they’re all sciency and stuff, because, you know, they use math. That’s really a funny line. Thanks! |
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Written By:
JWG
URL:
http://www.qando.net
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Man it REALLY bothers me when somone who I like to hear talking about sports and whatnot comes out and says something like this. He’s now filed in my permanent turd bin. |
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Written By:
mark m
URL:
http://
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Yeah, I laughed at the "they use math" line; it’s so true! I teach math. It’s amazing how people react when they hear what I teach. They get this look of awe on their face like they’re in the presence of some sort of minor deity or something. Then they back away slowly. I really hate it when they do that; I just wanted to talk about something mundane with someone who doesn’t have to be reminded not to leave his toys where the baby can reach them. But people are in such awe of mathematics that they kowtow to all who can wield its power. It’s a shame, really. |
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Written By:
Wacky Hermit
URL:
http://organicbabyfarm.blogspot.com
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Is anyone surprised that it took less than 48 hours for the Huffington Post to descend into moonbattery?
Is anyone surprised they haven’t enabled comments? |
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Written By:
Achillea
URL:
http://
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Numeric illiteracy - the cause of much social woe.
This is one of your funniest posts ever, but boy oh boy is it justified. Pie-eyed lunacy at its best.
Achillea, I think one of the reason that they haven’t enabled comments is that it forces people to link to them if you want to skewer them. |
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Written By:
MaxedOutMama
URL:
http://maxedoutmama.blogspot.com
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1. Lampley forgot that the house always wins. Sounds like the house really cleaned up that day.
2. RealClearPolitics and Gerry Daly, the two poll watchers I trusted most, both correctly called 49 of 50 states in their Election Day predictions. And the only one they missed in each case was Wisconsin, the closest state of all. |
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Written By:
Crank
URL:
http://www.baseballcrank.com
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The more convincing evidence that Lampley provides is the county by county vote tallies compared to the registered voters in those counties. Bush had big victories in heavy Dem counties, but that only occurred in counties using touch-screen ballots.
That data does make me suspicious, but as you pointed out, discrepancies in just one state out of many in which there were discrepancies, doesn’t explain the overall national result.
The article he cites goes on to say that the explaination could be that, in the South, many voters who have been voting Rep since the Reagan years, never bothered to change their registration party from Dem to Rep.
Florida is a funny state with unusual demographics (traditional conservative southerners and conservative, radical anti-communist Cubans vs. other traditionally liberal hispanic immigrants and transplanted Northeastern liberal retirees) that makes it difficult to explain any result.
I’ve also found (through general observation, not scientific analysis) that pre-election polls near election time, are pretty accurate. Immediately prior to this election, the polls showed Bush either trailing by 1% at one extreme or leading by 3% in the other. |
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Written By:
Doug Purdie
URL:
http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com
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The biggest (only?) positive thing about the moonbattery over the election being "stolen" is that it induces the left to indulge in fantasies about how they are really the political majority. They are not the only ones, of course - many mainstream Democrats just keep talking about how they just need to get their message out better. They have convinced themselves that there’s nothing wrong with their positions, just that either (1) they don’t explain them well, or (2) the other side cheats.
As long as they go down that road, the influence of the left will continue to wane. So I hope they live in their self-constructed fantasy world as long as possible, thus removing the moonbat left as a serious influence in American politics.
And I sincerely hope that happens as soon as possible. A crippled Democratic Party allows the Republicans far too much latitude to get away with stuff. |
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Written By:
Billy Hollis
URL:
http://
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This is a canard. Bookmakers never calculate who’s going to win. Bookmakers choose odds such that their bets on either side balance, and they make a profit no matter who wins. The 2:1 odds for Kerry say a lot about who was betting on the election, and little about who was likely to win.
It would be odd for a regular bettor not to know this, no?
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Written By:
Skorj
URL:
http://
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And Bellamy Road won the Kentucky Derby, with everyone being extremely scientific in their assessments and all. |
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Written By:
Wilky
URL:
http://
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Lampley’s back today with a dishonest post. He claims that "various statisticians" have proven the odds against the exit polls being that far wrong were 959,000 to 1. But the link under "various statisticians" takes us to a post at Democratic Underground that does have an awful lot of numbers but nothing like 959,000 to 1, and certainly does not appear to have been written by a real statistician. |
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Written By:
Brainster
URL:
http://brainster.blogspot.com
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I’ve not seen any explanations that I have found convincing for why the exit poll numbers were so off, particularly in view of the fact that so much was made of similar exit poll disparities in Ukraine at the very same time.
In fact, I have found the breezy dismissals of exit poll disparities to be suspicious in themselves.
A lot seems to rely on the concepts of the overly shy Republican or the overy schmoozy exit poll worker.
Mitovsky seems to be trying to straddle a rock and a hard place. He doesn’t want to admit to either collusion in fraud or to abject incompetence. That seems to be driving what he has to say on the subject of exit polls more than anything else.
The case for Stolen Election does not rely on unrealistic assumptions that the Dems are as pure as driven snow and the Pubs are evil incarnate. It relies more on observations, such as the apparently intolerable and unconscionable role Republican partisanship has played in the companies that make voting machines. There is the apparent vulnerability of the electronic machines to hacking and, more importantly, the lack of legitimate means of vote verification (ie. paper trail, voter verified paper trail. There is extensive testimony in Ohio and elsewhere to tactics of all kinds intended to manipulate the vote and disenfranchise likely Democrats. There is wide spread testimony of incidence of apparent default Bush votes, suspicious overvotes and undervotes, etc..
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Written By:
paul
URL:
http://
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"Exit polling has sucked for three straight elections now"
Actually, the exit polls were pretty accurate (within the margin of error) in 2000, especially when you take account of the fact that Florida was proven in recounts (not to mention voter disenfranchisment) to have voted for Gore (too bad the Supreme Court had the final tainted vote).
The fact that the last two elections have not matched the exit polls says more about the validity of the elections than the polls.
Please check the facts and put down the Kool-Aid. |
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Written By:
Lee
URL:
http://
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Actually, the exit polls were pretty accurate (within the margin of error) in 2000, especially when you take account of the fact that Florida was proven in recounts (not to mention voter disenfranchisment) to have voted for Gore (too bad the Supreme Court had the final tainted vote).
Actually it went for Gore in only the most extreme of the variations of recounts and then only by 3 votes.
In the other three recounts, using the criteria most commonly used and agreed upon, and conducted by the newspaper pool, Bush won. |
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Written By:
McQ
URL:
http://www.qando.net/
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Sport Pool
URL:
http://www.officepoolgaming.com/
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URL:
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