Obama’s UAW speech fantasy, Kaus’s auto industry reality
Trying to justify the unjustifiable with a pep-rally like political speech to the UAW, Obama points to what he contends are the favorable results of his decision to intrude into the auto market and rearrange the bankruptcy process to favor his cronies.
I know our bet was a good one because I had seen it pay off firsthand. But here’s the thing. You don’t have to take my word for it. Ask the Chrysler workers near Kokomo — (applause) — who were brought on to make sure the newest high-tech transmissions and fuel-efficient engines are made in America. Or ask the GM workers in Spring Hill, Tennessee, whose jobs were saved from being sent abroad. (Applause.) Ask the Ford workers in Kansas City coming on to make the F-150 — America’s best-selling truck, a more fuel-efficient truck. (Applause.) And you ask all the suppliers who are expanding and hiring, and the communities that rely on them, if America’s investment in you was a good bet. They’ll tell you the right answer.
Of course Chrysler is now owned by a foreign auto company, courtesy of the Obama administration, Ford took no federal money and, had normal bankruptcy proceeded, taxpayers wouldn’t be out $80 billion dollars (still unpaid despite claims to the contrary) and a leaner, more competitive GM would be in existence. Those suppliers would still be supplying and after the shakeout a more viable corporation would have come into existence.
Instead, the same GM is in existence boosted by taxpayer money. As Micky Kaus points out, “You’d be successful in the short run too if the government gave you $80 billion dollars.”
Speaking of those GM workers in Spring Hill, TN, Kaus lays out another reality that the president doesn’t present:
Toyota and Honda are coming back online after the tsunami and Southeast Asia floods crippled production. VW is building roomy American-style cars in Tennessee using $14.50/hour non-union workers instead of $28/hour UAW workers. Hyundai is expanding rapidly. Competition is going to be vicious–it’s widely believed there’s still overcapacity in the industry. A new oil price spike could crimp sales of high-profit trucks. Will GM still be making money in 5 years? Or, I should say, will GM still be making money building cars in the U.S. (as opposed to importing them from China) in 5 years? I’m skeptical. I don’t think deficient corporate cultures change that easily. Normally we rely on the market to simply kill them off.
The two points to be made here are important. One, GM’s current “success” is a result of huge infusion of taxpayer money. Its problem was/is its corporate culture and its unions. Neither problem have been addressed or fixed. Instead, like Solyndra, they’ve simply been given an extension via the taxpayer that will eventually run out. Secondly, as competing auto companies using non-union labor continue to locate in right to work states and pay a competitive wage (but not the high end union wage), they will continue to take market share from GM, who is still stuck with that toxic corporate culture and grasping unions.
But, of course, Obama won’t care because he’ll be out of office. This is the usual short term vote buying, just on a grander scale than we’ve ever seen it before. Crony capitalism at its worst.
Long term viability?
Who cares? Certainly not President Obama.
~McQ
Twitter: @McQandO













Anyone have a line on the truth of the allegation that their record profit was achieved through paying no taxes this year?
@looker Apparently, the bailout deal allows GM to (illegally) carry forward $46.4 billion in losses, which they can now illegally use as a tax write-off.
I see that that is also the case for AIG. It was allowed to rollover losses meaning it will not pay taxes until (as zerohedge says) “AIG will essentially not pay any taxes for years to come, most likely until its next insolvency.”
@Neo_ Thank you. So they can carry forward ‘old GM’s’ liabilities when it benefits them, but they’re not responsible for those liabilities otherwise. Sweet.
@looker Losses are not liabilities.
@Ragspierre No, I get that, really poor choice of words. What I mean is they aren’t liable for say, the problem with the model year that wears your tires down in 3000 miles that ‘old GM’ built, but they DO get to take the tax write off from loses the ‘old GM’ suffered.
@looker At the rate they seem to be going, it won’t make a lot of difference. They will have nice, new shiny liabilities AND loses that they won’t be able to meet.
Apparently, the Treasury issued a modification under it’s authority in TARP (which isn’t subject to judicial review) that if the company was 50% owned the the US, it could carry over it’s losses. This modification was estimated to cost the Treasury at least $105 billion.
Apparently, the Treasury issued a modification under it’s authority in TARP (which isn’t subject to judicial review) that if the company was 50% owned by the US, it could carry over it’s losses. This modification was estimated to cost the Treasury at least $105 billion.
@Neo_ I think it would be fascinating if some good authority produced an analysis of what a straight-up bankruptcy would have produced for both Chrysler and GM.
And soon…
@Ragspierre I tried to post a link, but it didn’t work when I tried it so I deleted it.
@Ragspierre Goggle “ISSN 1936-5357 Discussion Paper No. 690″
Look for “Can the Treasury Exempt its Own Companies from Tax?”
@looker A study … http://www.law.harvard.edu/programs/olin_center/papers/pdf/Ramseyer_et%%20al_690.pdf
@looker Here’s the lowdown on that, from today’s WSJ…
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204653604577251461989702208.html?mod=opinion_newsreel
http://michellemalkin.com/2012/02/29/the-autoworkers-obama-left-behind-the-autoworkers-obama-left-behind/
Bond-holders and other secured creditors weren’t the only ones the Obami hosed. There was a very clear preference given to unions over non-union employees in what was a callously political (and likely illegal) process.
Next time GM needs private capital, would you buy their bonds?
@Ragspierre Not while I still hold a couple hundred worthless pre-buyout GM stocks…
“They’re out there. They’re out there talking about you like your some special interest that needs to be beaten down,” Obama said at the UAW’s National Community Action Program Legislative Conference in Washington, D.C. “Since when are hard-working men and women who are putting in a hard day’s work every day, since when are they special interests?”
@Neo_ Only to a bunch of “The Princes of Labor” could you get away with something that stupid…
@Neo_ Don’t they have days where they drive to centers and not work and get paid for it?
I watched Obama give this speech yesterday. Listening to him is so unbearable that I usually avoid doing so even when it’s just a short clip. But every once in a while I’ll do my due diligence, and something told me this speech was an important one to hear.
It was the most disgusting, lying, demagogic speech I have ever heard from a major American politician. Grotesque in his manner and demeanor, Obama reminded me of Il Duce’s preposterous, posturing, mocking style. It was one self-contradictory line after another. It was sick.
@martinmcphillips And Il Duce at least was an original thinker.
@Ragspierre Il Duce? Is that the “state pizza” of Maine?
@DocD Two-fer-one night, state-wide. By mandate.
My g*d, it never occurred to me that all Government Motors has to do is off-shore their production to China to really screw us.
@Constitution First As a compliant fascist corporatist collective, that will not happen. Not enough to hurt the UAW.
The bill for Hope-n-Change seems to go up as fast than the National Debt; interesting correlation.
Negative change, is still Change.
So is Erb gonna stroll into this discussion and defend his hero? Come on, Erbie – your 30 pieces of silver await!
@sshiell Now that was ugly, sshiell. Erp does it for free…like a Georgetown co-ed.
@Ragspierre “Erp does it for free…like a Georgetown co-ed.”
As long as you pay for his dinner and drinks.
@looker And he never asks for protection, either. No matter how you use him….
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