Treasury bonds – the canary in the coal mine?
So how did our latest treasury bond sale go. As you read the following remember that for the seller bonds are like golf – higher is not better:
The Treasury Department sold $42 billion in 5-year notes on Wednesday at 2.605%, higher than traders had anticipated. Bidders offered to buy 2.55 times the amount debt being sold, the lowest since September. That metric of investor demand also compares to 2.74 times on average at the last four sales of the securities, all for the same amount. Indirect bidders — a class of investors that includes foreign central banks — bought 39.6% of the offering, compared to an average of 49.6% of recent sales and the lowest since July. Direct bidders, including domestic money managers, purchased another 10.8%, versus 9% on average. After the auction, yields remained sharply higher in the broader government-bond market as corporate and other higher-risk debt drew investors away from Treasurys. Yields on 10-year notes, which move inversely to prices, rose 13 basis points to 3.81%.
The question, of course, is “is this an anomoly or the beginning of a trend”? Given the financial condition of the country, the presistent warnings and threats of AAA downgrades by such ratings firms as Moodys and the forecast trillion dollar deficits for the next 10 years, I’d say its most likely the latter. In layman’s terms, our debt is getting harder and more expensive to sell.
~McQ













Let’s see. They can’t tax us enought to pay for all this, and soon they won’t be able to borrow.
I guess they can fall back on siezing 401ks or printing more money.
hmmm, wonder how much gold and silver my ira would buy…
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No problem! Write ourselves some more IOU’s, buy it ourselves and let future generations of Americans worry about it! That’s why we have Congress, to take care of things like that, in the meantime, let the party roll on!
Just shut your eyes, click your heels together three times, and repeat, “It’s all George Bush’s fault!”
/ sarc
Does our government buy anybody else’s debt? I ask because it seems to me that the entire global economy is – to some extent anyway - a bit of an illusion because many countries are in the same boat: we’re all borrowing, spending, and lending money that we really don’t have. Hence, it’s in everybody’s interest to keep up the charade by pretending to believe that loans will be paid back with money that’s actually worth something.
Fortunately, (or unfortunately, depending upon how one looks at it) selling our debt is similar to the old joke about two fellows needing to outrun a bear. We only need to be better than the competition (which isn’t much better than we are right now). So long as there is no fast turn-around from the competition, we will be fine – in the short run. And in the long run (as we know)…
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Add this with Social Security going into the red…
Doesn’t look good.
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