Posted by: McQ on Saturday, February 24, 2007 Not that they mean a hill of beans this far out but they are fun to talk about. From Rasmussen: In a match-up between the early 2008 frontrunners, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) 52% to 43%. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Giuliani’s lead growing in recent months. His current nine-point advantage is up from a six point lead in January and a four-point lead in December.I think them most interesting thing about these numbers is Giuliani's increase. And my theory is he's benefiting because people are starting to hear from Hillary. This sort of backs up my point: While both candidates draw reasonable levels of support from within their own party, Giuliani has an enormous 64% to 27% advantage over Clinton among unaffiliated voters.So while you have Guiliani leading Clinton by a significant margin (and blowing McCain away on the Republican side), not the case when Guiliani is compared to Edwards: In the latest survey, while Clinton trails Giuliani by nine percentage points, Edwards trails only by two points, 46% to 44%.Frankly I find those numbers to be amazing. Edwards? I mean, to me Edwards is a better looking Gore with less experience. And speaking of no experience: Obama? An earlier survey found Obama trailing Giuliani by six points.It will be a wild and wooly primary season on the Democratic side. Not so much I don't think, for Reps. And, of course, opposition research hasn't trotted out their big guns yet and won't until the primaries are settled, so Rudy, will get a pass for a while. When voters begin to pay attention is when whatever is being held in the vault will start coming out. But for now, Republicans have got to be hoping Hillary wins the nomination and chooses someone else other than Obama or Edwards for the ticket. |
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