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Give us your 2006 predictions
Posted by: McQ on Friday, December 30, 2005

For the absolute heck of it your predictions for 2006 are solicited in the following areas:

  • Iraq
  • The War on Terror
  • The 2006 midterm elections
  • Democratic leadership
  • Republican leadership
  • The Bush administration
  • Politics in general
  • Blogging
  • The Main Stream Media
  • The Anti-War movement
  • The Middle East
  • Radical Islam
And whatever else you'd like to put on the list. You don't have to comment on them all, but I'm going to put together a compendium of predictions for publication on Jan 1st 2006.

Then we'll see.

UPDATE: The Anchoress has poster her predictions. Pretty entertaining.
 
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Moderate but signifigant gains by Democrats in 2006, narrowing (but not eliminating) the Republican majority.

Pennsylvania Republican Rick Santorum will be removed by voters in favor of, well, pretty much anyone the Democrats decide to run against him.

2006 will be a pivotal year regarding the formation of the Iraqi government. This year, perhaps more than any, will determine if workable political coalitions can govern the country or whether we see a descent into sectarian conflict.

Radical Islam will continue to decline. Not so much because of the efforts of the war on terror, but because of the continued drive towards liberalization among many young Muslim populations. (Look mostly towards Jordan, Egypt, and Lebanon. Iran is a wildcard here.)

We will continue to plunge the nation into debt with little political action being taken to resolve the situation.

2005 will have marked the ’peak’ in the rise of blogging, and 2006 will be more or less of the same. Not so much of a decline as a leveling off.

The Bush Administration will attempt to reinvent itself and reinvigor the party. I expected this effort to be largely ineffective.

 
Written By: Rosensteel
URL: http://
Iraq ---BOLD PREDICTION: Zarqawri will be caught or killed.

The 2006 midterm elections---Meaningless. The Dems probably make some gains in the House but not enough. Their "culture of corruption" meme fizzles. Just biding time until the 2008 battle royale

Democratic leadership--SAFE PREDICTION: Howard Dean will say something profoundly stupid

Republican leadership --SAFE PREDICTION: The GOP leadership will be predictably clueless

The Bush administration-- Alito will be easily confirmed, giving Bush another victory and boost in the polls.

The Middle East-- Israel will do what needs to be done regarding Iran. Asaad Jr. in Syria is going to establish himself even more firmly on our shit list.

The UN-- Kofi will be plagued with even more scandal. The UN will fail miserably to cope with the relief effort for the next natural disaster.

Blogging- QandO expands it’s roster with the additions of Bithead and MKUltra to it’s blogging stable :)
 
Written By: shark
URL: http://
  • Democrats loose more seats in both houses of Congress, which will in turn, cause even more incoherrent babbling from them.


  • The battle in Iraq, which is only a part of the war on Terror, will be winding down, as the terrorists try other, easier-to-attack areas of the world to ply their trade. In total, however, they will not amount to much.


  • I see no major changes for the Demoratic leadership until after the 2006 election cycle’s losses. I expect an uprising within the party at that point, to get soemthing done. However, the Democrats will remain as disjointed as they ahve been, as unable to raise a rally as they ahve been because they’re still going to be in a major fight over what direction to take the party. I anticipate a full implosion of the party between the November losses, and January, 2007.



  • The Palastinians, having had their support from Saddam removed, will at last run out of steam, and will be forced to be more agreeable at the bargaining table. At some point in 2006, someone’s going to notice that removing Saddam from Iraq worked out to be a serious kick in the ass for the peace process on the West Bank. This will be slow in coming because that would mean someone actually addmitting Saddam was in fact supporting terrorism.



  •  
    Written By: Bithead
    URL: http://bitheads.blogspot.com
    Iraq - Will continue to get better.

    The War on Terror - Bush will continue to make gains in popularity due to the democrats not having a viable message that resounds with the American people. OBL will not be free by the end of the year.


    The 2006 midterm elections - Democrats will lose at least 2 seats in the House and at least 1 seat in the Senate.

    Democratic leadership - Will continue to shoot theirselves in the foot regarding the war. As the situation in Iraq gets better expect the rhetoric to get worse. Jan- May will be like the week after Katrina. Aug - Dec will shine the light on the lies of the first part of the year.

    Republican leadership - Frist will continue to fumble the ball. Delay will get cleared of charges.

    The Bush administration - Will continue to get hit by the media and the left for any stubbed toe. Bush will get 1 more Supreme court pick prior to year end.

    Politics in general - Continue to sink into a morass of playing gotcha by both sides but the dems lead the charge on this.

    Blogging - Will continue to grow in popularity as make fools of the MSM.

    The Main Stream Media - Will continue to show more and more bias for the left as they try to cover up the good news out of the middle east and the left issues harsher rhetoric to counter that good news.

    The Anti-War movement - Will continue to flounder into inconsequalness.

    The Middle East - Israel will bomb Iran nuclear facilities.

    Radical Islam - Will continue its destructive course.

     
    Written By: retired military
    URL: http://
    In some areas of the world it will be hot which will be blamed on global warming.

    In some areas of the world it will be cold which will be blamed on global warming.

     
    Written By: SkyWatch
    URL: http://
    Safe predictions first

    1. Newspaper woes

    2006 will be the year in which the newspapers finally face their decline. A vicious cycle (from their point of view) will occur as lowering circulation leads to lower ad revenues which leads to less staff and less quality content which leads to lower circulation... and the wheel will keep going around until they make a radical change or go out of business. One of the potential events that will precipitate the newspapers facing their fate is the withdrawal of movie ads by most of the major studios (that’s a very large chunk of newspaper advertising).

    I expect we’ll see hand-wringing pieces on NBC News et. al. "How can we survive as a society without these important news-gathering operations!!", etc. There will be calls in the left for various forms of subsidy "to preserve our freedom of the press!!" NPR will be cited as the ideal model. Republicans will publicly nod their heads and look sad and privately say "serves them right" and will therefore block any nutball ideas that get floated. The only proposals that gain traction will be calls to regulate online content, because of the equal opportunity nature of online ridicule of politicians. Leftist websites will finally have some value as they become critical to the blocking of such proposals.

    2. Online technology

    A trend will be noticed (though it’s been going on in embryonic form for a while) concerning the next generation of changes in usage of the Internet (some early pundits are calling it Web 2.0). More distributed systems with more peer-to-peer capabilities will be introduced, and we’ll start to see software for users move beyond the clunky browser-based systems we currently use. One of the eventual byproducts of this revolution (though it will take a few years) is the elimination of most spam, as peer-to-peer capabilities allow authentication of email.

    3. China

    The crescendo of punditry predicting the rise of China in the 21st century will crest just as it becomes obvious that China does not have the political, legal, or cultural infrastructure to handle being a major economic power.

    4. Europe

    Economic news in Germany and France continues to get worse. The EU Constitution becomes a dead letter and the EU "government" starts to get ignored by others on the continent as they realize that if they don’t, then they are playing the part of the suckers who will have to bail out those old-Europe welfare states.

    The first laws specifically addressing Muslim immigration and assimilation begin to be introduced and discussed in European states. (The laws may not have the word "Muslim" in them, but their intent will be clear.) Those first proposed laws will be weak and ineffectual, and will nevertheless likely cause civil unrest.

    Hunches next...

    1. Hillary does something really stupid during her senatorial campaign that damages her chances to win the presidential nomination. She’s gone so long without a mistake, mostly by keeping her mouth shut, that I think she’s due. When she starts talking to leftist audiences during the campaign, her true inclinations are likely to come out a few times.

    2. One of the side effects of continuing changes in the Middle East is a strong draft-Condi movement gets started in late 2006 or early 2007.

    3. Jimmy Carter dies or becomes incapacitated, thus forcing retirement from the political scene of the highest ranking useful idiot in American history.

    4. Education crawls back out from under the rocks to become a major issue in 2006. Everyone knows our educational system is a disgrace. This is the one area the Democrats think they might be able to convince people to spend more money on, so they want to talk about it. The Republicans are concerned about declining quality and indoctrination of students into leftist orthodoxy, so they’ll want to talk about it too. Problem is, none of them have the slightest idea what to do (except spend money), so the debate likely won’t go anywhere. Whichever side, if any, that has the guts to get out in front on school choice will gain serious political points.
     
    Written By: Billy Hollis
    URL: http://
    1) OBL will remain out of sight.

    2) Iraq will continue to grow more and more complex, with the primary narrative shifting from the insurgency to the political wrangling. However...

    3) as the Shiites cement their hold on the interior and security departments, the Sunnis will grow more and more desperate, leading to an escalating series of uprisings and political demands. The Kurds will spend their time and resources ensuring their own defense and autonomy should the whole thing break down.

    4) Democrats will pick up a not-inconsequential number of seats in the ’06 elections.

    5) China will remain an enigma. But they will continue to obtain leverage in the form of economic ties around the world.

    6) Russia will make overtures to democracy. But they won’t really mean it.

    7) The Bush administration will continue to disappoint the fiscal conservative/libertarian wing of the Right.

    8) The Democrats will begin to coalesce around a Message for ’08.

    9) The mainstream media will continue to cautiously embrance blogs, but they will be much more selective in doing so. The relationships will form between MSM outlets and bigger-name bloggers, with smaller bloggers being ignored.

    10) Calls to bring the troops home will pick up steam, and troops will begin coming home in significant numbers. The two may or may not be related.

    11) The Libertarian Party will not win a single race at the State or National level.
     
    Written By: Jon Henke
    URL: http://www.QandO.net
    Iraq - By the end of the year, once a popularly elected govt is inplace with Iraqi Security Forces leading the fight, will no longer lead the headlines. Any one remember Afghanistan?


    The War on Terror - Will become less and less important as the US dismembers the organization and continues to kill its leadership.


    The 2006 midterm elections - minor Republican gains in the Senate. No change to Majority Status in either the House or the Senate.


    Democratic leadership - will continue to reflect more and more of the fringe element of the Democratic Party. Will continue to attempt to indict Republican Leadership with bogus charges and attempt to win through the courts what they can’t win at the ballot box. Following November election losses, Reid and Palosy (sp) and Dean will be replaced.


    Republican leadership - Some one will take charge and begin to present the Republican agenda for 08. I am thinking Sen Allen.


    The Bush administration - Continues to target and kill identified terrorist cells world wide.


    Politics in general - Democrats get crazier (and look more and more like they are really on the other side). Republicans continue to stand back and let the opposition party over reach.


    Blogging - breaks into the main stream as a legitiment form of journalism. One scandle of undue influence on a blog blown way out of proportion.


    The Mainstream Media - continues to lose subscribers / views. Only a matter of time until advertisers start pulling ads.


    The Anti-War movement - Who? Ah, yes - continues down the road to ineffective anonymity


    The Middle East - Israel completes the wall and cuts all relations with the Palestinian ’state’. Palestine implodes and begins a year long civil war.


    Radical Islam - becomes more radical. No ’moderate’ Muslims step forward to stop the madness. Outside chance Saudi Arabia attempts to form the Islamic equivilant to the Vatican, and fails to find broad acceptance.


    Hows that sound?
    Mike
     
    Written By: Mike
    URL: http://
    Iraq - By the end of the year, once a popularly elected govt is inplace with Iraqi Security Forces leading the fight, will no longer lead the headlines. Any one remember Afghanistan?


    The War on Terror - Will become less and less important as the US dismembers the organization and continues to kill its leadership.


    The 2006 midterm elections - minor Republican gains in the Senate. No change to Majority Status in either the House or the Senate.


    Democratic leadership - will continue to reflect more and more of the fringe element of the Democratic Party. Will continue to attempt to indict Republican Leadership with bogus charges and attempt to win through the courts what they can’t win at the ballot box. Following November election losses, Reid and Palosy (sp) and Dean will be replaced.


    Republican leadership - Some one will take charge and begin to present the Republican agenda for 08. I am thinking Sen Allen.


    The Bush administration - Continues to target and kill identified terrorist cells world wide.


    Politics in general - Democrats get crazier (and look more and more like they are really on the other side). Republicans continue to stand back and let the opposition party over reach.


    Blogging - breaks into the main stream as a legitiment form of journalism. One scandle of undue influence on a blog blown way out of proportion.


    The Mainstream Media - continues to lose subscribers / views. Only a matter of time until advertisers start pulling ads.


    The Anti-War movement - Who? Ah, yes - continues down the road to ineffective anonymity


    The Middle East - Israel completes the wall and cuts all relations with the Palestinian ’state’. Palestine implodes and begins a year long civil war.


    Radical Islam - becomes more radical. No ’moderate’ Muslims step forward to stop the madness. Outside chance Saudi Arabia attempts to form the Islamic equivilant to the Vatican, and fails to find broad acceptance.


    Hows that sound?
    Mike
     
    Written By: Mike
    URL: http://
    Apoligies for the double post.
     
    Written By: Mike
    URL: http://
    Actually, I want to add two more please:

    MSM- Led by the NY Times, the MSM will loudly begin the Bush as "Lame Duck" meme in ernest well before the mid-term elections. As a collarary, the MSM will also begin the "Bush’s Negative Legacy" meme

    Movies- The poor box office done by Brokeback Mountain will be blamed on the teeming masses of homophobic Red Staters.
     
    Written By: shark
    URL: http://
    Iraq – will begin to look (politically) like modern America, only with three major divisions instead of two. They will get along about as well as our two do, but with their lack of experience with democracy it will be messier.

    The WOT - will focus on areas other than Iraq. Where, is up to the terrorists.

    The midterm elections will be large gains for the Democrats, but not enough to give them real power.

    Democratic leadership is an oxymoron.

    Republican leadership will seem to change, but will remain the same. RINOs will gain power, at the expense of the far right.

    BDS will peak in a formal move to impeach Bush and millions will be raised for the 08 campaign. The move will ultimately fizzle, but not before the money is raised.

    Politics – more of the same. Oh, the MSM will play it as reaching new highs and new lows, but basically, more of the same.

    Blogging will grow in credibility, with a blog being syndicated in newspapers. A liberal blog, of course.

    MSM will continue the downward spiral in all areas.

    The anti-war movement will make headlines as we spar with Syria. Moving our troops to Syria instead of Kuwait will merit serious consideration. Ooops, guess that belongs in the next section. Oh well.

    I don’t know enough about radical Islam to even comment. Since the Republicans need them in order to raise money, their threat will undoubtedly get worse.

    And, I have a wild card. Someone will start a straw poll on the internet, with promised safeguards to make it credible, and it will have a surprisingly strong effect on the pre-primary process to select presidential candidates.
     
    Written By: notherbob2
    URL: http://
    Iraq: The Iraqis will consolidate political parties, infighting will continue but with the ballot instead of bullets. The insurgency will continue low level violence as the IDF wears them down. 50,000 US troops will either be home or scheduled to rotate out.

    WOT: will ramp up as Jihadis continue their outrage around the world. More international co-operation in suppressing them.

    MidTerm: Not much change in mid terms. Dems are positioned to increase representation, but incapable of uniting on message and tactics.

    Democrat Leadership will change after poor showing in 2006 mid terms. Change not necessarily for the better.

    Republican Leadership: Presidential candidates with real chance for 2008 will become clearer. Fortunately no Howard Dean’s are in view.

    BDS: Now pathologically ingrained in MSM and the Dem party which will continue to alienate moderates in both parties.

    Politics, no change in either party. No new ideas from dems, no ability to produce from pubs.

    Blogging: Will continue to grow, some big names will tire, some nonames will become big. Many more blogs, because of third world access. China, Iran, etc. will be frustrated in their desire to control the blogosphere.

    MSM: Taking on serious water, little hope for staying afloat. Will make a future comeback but only after salvage operations have retrieved the hulk.

    Anti-war Movement will continue to demonstrate not even a remote sense of what is really going on in the world. Heads firmly planted in anus.

    Radical Islam has a few more years to continue its vile deeds. No real hope of reestablishing the caliphate, so failure is in the cards but not before millions of innocents and jihadis die. Muslim women will be the key to its eventual demise.

     
    Written By: Abu Qa’Qa
    URL: http://
    Iraq - Shia Arab and Kurdish forces will begin active suppression of Sunni Arab areas. There will be some reports of torture by Iraqi forces - reports will not be acted upon. When Isreal attacks Iranian nuclear facilities there will be an increase in coalition troop deaths as Iranian proxies retaliate.

    The War on Terror - will continue, Saudi and Iranian money will continue to finance the bulk of terrorist activites.

    The 2006 midterm elections - Democrats will not do well.

    Democratic leadership - will need to be revitalised between 2006 & 2008.

    Republican leadership - wins as the lesser of 2 incompetencies.

    The Bush administration - will continue to hold the path.

    Politicians in general - will be constrained to a pragmatic ideal of personal enrichment, politics will be incentive driven.

    Blogging - is unprofitable as a distribution media, but has good potential to become a forum for sponsored messages.

    The Main Stream Media - in America seems to be woefully out of touch with a lot of Americans and will need a more sympathetic slant to gain sales.

    The Anti-War movement - is a horrible thing to be associated with politically. It will be ditched as Dem platfoprm after defeat in 2006.

    The Middle East - Israel will attack Iran and successfully destroy the nuclear facilities. Iran will induce Hamas and Hezbollah to increase attacks on Israel. Iraq will become a regional player again with a functional and blooded army.

    Radical Islam - will grow as a result of the billions spent by Saudi Arabia to form maddrassa and pay Immams to preach hatred worldwide, Saudi Islamofacism will continue to be protected by America, America will continue to blame France.
     
    Written By: unaha-closp
    URL: http://warisforwinning.blogspot.com/
    Iraq – Sadly, the strength of the insurgency will not subside in significance due to the increased political involvement of the Sunnis. The Shi’ite majority government will continue to embrace cultural and political influence from Iran at an even greater pace.
    The War on Terror – See above. Also, the verbiage will enjoy little abatement as camouflage for ever increasingly rampant executive power.
    The 2006 midterm elections – The Democrats will be unable to fully capitalize on the purported Republican “culture of corruption” and only pick up a couple of seats in the Senate and House.
    Democratic leadership – Here’s the long shot prediction. The Democratic leadership will make a concerted effort to incorporate so-called “pro-life” Democrats for a flank attack on Republican’s alleged monopoly on “values”.
    Republican leadership – Will go down in history as the Republican Eunuchs of 2006.
    The Bush administration – Will make William Jefferson Clinton’s misnomer “Slick Willie” look like a pin cushion as the recent scandals will slide off of their petroleum soaked hides. See War on Terror.
    Politics in general – A mutual effort of both political parties to convince the American people that politicians are not miscreants will fail thanks to the individual efforts from members of both political parties.
    Blogging – What is “blogging”, again?
    The Main Stream Media – The FREE MARKET INDUSTRY that is the MSM, in effort to attract and retain revenue, will continue to gratify conservatives by going out of their way to offer “both sides” of a particular story even if there is only one side, the reasonable one (case in point: intelligent design), much to the enjoyment of David Brock’s professional career. The MSM will abide to dower itself as a patsy for the likes of Limbaugh, Hannity, O’Reilly, and other red herring anglers. Also, no matter what it does, the MSM will continue to upset McQ, much to my enjoyment.;) See Blogging.
    The Anti-War movement – Is winning.
    The Middle East – Six to one, half dozen to the other.
    Radical Islam – Yeah, your guess is as good as mine.

     
    Written By: PogueMahone
    URL: http://
    I am aware you wish to isolate predictions to the catagories stated. But I know this . Back in the mid 90’s I predicted Japan’s earthquake two day’s before it happened.
    Know this too " and remeber me" for tellin you.
    In 2006 there will be a in inccident that will affect each an every one of us. I could not deicifer what it was in the dream but , without doubt it will be herandous.
    Know this too the dollar will fail to a great loss in sep or oct.
    There after in 2007 there will be incredible peace.The dollar will commence to regain, However the world’s atmospheric condition will cause progressively more loss of lives world wide.
    Know this too.. By June of 2009 the peace that was enjoyed for the few years prior will diminish rapidly. My predictions ( in my dream) cannot see beyond this point) However I am satisfied that there will be a new world order and a world like no one has ever imagined.
    I am NOT a fortune teller, I am not a looney, I have never before even attempted to write what I have seen. This page has allowed me some form of "venting" of what I have seen in my dreams. I am employed in a respectable occupation, and despite my spelling and possible gramatacle errors I do posses , a degree.
    On prior occassions my dreams of what is to happen has caused some upset people in my life.
    The dreams are rarely"good news".I dreamt once a friends father would die two in two days , to my anguish he did.
    I pray often that I wish the dreams would cease.
    I choose to beleive, my dreams are not true, but the problem is they do come true.
    I attend church as often as I can and renounce anything to do with the occult, in the event the drerams are related.
    I don’t know what or why I have these dreams. I pursue to persist my dreams are just happenstance and qoinsidental.I will never again from this day on tell again . ohh inncidentally..
    the home computer as we know it will be infused, with a new pice of technology very shrtly, probably within the next 4 years that will enable the user to uplink directly with the brain.
    The problem will be the technology will have been modified purposely to enable "one particular person" to know incredible knowledge, but the technology will only allow the remaing populace to have a limited use .
    My prediction in regard to this one individual is this " better keep an eye on him:" if he’s allowed 7 days in his house "( with the use of this technology) he will rule all of our houses"
    I don’t know what that meant in my dream but I’ts of paramount importance , I know.
     
    Written By: Jason
    URL: http://
    I BELIEVE THAT THIS YEAR (2006) THERE WILL BE A USA DRAFT TO ARABIA, I ALSO BELIEVE THIS IS THE YEAR WHEN WORLD WAR 3 WILL BEGIN
     
    Written By: Andrew Swanson
    URL: http://www.myspace.com/savagefromoakland

     
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