Posted by: McQ on Friday, August 18, 2006 Under the "hey it worked for them" department, Syria is now forming its own version of Hezbollah with which to contest the Golan Heights. On the heels of what it views as a Hizbullah victory against the Jewish state, Syria is forming its own Hizbullah-like guerilla organization to fight Israel in hopes of "liberating" the Golan Heights, an official from Syrian President Bashar Assad's Ba'ath party told WorldNetDaily yesterday.As I noted in other posts, proxies have alway been popular with states who want to be one step removed from the actual fighting. So they use others to push the fight without actually involving themselves directly. In most cases the group they use, however, doesn't base itself within their national borders. Hezbollah is a Iranian proxy. North Vietnam was a USSR (and PRC) proxy of sorts. The mujahadeen in Afghanistan were US proxies against the USSR's occupation. In this way, the principle supporter of the proxy army stays one step (and one attack) away from responsibility. I'm not sure how Syria, who is obviously going to be the principle support of any Hezbollah type faction within it's borders, thinks it is going to escape responsibility (and retaliation) for any attacks this group undertakes. One thing to consider in all of this: Israeli security officials said they had no information about the Front for the Liberation of the Golan.That's a very carefully worded "denial". Saying it has no information on the Front isnt' the same as denying the plan or the groups existence. The Ba'ath party official told WND the Front was formed last month and will attempt attacks against Israel.We'll see. But you can see the trend. The Front started recruiting, according to this report, in June, prior to the 30 day war between Israel and Hezbollah. Obviously, given the spin which has declared Hezbollah victorious, it would be safe to assume that recruiting has been good. My guess is training of this sort of organization would take about 6 months, so near the end of the year, watch the Golan and let's see if Syria is really dumb enough to let a Hezbollah like group attack out of Syria. But let's also remember one other thing which I'm sure Israel is considering when it considers the possibility and it's reaction. Syria's chemical weapons capability. |
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