So how is November looking for the two parties?
Well, the POLITICO is reporting that, against all odds, the Democrat’s Senate majority may be in jeopardy. Apparently,a Republican polling firm, looking at 13 of the races, found them all to be within the margin of error (however the poll was so small that margin of error is huge). Another – American Crossroads – came up with similar results in a larger poll. As POLITICO points out, both together do suggest there’s an opening for Republican Senate candidates that wasn’t really visible previously. All 13 hot races seem to be very, very competitive.
Then there’s the House. Gallup has the generic Republican up by 6, 49% to 43%. In terms of the "generic" polling, that’s a huge gap. And watching the Democrats thrash around for something to run on beside their record tells you pretty much all you need to know about how the House should go.
Also in play are 37 governor’s races. Scott Walker, a Republican candidate for governor in WI, makes the point that has elected other governors like Chris Christie of NJ – “austerity is ‘in’”.
And the focus of the people – almost all the people – is the economy. Most are in no mood, given the shape of the economy, to hear about grand new spending programs or the cost of more government. What they are interested in hearing about is how government is going to get its books balanced without again reaching into their wallets.
That naturally plays much better for Republicans than most Democrats. Consequently you could see a good majority of those governor’s races going to the GOP.
So to answer my question in the title – not so hot for the Dems, looking pretty darn good for the Reps. Of course, winning is step one for the GOP – if they don’t step up and do whatever is necessary to rein in this government, cut spending and work toward reducing the debt, they’ll be looking at a bloodbath as well, two year’s hence.
There’s very little patience among the populous these days. For the GOP, be careful of what you wish for.