Economic Statistics for 5 Nov 14
I’m taking a break from my post-election schadenfreude to bring you the same old, boring economic stats. Bruce has already covered the election aftermath well, and I can’t think of much to add, except to note that the President, in his presser this afternoon, assures us that there’s no reason to try and read the tea leaves of this election. It’s true meaning is essentially unknowable. Clearly, there was a lot of anti-incumbent sentiment, but there’s no way for us to really glean any larger implications for the president’s policies from all this. What’s really important now is to learn how the Republicans will reach across the aisle to get things done in a bipartisan fashion.
Anyway, today’s stats:
The MBA reports that mortgage applications fell -2.6% last week, with purchases down -3.0% and refis down -6.0%.
ADP’s estimate for private payroll growth for October is 230,000, which was generally in line with expectations.
Gallup’s U.S. Job Creation Index fell -3 points to 27 for October, down from the six-year high of 30 in September.
The ISM’s Non-Manufacturing index fell -1.5 points to 57.1 in October.
The JP Morgan Global Composite PMI slowed for the third straight month, down -1.3 points to a still-positive 53.6. The Global Services PMI fell -1.6 points to 53.7.
On a side note, I don’t think that both the ADP Employment report, which shows an increase of 17,000 private payroll jobs over last month, and the Gallup Job Creation Index can both be right. We’ll know which one was correct on Friday, with the release of the October Employment Situation.