Free Markets, Free People

House Votes Not There To Pass Health Care

Despite all the spin by pundits and all the assurances by Nancy Pelosi, Drudge is reporting that the House Whip is claiming the votes to pass the House’s version of health care reform aren’t there at the moment.

At least 44 more moderate Members of the Democrat Caucus have gone on the record in opposition to the current health care bill in the House, a Hill source claims. Likewise, at least 57 liberal Members of the Democrat Caucus have gone on the record saying they will vote against a health care bill without a strong public option.

Unless multiple Democrats flip on their stated position on health care, Speaker Pelosi lacks the votes to pass a bill through the House on the strength of Democrat votes alone.

Obviously, as noted, that is contingent upon those Democrats oppossing the bill remaining in opposition and it requires no Republicans vote for the bill. Of course the arm twisting hasn’t really begun in earnest but the key phrase here is “have gone on record”. Normally that isn’t done with the expectation of backing down, “flipping” and handing your election opponent a gold-plated hammer to pound you flat with in ’10.

Interesting stuff.



2 Responses to House Votes Not There To Pass Health Care

  • Here’s a question for you Bruce:

    How would this playout if the US had a pariliamentary system where party members must vote along party lines or else get kicked out of caucus?

    Do you think your current system could evolve in that direction?

    • Not really. You can kick whomever you want out of a caucus for not voting on a certain issue the way you want them too, but at some point in the future you’re going to needed their vote again. If you’re the minority party it’s a more likely to be a critical need for you than for the majority party.

      Our system is, at best, parties which are loose coalitions based on broad ideological principles where it is clear that agreement isn’t necessarily 100% across the board.