Another AGW myth … gone with the wind
We’ve seen it any number of times. Whenever there is a weather event, well, the true believers come out of the woodwork to declare it to be the “worst” in umpteen thousand years and, of course, caused by man. The “Chicken Little” contingent never looks for a more reasonable or scientific explanation, they’ve got their models and their junk science and that’s all they need. So when California went into a state of extreme drought, what was the claim? Yup, it was caused by man and his emissions.
One problem with the claim – it’s just not true:
Natural weather patterns, not man-made global warming, are causing the historic drought parching California, says a study out Monday from federal scientists.
“It’s important to note that California’s drought, while extreme, is not an uncommon occurrence for the state,” said Richard Seager, the report’s lead author and professor with Columbia University’s Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory. The report was sponsored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The report did not appear in a peer-reviewed journal but was reviewed by other NOAA scientists.
“In fact, multiyear droughts appear regularly in the state’s climate record, and it’s a safe bet that a similar event will happen again,” he said.
History! Go figure. “Not uncommon”.
Not only that, but this important point:
The persistent weather pattern over the past several years has featured a warm, dry ridge of high pressure over the eastern north Pacific Ocean and western North America. Such high-pressure ridges prevent clouds from forming and precipitation from falling.
The study notes that this ridge — which has resulted in decreased rain and snowfall since 2011 — is almost opposite to what computer models predict would result from human-caused climate change.
“Almost the opposite of what the computer models predict.” There’s a surprise.
And the dissenters?
“The authors of the new report would really have us believe that is merely a coincidence and has nothing to do with the impact of human-caused climate change?” Penn State meteorologist Michael Mann wrote Monday in The Huffington Post. “Frankly, I don’t find that even remotely plausible.”
This, coming from the discredited author of the hockey stick effect and a false claim of a Nobel prize is something we should even consider? His dissent is more “plausible” than the findings of the study? Yeah, not really. Weather is weather. Someone should clue Mann into how it works.
While the NOAA study easily refutes the alarmist claim, NOAA, being a government agency, isn’t immune to pushing the AGW myth itself, at least a little:
The NOAA report says midwinter precipitation is projected to increase because of human-caused climate change over most of the state. Seager said a low-pressure system, not a high-pressure system, would probably form off the California coast because of climate change.
Low pressure creates clouds and precipitation.
Yes, you see, “human-caused climate change” is now regional … er, global. Tell me again how that high pressure ridge came to be there? Oh, nevermind. And note, even if you want to believe in AGW, in this case, it would actually be a “good thing”. Oh, bother.