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Some Good News out of Iran
Posted by: McQ on Monday, December 18, 2006

As you recall (ok, maybe you don't) I mentioned the internal mood of Iran could probably be determined by watching the latest election in which the spiritual mentor of Iran's president Ahmadinejad was running for a seat on the powerful Assembly of Experts. The good news? Ayatollah Mohammad Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi is well behind Akbar Hashemi Rsfsanjani for the Tehran seat.

Iranians have dealt a blow to President Ahmadinejad’s hardline Government, by thwarting his allies in municipal and clerical elections.

According to early results, Mr Ahmadinejad’s fundamentalist mentor who espouses cultural isolation from the West, was trailing sixth in the Tehran vote for the Assembly of Experts, Iran’s all-powerful clerical council. Reformists were also expected to seize a handful of seats on Tehran city council, signalling a comeback after three electoral defeats in the past three years.

Why is that significant?

Although small, the 86-member Assembly of Experts has more power than the President or parliament because it can appoint or dismiss Iran’s supreme leader. It has tended to remain out of everyday politics and that is likely to remain the case.

The significance of the Tehran city council seats can't be overemphasized either:

Control of the council is seen as important because it has a big budget and can bring a politician national attention. Mr Ahmadinejad was Mayor of Tehran before taking power.

So the indications are that a power shift of some sort is occurring in Iran. Whether that has any immediate effect on Iran's nuclear ambitions or curbs the power of Ahmadinejad's power is yet to be seen. But some experts say it signals a popular demand that Ahmadinejad focus more at problems at home and cease the confrontational stance abroad.

Something to monitor.

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Where have we heard this before? A manical president who acts like an idiot on the international stage. An electorare, unhappy with his actions, who signal their displeasure in mid-term elections.

If history is any guide, Ahmadinejad will simply reject and ignore the sentiments expressed by the voters. After all, he is the Decider.

Stay the Course, Ahmadinejad. Chances are your supporters will argue that any notion that the electorate is seeking a new direction is a misinterpretation of the election results. Moreover, in a couple of years, the electorate will probably blame the moderates for not modifying Ahmadinejad’s behavior. After all, that’s what the moderates promised, right?

Written By: mkultra
URL: http://

MK you define "obsession".

Written By: McQ
URL: http://www.qando.net/blog

So, MK, enlighten us, who’s his Rumsfeld counterpart that gets the chop?

Written By: looker
URL: http://

I think MK has NAILED it, I recall vividly, it is SEARED into my memory, how George Bush promised that Iran would cease to exist...Oh Wait. Never mind, my moral equivalence argument may be deeply flawed, please continue with your regular programming.

Written By: Joe
URL: http://

Moreover, in a couple of years, the electorate will probably blame the moderates for not modifying Ahmadinejad’s behavior. After all, that’s what the moderates promised, right?

Meanwhile, ya know, with some tayloring to fit what MK meant -

Moreover, in a couple of years, the electorate will probably blame the Democrats for not modifying Bush’s behavior. After all, that’s what the Democrats promised, right?

he’s spot on target.

Written By: looker
URL: http://

MK is correct. We in the USA are heartened to see Iranian domestic politics show dissent and we hope for policy changes that will be of benefit to our country.

Now change the words to fit the Iranians, Syrians, and Al Qaeda:

Al Qaeda are heartened to see American domestic politics show dissent and they hope for policy changes that will benefit them.

So, yeah, he is right: both statement are true. It’s now a matter of choice which one you want to help happen.

Written By: Harun
URL: http://

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