Free Markets, Free People


Things to think about on a beautiful Sunday

So, after jamming the health care reform legislation through Congress, Democrats begin to turn a wary eye toward November and the mid-term elections.

A good portion of them have deluded themselves into thinking Bill Clinton was right – that after they passed the legislation all the furor would subside and Americans would accept the new legislation – even embrace it.   The term “Judas goat” comes to mind.  And I think for those who bought into that nonsense, they realize they’ve certainly been led into the electoral slaughter pen. The Obama post law-signing sales tour has been anything but successful in changing the public’s perception of the law.  And it certainly hasn’t cooled the anger about its passage.

Some Democrats are giving up to “spend more time with their families” as has Bart Stupak.  They see the writing on the wall and don’t like what they’re reading.  Others are gearing up for a fight that many experts are sure they’ll lose.   Of course there are those on the left who’re sure the tide will turn.  James Carvelle recently said the GOP “peaked too soon”.  I don’t think so.

However, what are the Democrats going to do to reverse this trend that sees them losing big in November.  Well, the word was they were going to do energy next.   And that energy would contain a utility tax being called “cap-and trade lite”.  Frankly I don’t see them trying to introduce any new tax before November unless they’re just a lot less intelligent than they should be.

But they have to do something to take the public’s mind of HCR and do something positive for their chances in November.  I was thinking about that when this headline caught my attention – “Hispanic loyalty to Democrats wanes” with the sub – “Inaction on immigration reform has key voting bloc less enthused about election.” Ah ha! Why is this potentially the issue that will be most important to Dems prior to November – because of the nature of the election.

“The number of Latinos who say they are enthusiastic about midterm elections is the lowest we’ve ever seen,” said Barreto, whose firm polls extensively among Hispanics. In 2006, 77 percent of Hispanics were excited about voting. In a recent poll, however, just 49 percent were excited.

As Barreto noted, midterm elections usually feature lower turnout, which means victory hinges on energizing the party’s core supporters rather than persuading swing voters.

So Barreto is asserting that Hispanics are inclined to vote Democratic and unlike the 2006 mid-terms, have much less interest in voting in this mid-term because, well, see the headline.

Conclusion – look for a flurry of activity addressing “comprehensive immigration reform” in an attempt to energize the hispanic vote prior to November and, I’d guess, try to lure some independents back as well. Whether they get anything done or not is probably not as important right now, in the short time span involved, than appearing to make the effort. Whether that will be enough to save them remains to be seen.

But if it doesn’t – then what? What would a lame duck Democratic majority Congress attempt from November to January. My guess, and that’s all it is, with nothing to lose, they’d go for broke and try to ram as much of their agenda through as possible. And that means they’ll be working on a comprehensive energy bill, to include cap-and-tax, and possibly a VAT tax, and be prepared to introduce them the day following the mid-terms. Success might not be easy, but if Nancy Pelosi knows she’s losing her speakership and Harry Reid finds himself out of a job – anything is possible.

~McQ

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16 Responses to Things to think about on a beautiful Sunday

  • But if it doesn’t – then what? What would a lame duck Democratic majority Congress attempt from November to January. My guess, and that’s all it is, with nothing to lose, they’d go for broke and try to ram as much of their agenda through as possible. And that means they’ll be working on a comprehensive energy bill, to include cap-and-tax, and possibly a VAT tax, and be prepared to introduce them the day following the mid-terms. Success might not be easy, but if Nancy Pelosi knows she’s losing her speakership and Harry Reid finds himself out of a job – anything is possible.

    >>> I’ve been beating this same drum myself in regards to the VAT but you’re correct here. They didn’t give a crap after the public sent the signal by electing Brown to vote against Barackycare.

    They’ve made quite the big to-do over trumped up and fake “threats” after they passed healthcare,  but if a lame duck session actually rams through some of the agenda the public has clearly voted against….who can say what would happen?

  • I am almost of the mind that if they do a VAT when they are lame duck, that is for the good of the country. Big government party will pay a price, but consumption tax is implemented. The key is to hold the incoming party to small government to cut spending and to adjust taxation around the VAT. Now, I am “almost” of the mind, because we are still in a recession and this will deepen it, though let’s not waste a crisis, eh? Plus I have no control over this anyways.
    Cap and Trade: Again, in a recession, science in doubt – if it was VAT or Cap and Trade, I would prefer VAT.
    Also, on Obamacare, is it repeal or fix? CATO was saying just fix it. Leave, for example, the Medicare cuts. It would be hard politically, but can’t they just blame Obama and the Dems?
    All of this is just wishful thinking on my part. What will happen will be the WORST for the nation. This will keep on going until the credit card is removed from our hands and cut up in front of our face.
    It seems human nature is to avoid current pain at any cost, even if it means future pain that is worse.

  • Here in Arizona when the voters passed three ballot resolutions in 2004 and 2006, aimed at illegal aliens, they all passed by roughly 65-70% Yea, 35-30% Nay.
    The highest margins were by legal and native Hispanics, by 75-80% Yea votes.


  • http://www.lvrj.com/opinion/tax-man-comes-for-half-of-us-90560179.html
    Today’s Las Vegas paper contains this typical right-wing screed:
     

    “Tax man comes for half of us…American-style socialism…

    …For those who argue for global warming, [as America’s worst problem] please put the Bloody Mary down and go sit in your hybrid for 30 minutes. You have some thinking to do….
    …an Associated Press story … hit the wires last week:

    “WASHINGTON — Tax Day is a dreaded deadline for millions, but for nearly half of U.S. households it’s simply somebody else’s problem…About 47 percent will pay no federal income taxes at all for 2009.”

    This, folks, is socialism, American-style. If not corrected, it threatens to end America as we know it…
    For all our greatness as a country and as a people, we were wrong to embrace the idea that it’s good to apply unfair tax laws that punish the productive to give the unproductive a free ride.

    Seems to me all Americans ought to pay something — even a small amount — to enjoy the freedoms of America.  Is that asking too much?”

    A typical right-wing zinger of creeping Socialism, right?  And it is.  One problem.  It doesn’t mention that we need to reform the income tax laws, but NOT PASS THE VAT as the way to do it!

    You see, that person sitting in their hybrid (with or without their Bloody Mary) is chuckling wildly reading this and saying to herself:

    “It’s working.  The stupid right will support passing the VAT as a way to get at the bottom 47% “slackers”  (“we elite” correctly know them as the poor and needy).  We intelligent folks know that when the VAT passes, the camel’s nose will be under the tent and then it’s …er, Karimy bar the…er, tent flap! on to complete redistribution of income.  And it will be so fair!  I am even content to share a large part of my [inflated] government [union-negotiated] wage in the scheme (so long as my benefits remain so wonderful and I can afford a new government subsidized hybrid ever couple of years).”

    The Liberal Narrative is that, yes, it is unfair that 47% pay no tax and we need to pass the VAT to get them to pay their fair share.  Just like we needed to pass the BFD in order to “reduce the deficit”.  What about the “facts” that show that the result of passing legislation will be just the opposite of what the LN says will be the result of these changes?  Well, Silly, of course!  it’s only a narrative!  And it’s working!  Re-elect President Obama!  And Representative Pelosi and Senator Reid too!  Bloody Mary’s for everyone!

  • The signs are there, folks, for a massive blood-letting by the Democrats of unheard-of proportions. The economy, the deficit, the death care boondoggle, Iran inching toward a nuclear bomb…it is all coagulating like bad yogurt.

    You can see it in the polls; however, when a Nate Silver, of 538.com, says that right now he sees a 55 seat turnover to the GOP in the House and that he may be undercutting it (and Silver is a far-left loon), you know that the Demmies are in some serious trouble. When you see so many Demmies not even going home during the Easter break to hold town halls, and instead they just hid for two weeks, you know that things are really, truly bad for them. The GOP is invigorated, yes, but they better beware of overconfidence and they better make sure that if The Clown™ names a far-left loon to Stevens’ seat on the Supreme Court that they do their damndest to oppose him or her.

    In short, as April is half over, Demmies are on the Titanic and it is an hour into the disaster. The worst is yet to come.

  • Or perhaps whistling past the graveyard.
    However, it is possible that there was one factor in the election of President Obama and the Democrats that will be missing in the future:  Irrational thinking.  It has always been there in politics.  We had never elected a black man as President.  Many people, for slightly different reasons, wanted it to happen.  The irrational factor.  Call it white guilt, black longing for equality, being sick of elite Republicans, desire for a change – any change, or a combination of all three.  We now have left only the desire to have a woman elected President …oh, wait, I forgot the desire to see a gay person elected;  a latino elected,  a Polish/Irish/American, a Hollywood celebrity…no, wait…and…well, you get the idea.  Perhaps our irrationality is on vacation next time and we can elect someone appropriate to that office.
    As to Congresscritters,  well, don’t discount voting for one’s pocketbook.  It may be too late.  We may have already tipped over into having more people looking for rent payments from government than we have looking to revive America.  For some reason, even tax articles like the Las Vegas screed above, fail to mention that not only are the drones not paying Federal income taxes, many low-wage-earners (Earned Income Credit) are getting a free government handout in our current income tax code of $5,ooo to $7,000 every June.  If the Democrats can mobilize these folks by alerting them to the danger the (Republican) voters earning more than $75,000 represent  to their annual “tax refund”, their votes plus the union, government employee, academic/education vote will usher in the new era, regardless of anything the rational thinkers can do…
     

  • Really nice writing.

  • The killer for the VAT is that they won’t give up the income tax (even then it’s a bad deal).
    So every new tax will ratchet up over and over again (like those “temporary” business taxes passed in the early 20th century).  No tax ever goes away.  They only go up.
    Even the Reagan “tax realignment” of 1986, which erased numerous tax loopholes, was looked upon as an opportunity by politicians to solicit “campaign donations” to create new loopholes.  Democrats and Republicans alike could blame Reagan or the “times” for the death of those loopholes,  with their hand out to work to restore them.