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France: Nationalists and Socialists
Posted by: McQ on Sunday, April 22, 2007

So who will the French eventually pick? By their vote, in what is the French version of a primary, the two who will go to a run-off are pretty much political opposites. The "centerist" candidate Francois Bayrou was rejected by voters leaving the final two candidates as Nicolas Sarkozy, a right-wing conservative and Ségolène Royal, a socialist:
In the face of voter concerns over high unemployment, globalisation, and seething discontent in high-immigration suburbs, Mr Sarkozy has pushed a right-wing programme based on the themes of national identity and getting France back to work.

But even though he has won respect for his plain talking, his abrasive, even authoritarian character, has alienated many potential voters.

Ms Royal has presented herself as a nurturing mother figure and presented a leftist economic programme that maintains France’s generous welfare system intact - even if critics have questioned how she will pay for it without raising taxes. Her task between now and May 6 will be to prove to doubters that she has the leadership qualities needed.
Your guess is as good as mine in this particular case as Sarkozky garnered 29.6% of the total vote and Royal won 25%.

It should be an interesting vote on May 6.
 
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I read a lot of articles predicting the left/right monolith in France was over. Oops.

I have a very bad vibe about Sarkozy. Not so much for his platform, not that I agree with his platform, but - the difference between him and say, Angela Merkel, they have similar platforms, but one is a unifier and one is Type AAAA+ time bomb.

The alienated youth, not limited to Muslims youth hate him personally. I see him going down in flames after a serious of overreactions and metaphorical skull-crushings. If he wins. There may be a few years honeymoon first, bien sur.

I think his chances of winning are a little over 50%.
 
Written By: glasnost
URL: http://
Sarkozy should win. Majority of Le Pen voters will never vote for Royal, see her as a spineless appeaser of "scum" who riot in the street at the merest suggestion their dole/benefit/free housing/20 hr week may have to end. And the centrists should be fairly evenly split.
 
Written By: unaha-closp
URL: http://warisforwinning.blogspot.com/
The fact that Sarkozy got something like 74% of the vote (keep in mind there were 12 other canidates) means that he’s probably a lock. If that the 11 other canidates’ voters vote for ONE other canidate, he’s still got it.

And i’m hardly shocked that a "great" guy like glasnost would be so worried about Sarkozy. He’s conservative, pro-free market, pro-america...

He’s shaken Bush’s hand publicly. I can see why that would worry glassy...

He’s going to be good for France, and good for us...

About time France got someone good. They have been getting screwed for a while in the "National Leader" dept...
 
Written By: Scott
URL: http://
The fact that Sarkozy got something like 74% of the vote (keep in mind there were 12 other canidates) means that he’s probably a lock. If that the 11 other canidates’ voters vote for ONE other canidate, he’s still got it.
He only got 30% of the vote.
 
Written By: unaha-closp
URL: http://warisforwinning.blogspot.com/
I have a very bad vibe about Sarkozy. Not so much for his platform, not that I agree with his platform, but - the difference between him and say, Angela Merkel, they have similar platforms, but one is a unifier and one is Type AAAA+ time bomb.
I’d translate that as meaning "I’m afraid he actually means what he says."
 
Written By: Billy Hollis
URL: http://
I’d translate that as meaning "I’m afraid he actually means what he says."
And I’d translate it as "I’m afraid he’s too stupid to lead." Politics and leadership are about getting people to do what you want them to do, not saying what you mean.
 
Written By: Blewyn
URL: http://
Politics and leadership are about getting people to do what you want them to do, not saying what you mean.
Perhaps I’m just naive, but I consider "saying what you mean" to be a part of leadership. I always thought of clear communication as an essential leadership characteristic.

Are you saying that you prefer your leaders to say what they don’t mean, i.e., to lie?
 
Written By: Billy Hollis
URL: http://
And I’d translate it as "I’m afraid he’s too stupid to lead." Politics and leadership are about getting people to do what you want them to do, not saying what you mean. —Blewyn


The first step for politicians to "get people to do what they want" is to get people to vote for them. He’s already shown some capacity for that, and if he wins he will show more.
The alienated youth, not limited to Muslims youth hate him personally. I see him going down in flames after a serious of overreactions and metaphorical skull-crushings. —glasnost
It would be interesting to see you try to deal with those "youths".
 
Written By: Don
URL: http://

 
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