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Follow the money - part II
Posted by: McQ on Tuesday, April 03, 2007

The Republican side:
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney easily outpaced the Republican field in the initial fundraising test of the campaign, raking in $23 million dollars over the first three months of the year. Ex-New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani raised $15 million and Sen. John McCain, once the campaign’s frontrunner, came in third, with just $12.5 million raised for the quarter.
I have to say this surprises me a bit, given all the buzz about Giuliani in the recent months. It may point to a basic weakness for Giuliani, that of being "not conservative enough". Don't forget that the nomination is decided in the primaries and in the primaries, the activist base is most likely to vote in disproportionate numbers. Perhaps that base is taking another look at Romney and liking, in comparison, what they see.

Me thinks McCain should read the handwriting on the wall. My gut tells me his monetary third place will translate into a primary third place as well.

If Fred Thompson gets in the race, however, all bets are off.
 
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Previous Comments to this Post 

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While Fred interests me, I don’t know enough about him yet (though his comments on immigration a little while back were very nice). I do like Romney though, more than I like Rudy...

It’s an interesting year for Republicans...

Oh yeah, McCain? Don’t care for him at all.
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
I have to say I favor Rudy over Romney, though I am a bit afraid of his past stance on guns. Now Fred Thompson or maybe Newt Gingrich? I don’t know if I’d support Rudy over them, time will tell.

Interesting discussion, who gets the VP nomination? Who would make a good one? Maybe Newt as Rudy’s VP to shore up the conservative bonifides.
 
Written By: ChrisB
URL: http://
Honestly, I wish we could get Dr Rice into the mix.

A Rice/Rudy ticket would be brutal...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
Fred Thompson, I think, will get in and win. He’s not a ball of fire, but he does have something that the other three (McCain, Giuliani, and Romney) lack: a coherent personality. McCain and Giuliani are both oddballs who are uncomfortable in their own skin. Though I have much respect for Giuliani’s work in NYC, which he did save from ruin, there’s no way he should be the Republican nominee for President (let’s just settle on his gun control politics as a mutually agreeable disqualifier). Romney, meanwhile, has the affect of a game show host.

Thompson is a conservative, with the added dimension of the aforesaid coherent personality.

Look what happens when he’s imagined in the same room with Hillary, for instance. He’s ten times smoother (and I don’t mean "smooth" here in the negative sense) than she is, which throws sufficient contrast on her to show her for the affectless stiff that she is. Whereas in the presence of the other three she almost comes off as having a normal personality.

If Thompson emerges, Democrats will immediately sense this contrasting factor vis a vis Hillary in their guts. That will push them toward Obama, who has exactly what Hillary lacks: a personality.

But Obama is George McGovern, without all the Clinton fudging to disguise it.

He’s "fresh and clean," as Joe Biden would put it. I call him the Democrats’ dumb blonde candidate.

Thompson is emerging not because anyone thinks of him first, but because the Republican field is so bad. He brings high-contrast all around.

But that’s just presidential politics; the country is in terrible shape politically whoever gets elected. I only prefer Republicans because they don’t already have the look of gravediggers in their eyes.

 
Written By: Martin McPhillips
URL: http://mcphillips.blogspot.com/
Thompson is emerging not because anyone thinks of him first, but because the Republican field is so bad.
I dunno, seems a better field than in 96 and 2000.
 
Written By: ChrisB
URL: http://
Chris,

Are you saying Dole wouldn’t have kicked some tail as president?

*sigh* My home state... It would have been such a lovely country had he won, if for no other reason than a lack of Clinton...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
Chris B. writes about the 2008 GOP candidates:
I dunno, seems a better field than in 96 and 2000.
Well, Dole, in ’96 was an abysmal candidate, but he was running against an incumbent who had turned his fortunes around.

In 2000, I thought that Bush turned out to be an excellent candidate. Initially I opposed the idea of a former president’s son running, but got to like him. Still do, in fact.

But take a look at the three candidates in it right now: Romney is a stiff. I’d buy insurance from him, maybe, but otherwise he looks like he’s on a perpetual golf outing and only takes a moment before hitting his next shot to comment on "things." He has also just shifted half of his positions in order to appear conservative. Please.

McCain is a confused little man, who I want to like, but who always sounds like he’s trying to control his temper with that sotto voce tone he employs. He also looks like he actually thinks that Tim Russert is a "really smart guy" whenever I see him on Meet the Press. Tim Russert is a meat-faced imbecile, and a serious guest ought to be able to provide a glimpse of that during a face-to-face encounter, or at least not pander to the wanker.

Rudy has had a personality transplant that looks about as authentic as Sly Stallone’s eye job. Rudy was debauched by two terms as mayor of NYC, the deadest end of any dead-end job in American politics. Now he’s got Bernie Kerik hanging around his neck, plus the gun control, etc. etc.

Nobody wants these guys. They’ll just settle for them. So, if it’s just a "settle for" sort of situation, then why not settle for someone who has a better than even shot of surviving the campaign and winning. Enter Thompson, with the caveat that the proverbial dead girl or live boy doesn’t fall out of his closet.
 
Written By: Martin McPhillips
URL: http://mcphillips.blogspot.com/
Are you saying Dole wouldn’t have kicked some tail as president?
No no, but you have to admit, he didn’t show any personality until after he lost.
 
Written By: ChrisB
URL: http://
Enter Thompson, with the caveat that the proverbial dead girl or live boy doesn’t fall out of his closet.
Bah! Fred Thompson feasts upon the flesh of the young! It is the source of his power...

And you’re right Chris, he really didn’t... But by golly I gleefully recall how "Military service doesn’t matter" when it’s a dodger running against a WWII vet who has a permanent handicap due to his actions to keep the world safe and free.

The alacrity of the turn around there was stunning, really...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
When Giuliani ran for mayor of New York, he ran not only with the republican parties nomination, but also the Liberal parties nomination. He has not flip flopped on the positions that made him the Liberal party nominee.

It will be interesting to see if the republcians can nominate a liberal just because he can win.
 
Written By: cindyb
URL: http://
Why not? The Dems nominated a Conservative a while back, and he frankly did ok...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
"The alacrity of the turnaround there was stunning, really. . ."

Maybe to you, Scott. I always presume a Democrat - civilian, municipal, state or federal - has the steadiness and rock-solid moral bearing of a wonky compass in a magnet factory. Remember "no means no"? Always does with a Republican - but when a horny Arkansan hick tells you to "kiss it," you whip out the kneepads, because he gets one free grope.
 
Written By: Christopher
URL: http://
but when a horny Arkansan hick tells you to "kiss it," you whip out the kneepads, because he gets one free grope.
That’s going on my quote board...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
I don’t think Dole was a bad candidate. He had lots of experience and real accomplishments unlike, say, John Kerry. Instead I think Dole was a bad campaigner and his campaign was poorly run, which in many ways is even more unfortunate.
 
Written By: Jeff the Baptist
URL: http://jeffthebaptist.blogspot.com
Fred Thompson interests me and so does Rudy, but not McCain or Romney. I’d vote for McCain in the general election if I had to (say if the Dem nominee was Hillary) but I won’t vote for Romney under any circumstances. If he gets the nomination I’m voting third party. Well, unless Richardson pulls off a miracle and gets the Dem nomination. In that case I’d have to at least look more closely at him.
 
Written By: John
URL: http://averagegayjoe.blogspot.com
McCain has pissed me off in the last, say, 6 years that if it came down to him and a democrat, I’d write in for Mickey Mouse (or Jack Bauer).

He’s really a lil sh*t, and POW-ness aside, I find fewer and fewer reasons to respect him every time he opens his pie-hole.

It’s one of the bigger things Romney has going for him. He’s not McCain.
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://

 
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