Free Markets, Free People

Mini ice-age? Impossible, per the consensus!

Iran, agreement, blah, blah, blah … we’ll talk about it when all of the details come out rather than the preferred ones.

In the meantime, did you know?

The earth is 15 years from a “mini ice-age” that will cause bitterly cold winters during which rivers such as the Thames freeze over, scientists have predicted.

Solar researchers at the University of Northumbria have created a new model of the sun’s activity which they claim produces “unprecedentedly accurate predictions”.

They said fluid movements within the sun, which are thought to create 11-year cycles in the weather, will converge in such a way that temperatures will fall dramatically in the 2030s.

Solar activity will fall by 60 per cent as two waves of fluid “effectively cancel each other out”, according to Prof Valentina Zharkova.

The article goes on to tell you why, given these two waves and their position at the time, these scientists are “97%” sure their prediction is accurate.

Yes, it’s that big, hot yellow thing that hangs in the sky each day that seems to be driving our climate and not some trace gas as some scientists would have us believe.

Speaking of those “scientists”, I found this the other day and, well, had a little chortle:

Every year brings a new batch of data regarding the progression and likely effects of climate change, and the results are almost always worse than previous models had predicted. In fact, they’re frankly terrifying: rapid and accelerating deterioration of the Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets that will yield massive sea-level rise and submerge coastal cities; paralyzing drought on continental interiors that will lead to Dust Bowl–style famine; and incredibly powerful floods and storms that happen more frequently — five times as often now, in fact, as in the 1970s.

Most of the worst predicted outcomes will occur down the road. In the meantime, though, the people making these predictions — climate scientists — are dealing with a heavy psychological toll, as a piece in Esquire by John H. Richardson points out. They are living, as Richardson puts it, a “surreal existence.”

One psychologist who works with climate scientists told Richardson they suffer from “pre-traumatic stress,” the overwhelming sense of anger, panic, and “obsessive-intrusive thoughts” that results when your work every day is to chart a planetary future that looks increasingly apocalyptic. Some climatologists merely report depression and feelings of hopelessness. Others, resigned to our shared fate, have written what amount to survival guides for a sort of Mad Max dystopian future where civilization has broken down under the pressures of resource scarcity and habitat erosion.

The alarmists are dealing with psychological problems.

You have to wonder if it because the “big lie” they’ve been pushing for so many years is collapsing like a wet cardboard box?  Or it’s just the wages of “true belief”, regardless of what other scientists are saying (with “97%” accuracy).

~McQ

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27 Responses to Mini ice-age? Impossible, per the consensus!

  • They’re never going to get ridiculous amounts of funding if they keep studying the sun.
    And especially if they keep talking about cooling!

    • I think you underestimate their creativity.

      They’re quite capable of turning on a dime and pushing more government as a way to deal with cooling. I can already see the thinly-supported projections that we’re going to see snow in Miami ten times a year if we don’t give government more power to do {mumble, something, mumble} to stop it.

      If we do start to see a cooling trend, we should have a pool on the first study to suggest that more carbon dioxide in the air is a factor in cooling. You don’t really think it matters that they’ve been saying it is the major factor in warming for thirty years, do you?

      I will say this whole thing about seeing dramatic cooling due to solar activity seems awfully sketchy and preliminary to me. It’s plausible, but I’ll have to see some longer timelines before I think it’s really going to happen.

      • To badly paraphrase Pascale…

        “Bet on something that HAS happened (an Ice Age) rather than something that never has (AGW).”

        Heh!

      • Good point Billy.

        Doom and Gloom sell. Really well.

        Consider:
        the Y2k end of the world (Which, I personally, helped cause by using 2 digit years in numerous data bases…..and now I wish I’d saved the very nice little triptych the city of Austin Texas produced on how to survive it, just for the laughs).
        MadMax category end of the world oil supply.
        the coming ice age of the late 1970’s.
        the coming version of Mercury=Earth of the last 2 decades ( with dramatic music…..”past the tipping point!!!! Next WEEK!!!!! OOOOOMMMMMMGGGGGGGGG! FLOODING! FAMINE! HAIR ON FIRE!!!!! DOOOOOOOOO SOMETHING!!!!!!!!!”)
        The very brief end of the world according to the Mayan Calendar.

        Not to mention the current undercurrent of:
        SkyNET!!!!!!
        MACHINES WILL RULE US!
        MACHINES WILL EXTERMINATE US!
        HARP controls the weather!

        And the ever present one for some of my least favorite fellow American idiots:
        There are MORE BROWN BABIES BEING BORN THAN WHITE BABIES!!!!!

        So, yes, Doom and Panic predictions always seem to sell.
        I gather it’s like being able to go to the movies to be scared about something.

        And the answer of course is ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS – government intervention (along with lodes of studies and funding boodle) to fix it.

  • Most of the worst predicted outcomes will occur down the road. In the meantime, though, the people making these predictions — climate scientists — are dealing with a heavy psychological toll…

    That should read “Most of the worst predicted outcomes will occur…IF AT ALL…down the road.”

    None have thus far. This WILL lead to a “heavy psychological toll”. Being stupidly WRONG as a “scientist” will do that fer a feller.

    • I would have thought the toll of predicting us being past the tipping point about 10 years ago might have given them some post traumatic stress when, you know, the globe didn’t burn up the way they said it would.
      But bullshirt artist’s are never stressed when their stories are debunked, they just seek another audience.

    • Calling them “alarmists” is to gentle.
      These folks are “climate EXTREMISTS”

  • So instead of dying of starvation because warming melted their habitat, the polar bears will die of starvation caused by overpopulation due to the coming mini ice age.

    Those lil critters can’t catch a break!

    • starvation?
      Not at first man.
      (Makes note to consider something in a .375+ caliber).

      “I lift, you grab, was that concept just a little too complex, Carl?”

  • Every year brings a new batch of data regarding the progression and likely effects of climate change, and the results are almost always worse than previous models had predicted

    Forget that actual events – you know, reality – has yet to come close to matching those increasingly dire predictions, but details details details…

  • The insanity is the fear they have participated in a fraud and will be found out. The realization of this probably varies among them depending how deeply they drank their own cool-aid.

  • The unanswered question is whether there is a way to produce a carbon tax .. or any tax for that matter .. based on a global ice age.

    • Sure, we’re going to have to pay for the fuel that keeps the giant steam punk looking government electric heaters running to stop the advancing glaciers.
      We’ll be forced to pay for massive projects that release sequestered carbon dioxide to warm the atmosphere.

      • I understand that … but just how will the EPA sell it ?

        • They’ll use the “CRAM it down your throat” close. Subtle. Very, very subtle…

        • What Rags said.
          They will ‘sell’ you that in the same way they’ve sold you:
          Obamacare, the new trade agreements, the Iranian Nuke treaty, World-Immigration.

          You will be told what to do, what not to do, and how much to pay.
          You will like it.

          Because consensus!

        • Global Dimming. A updated name for the ‘nuclear winter’-ish Freeze that burning carbon was giving us before we started warming.

  • They’re starting to notice that God (or the Great Self-Determined Organizing Principle of the Universe, pick one) does the opposite of what they predict (or rather, DEMAND).

    “It’s warming, it’s WARMING!!!” they hollered; then the world’s temperature-climb paused. They pushed the “warming” meme a little while longer – no dice. “OK, it sort of seems to be cooling, but that’s really because it’s WARMING” was the next panic attack. Then, “Well, it’s CLIMATE CHANGE, it goes both ways, because of evil humans doing Industrial-Age stuff. Stop Now!!!!” That wasn’t enough to keep the the worldwide alarm-adrenaline (with its associated grant money) flowing. So, finally, just now, we’re recycling the “Coming Ice Age” panic of the 70’s: “OK, we give up, IT’S COOLING, IT’S COOLING — OMG WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!”

    Next up: Sol will re-awaken, the sunspots will return, and the “Science-R-Us” guys will go back to “Egad, it’s warming, IT’S WARMING!! SEE, WE TOLD YOU SO!!! ”

    Meanwhile, water is wet, the sun comes up in the east, there are four seasons, weather is variable, and our planet goes through various repeated oscillations of all types, which Mankind has no part of…

    • Mankind has no part of…

      Then….I can assume you’re not out there every morning dancing and drumming to keep Apollo awake as he drives the sun chariot each day with the rest of us?
      Shame!
      You do realize that WE are all that has kept the temperatures from plunging…uh…climbing to levels of heat heretofore unknown in recorded or possibly unrecorded, or possibly recorded and then deliberately misinterpreted history, yes?
      Shame! Shame!
      Do you WANT someone to fall asleep and drive the sun chariot too close to the world again and create more deserts like the Sahara!
      Well consensus agrees that’s almost sort of how it happened!
      Shame!

      • … and that’s really all they’ve got, isn’t it?

        “You are not among the Believers????? Heretic!!! Shame!!!! Drive this Foul Unbeliever into the Outermost Darkness!!!!!”

        And somehow we *accept* that ?????

        I.
        Do.
        Not.
        Understand.

        (…sigh…)

        • It’s the same to me as assuming I can be shamed by any number of thousands of people who may suddenly hate me on Twitter.

          Uh, yeah. That means so much to me.
          Yet there seem to be a lot of people who are very concerned that a huge or even small number of people they have not met and will never meet, in various far corners of the country or the world, think badly of them.

          Uh, yeah, again.
          So I’m with you, I don’t understand either.
          I guess if you’re a public figure, or think you are a public figure – maybe that’s a problem.
          For most of us – as on of my old Brit bosses used to say – big fat hairy deal.

        • “Who this ‘we’, Keemosabee…???”

  • Winter is coming.

    • Bring it…!!!

    • Yeah, we live in Texas, winter lasts about a day 🙂

      And I expect we’ll make out better than a lot of other places if the winter you’re speaking of is the kind I think it is.
      So I’m with Rags –
      Bring it, come and take it, Up the Republic and remember the Alamo.