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Funny how this works ...
Posted by: McQ on Thursday, January 15, 2009

There are reports of a rift forming within Hamas. As you'll see, it isn't hard to figure out why that may be happening:
Signs of sharp division are appearing within the top ranks of Hamas as fighting with Israel in Gaza intensifies and cease-fire talks brokered by Egypt reach a critical point.

The differences have sharpened over the past two days and could have a significant impact on the outcome of the truce negotiations.

Gaza-based Hamas officials have sounded more willing in recent days to consider a deal for a temporary cease-fire, being pushed by Egypt, even though the proposal would leave Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza temporarily and keep the territory's borders sealed in the short term. But Hamas political officials, close to the group's leadership-in-exile in Syria, have characterized a cease-fire as still far away.
Of course "Gaza-based Hamas officials" are having the crap incessently pounded out of them. "Leadership-in-exile" types have yet to see a shot fired in anger. Any surprise that they're the "hard-core" types in this scenario?

Of course that means Israel can sit across the table with its arms folded and a little smile on its lips while it continues to hammer "Gaza-based Hamas" while the terrorist group sorts out its differences.

Of course AP sees it differently:
While the offensive has dealt a blow to Hamas' battle capabilities, the divisions within the group's leadership could also work against Israel. It is unclear who truly speaks for the Islamic militants and it remains to be seen whether the group is prepared for a longer-term arrangement. Also a divided Hamas would make it more difficult for Israel to ensure any deal will be observed.

Another problem for Israel is Hamas appears to be enjoying a groundswell of public support at the expense of pro-Western Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who has been harshly criticized for not taking a tough enough stance against Israel during this offensive. Abbas has been conducting peace negotiations with Israel.
A divided Hamas is still a divided Hamas, isn't it? And my guess is Israel isn't foolish enough to believe that a Hamas of either side would observe any deal for very long. However, the Hamas getting its butt kicked in Gaza would, in my estimation, be more amenable to keeping the cease fire than would the Syria based crew.

As for the rumored "public support" of Hamas - reality has a way of intruding on popular fantasies. At some point those who are popularly supporting Hamas will take a moment and look around them. One would hope they'd let the scales fall from their eyes and actually attempt to understand what Hamas's stance has brought them. Then, perhaps, Abbas won't look quite so bad. But of course that assumes Gaza Palestinians are rational people, and that has yet to be proven to my satisfaction.
 
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"Then, perhaps, Abbas won’t look quite so bad."

It is ironic that an inveterate Holocaust Denier and Arafat-protégé like Abu Mazen is now presented as some sort of "moderate". And most of the world seems to believe it.
 
Written By: CR
URL: http://
Israel should not accept such a cease fire, it would just leave their troops out in the open and make them cannon fodder for another intifada type stone throwing orgy.
 
Written By: kyleN
URL: http://impudent.blognation.us/blog
Yeah, it’s pretty sad when you realize the IDF might sort of support Fatah these days.

Then again the now legitimate government of Israel is descended from various groups that planted bombs themselves. They got over doing that. Perhaps Fatah can be rehabilitated too.

Hamas sure can’t.
 
Written By: looker
URL: http://
While the offensive has dealt a blow to Hamas’ battle capabilities, the divisions within the group’s leadership could also work against Israel. It is unclear who truly speaks for the Islamic militants and it remains to be seen whether the group is prepared for a longer-term arrangement. Also a divided Hamas would make it more difficult for Israel to ensure any deal will be observed.
I don’t understand this. Where is it written that Israel must negotiate with "Hamas political officials"? Can’t they just deal with the "Gaza-based Hamas officials" and tell the "leadership-in-exile" to go pound sand?
 
Written By: huh
URL: http://
Can’t they just deal with the "Gaza-based Hamas officials" and tell the "leadership-in-exile" to go pound sand?
They could. But, if the "exiled" officials are calling the shots and possess the power to order the reinstituting of rocket attacks against Israel, it would be pretty meaningless. Regardless, the charter of Hamas calls for the destruction of Israel. Hamas leaders have stated that any truce is for rearming, so I don’t believe Israel could expect anything but lip service from either group.
 
Written By: Is
URL: http://
While the offensive has dealt a blow to Hamas’ battle capabilities, the divisions within the group’s leadership could also work against Israel. It is unclear who truly speaks for the Islamic militants and it remains to be seen whether the group is prepared for a longer-term arrangement. Also a divided Hamas would make it more difficult for Israel to ensure any deal will be observed.
AP fantasy land where a part of Hamas can be negotiated with in good faith . . .
 
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