation between the regime and protesters:

Amnesty International said it was “extremely disturbed” by the speech, saying it indicated the “authorities’ readiness to launch violent crackdowns if people continue to protest”.

Amnesty says latest reports suggest that around 15 protesters have been killed and hundreds more injured or arrested by security forces.

A protest is scheduled in Tehran for tomorrow:

Demonstrators calling for a new election earlier vowed to stage fresh protests on Saturday.

But the governor of Tehran province, Morteza Tamadon, has said no permission has been given for such a rally and he hoped it would not be held.

The question, of course, is how will the regime react. Allahpundit at Hot Air has posted some interesting information about a rumored purge supposedly happening within the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. If true they indicate that the regime is planning a violent and lethal crackdown of the protesters.

Developing…

~McQ

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5 Responses to Iran: Khameni Speaks

  • Khamenei is, plainly, a misogynist a**hole. Period.

    What bothers me is that The Clown™ in the White House is as silent as a dead mule when it comes to opposing these thugs. I wonder why. Bribery? Crass stupidity? It has to be for a reason. Naiveté? Lack of foreign policy experience? After all, before she fell, Hillary Clinton had also said virtually nothing about the crisis. She was also as silent as a dead mule. Maybe that “Lack of foreign policy experience? After all, before she fell, Hillary Clinton had also said virtually nothing about the crisis. She was also as silent as a dead mule. Maybe that “3 AM” commercial that she ran against The Clown™ last year was more right than even she believes now.

    On another front, support for the ObamaCare℠ Socialist Takeover of the Health Care Industry is dropping precipitously, and is now less popular than the ClintonCare baloney from 1993-94. Don’t believe me? Check out the newest poll:

    http://people-press.org/report/?pageid=1534

    Remember that Clinton’s socialist grab in 1993-94 cost the Democrats the majority in the House and Senate in 1994. Maybe the stars are aligning again, as I have predicted.

  • I doubt that Khomeini would make a speech like that and not take the obvious steps– a direct and very brutal effort to quell any dissent quickly and viciously.  He has thrown down the gauntlet, and backing away now would probably be the end of the regime.
     
    Once again, this is a great opportunity for the present administration to speak up and openly and clearly pressure the Iranian regime, or at least make it plain that you support the protests and disclaim the election results as invalid.  Best outcome- the regime is overthrown.  Worst outcome- the regime survives and you’re pretty much where you are right now (and where you will be if you don’t take a stand).
     
    I don’t think that Obama will take that stance, he will continue on the present course– try to play it down and ignore it as much as possible, be non-committal when pressed for a reaction, and wait for events to play out before finally making a definitive statement.  And that statement will probably be conciliatory towards the mullahs, who will have regained control and will continue to fling dirt at the USA and the President.
     
    It’s depressing.

  • America – 1775

    France – 1789

    India – 1947

    Poland – 1989

    Iran – 2009?

  • Unfortunately,  if Iran’s people want freedom, they’re going to have to fight for it. There have been instances in the past where revolutions have happened bloodlessly as the ruling powers realized that the cards were stacked against them and relinquished power quietly. However, Khameni’s comments today plainly show that the mullahs and the Basiji thugs that keep them in power aren’t going to go away quietly.
    There are now but two essential questions remaining to be answered:
    1) Do the reformists have the stomach for a street fight, possibly leading to a full-scale civil war?
    2) If so, are there significant elements within the army and the Revolutionary Guards who will refuse orders to attack the demonstrators, even switching sides and bringing their guns with them?
    If the answer to both of these questions turns out to be “yes”, then Iran’s ruling theocracy’s days may be numbered. But without more guns of their own, the opposition, despite it’s sizeable advantage in numbers, can never hope to topple the current government.