Indie voters approval of Obama’s job performance drops to 38%
One of the things many election analysts continue to cite as a hopeful sign for Democrats in the upcoming mid-term elections is the fact that Obama’s approval rating has remained fairly high.
The thinking, then, is the vote won’t be about him or his agenda and that means Democrats may be successful in keeping the focus local and weathering the storm of electoral anger.
I don’t think so. And here’s why:
Thirty-eight percent of independents approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, the first time independent approval of Obama has dropped below 40% in a Gallup Daily tracking weekly aggregate. Meanwhile, Obama maintains the support of 81% of Democrats, and his job approval among Republicans remains low, at 12%.
That’s right – those that have the power to swing any election have mostly fallen out of love with Obama. And, one would assume, that would be driven by what he has done or not done as the case may be. But the point is 4 months before these crucial elections, only 38% of the group that secured him in office still approve of him and the job he’s doing.
You don’t think that will reflect in November?
Democrats and the left, of course, have no where to go but they can stay home – and I think many will. The Republicans and the right are fired up and energized. They’re going to turn out. Whether or not independents turn out or not, it appears they will not be overwhelmingly supporting Democrats because of “good approval ratings” for the president. In fact, the opposite case can be compellingly made.
I think it is becoming increasingly obvious to everyone, to include Congressional Democrats, that the GOP will win seats in both chambers of Congress. The only thing left to guesswork is how many.