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Economy

Economic Statistics for 9 Aug 16

The Fed’s Labor Market Conditions Index rose 2.9 points to 1.0 in July.

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index for July rose 0.1 points to 94.6.

Non-farm productivity fell a disappointing -0.5% in the 2nd Quarter, while unit labor costs rose 2.0%.

June wholesale inventories rose 0.3%, as sales surged 1.9 percent, pulling the stock-to-sales ratio down to 1.33.

Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales growth was little improved at 0.5% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 0.3%.


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Economic Statistics for 5 Aug 16

255,000 net new jobs were created in July, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.9%, though, as 184,000 people came into the labor force. Average hourly earnings rose $0.06 to $25.96, and the average workweek rose 0.1 hours to 34.5 hours.

America’s international trade gap widened from $-41.1 billion to $-44.5 billion in June. This will put downward pressure on the next 2nd Quarter GDP revision, which is already weak at 1.1% annualized.

Consumer credit rose a soft $12.3 billion overall in June, but revolving credit rose an outsized $7.7 billion, a good sign for consumer spending.


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Economic Statistics for 4 Aug 16

Factory orders fell -1.5% in June, following May’s decline, which was revised downwards to -1.2%.

Few chain stores still report monthly sales, but that did for July reported sharply lower sales growth, triggering earnings reassessments.

A surge of Job cuts in the energy sector pushed Challenger’s July layoff count to 45,346 from June’s 38,536.

Gallup’s July Good Jobs Rate rose to 47.1% from June’s 46.0%.

Initial weekly jobless claims rose 3,000 to 269,000. The 4-week average rose 3,750 to 260,250. Continuing claims fell 6,000 to 2.138 million.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 0.1 points to 43.0 in the latest week.

The Fed’s balance sheet rose $2.3 billion last week, with total assets of $4.467 trillion. Reserve bank credit fell $-8.9 billion.

The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $49.7 billion in the latest week.


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Economic Statistics for 3 Aug 16

The PMI Services Index was unchanged in July at 51.4. while the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index fell -1.0 points to 55.5.

ADP estimates that 179,000 new private sector jobs were created in July.

Gallup’s U.S. Job Creation Index was unchanged at 33 in July.

The MBA reports that mortgage applications fell -3.5% last week, with purchases down -2.0% and refis -4.0%.


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Economic Statistics for 2 Aug 16

Personal income for June rose 0.2%, but consumer spending rose 0.4%. The PCE Price Index rose 0.1% at both the headline and core rates. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Price index is up 0.9% overall, and 1.6% less food and energy.

Motor vehicle sales were very strong in July, jumping to a 17.9 million annual rate from June’s 16.7 million.

Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index fell -1 point in July to -15.

Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales growth weakened further falling to 0.3% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 0.6%.


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Economic Statistics for 29 Jul 16

The preliminary estimate for 2nd Quarter GDP is an anemic 1.2% annualized rate. The GDP Price index rose to a 2.2% rate. In addition, 1st Quarter GDP was revised downwards to 0.8% annualized.

The Employment Cost index rose 0.6% in the 2nd Quarter, and is up 2.3% from a year ago.

The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose 0.5 points to 90.0 in July.

The Chicago Purchasing manager’s Index fell a full point to 55.8 in July.


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Economic Statistics for 28 Jul 16

The deficit in America’s international trade in goods expanded to $-63.3 billion as exports rose 0.9% but imports rose 1.8% in June.

Wholesale inventories are unchanged in the preliminary July report.

The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index for July dropped from 2 to -6.

Initial weekly jobless claims rose 14,000 to 266,000. The 4-week average fell 1,000 to 256,500. Continuing claims rose 7,000 to 2.139 million.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index was unchanged at 42.9 in the latest week.

The Fed’s balance sheet fell $-16.5 billion last week, with total assets of $4.465 trillion. Reserve bank credit fell $-4.3 billion.

The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $34.7 billion in the latest week.


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Economic Statistics for 27 Jul 16

The Federal Open Markets Committee Voted to keep short-term interest rates unchanged today, with a Fed Funds target rate of 0.25%-0.5%.

June factory orders plunged a steep -4.0%, with ex-transportation orders down -0.5%, but core capital goods orders rose 0.2%. On a year-over-year basis, orders are down -6.4% overall, with ex-transportation orders down -3.6% and core capital goods down -3.7%.

The Pending Home Sales Index rose 0.2% in June, to 111.0.

The MBA reports that mortgage applications fell -11.2% last week, with purchases down -3.0% and refis down -15.0%.


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Economic Statistics for 26 Jul 16

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey rose from -7.0 to 0.4 in July.

New home sales in June were much higher than expected, at a 592,000 annual rate that is 25% higher than a year ago.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index fell -0.1% in May, but remains 5.2% higher than a year ago.

The PMI Services flash number for July fell -0.4% to 50.9.

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell -0.7 points to 97.3 in July.

The Richmond Fed Manufacturing index jumped from -7 to 10 in July.

The State Street Investor Confidence Index fell -7.7 points to to 98 in July. 

Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales growth slowed to 0.4% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s already weak 0.6%.


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