Free Markets, Free People

Obama’s dead cat bounce for the OBL death is gone

That according to Gallup:

The bump President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden more than two weeks ago in Pakistan has vanished completely, according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll released Monday.

Obama’s approval rating is now at 46 percent, equal to his approval rating in the last tracking poll conducted before Obama addressed Americans late on May 1 and informed them of bin Laden’s death. Forty-four percent of Americans now disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president.

According to the Gallup poll, Obama’s approval rating crested at 52 percent after the bin Laden killing. His disapproval rating never fell lower than 40 percent.


Obama’s bounce is smaller in magnitude and shorter in duration than the bumps enjoyed by other presidents over the past 70 years, according to a study by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For example, George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 — a bounce that lasted seven weeks.

“It’s the economy, stupid”:

The poll also comes the same day as Gallup announced that three in four Americans "name some type of economic issue as the ‘most important problem’ facing the country today — the highest net mentions of the economy in two years. Those numbers, combined with Obama’s fleeting boost, suggest the economy remains — by far — the dominant issue of the 2012 presidential campaign.

“Yea, we got Osama.  But I still don’t have a job, the economy sucks, we’re in debt up to our ears and you’re trying to find more and more ways to take more and more money from me because of your profligacy.  What are you going to do about that?”

I think that’s a fair statement of what the 2012 election will turn on.  And I also believe Obama is beatable.  But not with the current declared crop of candidates on the GOP side.


Twitter: @McQandO


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21 Responses to Obama’s dead cat bounce for the OBL death is gone

    • A study by economists Timoth Conley and Bill Dupor now finds that the “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” — the “stimulus” program — created and saved about 450,000 state and local government jobs and destroyed or prevented about 1,000,000 private sector jobs.
      Summary:  450,000-1,000,000 = -550,000 jobs

  • WHAT are you talking about?

    The AP just reported that Obama’s overall approval is at 60%, and that 52% approve of his handling of the economy!

    And the AP wouldn’t engage in push-polling, would they?

    Would they?

    • You mean that poll of some far away land where there are twice as many Democrats as Republicans.
      If Gallup didn’t sell their services, I might be inclined to believe them, but in 2012, Democrats will be watching the polls even more than Republicans, hence Gallup knows here their bread is buttered.

      • At some point even Democrats will give up on Obama’s plan for recovery. Then only government employees will approve his handling of the economy.
        However, the GOP should be very careful to let the public know that any structural changes that are made for our long-term good will have significant short-term pain.
        I have a suspicion Christie will be the one doing this after he wins in 2016 after a disastrous Obama 2nd term.
        Though Obama has been triangulating lately, at least for media consumption…so who knows.

  • George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 — a bounce that lasted seven weeks

    We at least got some footage of Saddam before they went and hung him .. even some cellphone video of Saddam being hung.
    In this world of mass media, a complete media blackout, followed by multiple contradictory stories of what transpired, has lead to a recent poll that has 19% believing that UBL is still alive, even after al Qaedq said he was dead.
    Putting aside the actual raid that seems to have gone relatively well (but I have no way to prove that either), this PR event was a fiasco of epic proportions. Obviously, the TOTUS must have been on vacation.

  • Obama will continue his slide.  It is dialed in, via simple cause/effect.
    Anybody…at all…going to buy into Recovery Summer v.2.0

    • I believe in Recovery Summer.  Through the outstanding leadership of Barack Obama, we can expect unicorns and gold bullion to be laying on both sides of the streets by Election Day.

  • Captain Bullsh*t and his cheerleaders badly misplayed a winning hand.  Who among us isn’t happy that bin Laden is fishfood?  Who among us doesn’t give credit to Captain Bullsh*t for this?


    Who among us was not then disgusted with his “I’m not spiking the football while I’m spiking the football” combined with the amateurish mishmash of stories about what happened combined with the fawning praise from his worshippers in MiniTru topped off with the bend-over-backward-to-be-respectful treatment of bin Fishfood’s body? 

    In comparison with Bush / Saddam, I also suggest that there was never any question that Bush was after Saddam; getting him was the expected outcome.  Captain Bullsh*t has hardly mentioned bin Fishfood since the campaign, so it’s sort of a surprise that we got him.  “Hurrah!  You got him.  Um… sort of thought you’d… well… forgotten about him, actually.”

    Finally, Captain Bullsh*t has that idiot Bagman out there swearing to investigate and prosecute the very CIA officers whose work led to the death of bin Fishfood.  Dude, whose side are you ON????

    • Side???…post-modernists don’t have sides…
      Think Mobius Loop…

    • That’s a real gutsy call there docjim505

      • Let me be perfectly clear, that, as I’ve said many times in the past, that teleprompter error 14 fatal error contact technical support.

        [Mussoline chin tilt]

  • The Democrats biggest mistake was to think the economic crisis was cyclical and that a big stimulus would work. They thought that they had “taken care” of the economy after passing the stimulus. Big mistake.

    • The new reality of the economy is that a recession is the economy indicating that there needs to be a restructuring of the status quo, but the “stimulus” say we have to get back to the status quo.  Any 5th grader, told that the economic system is awash with “toxic assets,” would know that sticking with the status quo is a slow death.
      This wasn’t your usual recession where the balance of supply and demand, and the speed of the economy need to be put back into balance.  This rather was an economic system awash in “toxic assets” that were no longer liquid.  The secondary effects were that the bubble created from the toxic assets had created a faux prosperity.  Faced with these two demands for a restructuring, the economic BS artists (often referred to as economists) failed miserably in offering a “stimulus” as a solution.

      • Don’t forget the Enviroterrorist and Medicoterrorists and their plans to ‘save’ us all, and how those plans are affecting business decisions
        (“by people who just won’t hire!  They just won’t step up!  Damn them!  Contact McDonalds and see if they can hire another million, and tell them their health care exemption renewal depends on it!  Oh, I’m heading to Florida tonight, I have a $35,000 a plate dinner to speak at…”)

  • And WOW – when you lose Ted Rall – BWaaahahahahahahahahah
    (check out the part where Rall claims Obama has increased oil drilling nationally….waahahahahahahah, that’s a two fer if there ever was one – he’s wrong, and angry at Obama while being wrong….).