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More on the anticipated OBL tape
Posted by: McQ on Friday, September 07, 2007

Probably the most interesting assessment concerns the beard:
"It does look oddly like he is wearing a false beard," Richard Clarke, a former White House counterterrorism official and now ABC News consultant, said. "If we go back to the tape three years, he had a very white beard. This looks like a phony beard that has been passed on."

The "phony beard" may be an important clue as to where bin Laden is hiding, according to Clarke.

"One place where a beard would stand out would be southeast Asia, the Philippines, Indonesia," Clarke told ABC News. "No one's thought he was there, but that is an environment where most men, Muslim men don't have beards."
Interesting. I imagine that will drive quite a heightened response in those areas from intelligence agencies. Can you say "intensive activity?"

Also yesterday, I speculated it was old footage, but apparently the pic provided was from old footage and not the most recent vid. Clark and others are now saying it appears to be bin Laden (weird beard and all) and it does seem to be a recent video.
 
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Interesting. I imagine that will drive quite a heightened response in those areas from intelligence agencies. Can you say "intensive activity?"
And can you say "15 minutes after this idiot opened his mouth, OBL was on a flight out of the region?"
 
Written By: Scott Jacobs
URL: http://
I think it may be a little extreme for OBL to move that far away from home and assuming a little much he’d care to blend in.

More likely he disguised himself (or will disguise himself) as a woman to move around the Middle East, if not just Pakistan itself.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
OBL slowly slid futher down the cave wall he was pasted on, sometime in November or December 2001.
 
Written By: jows
URL: http://
Unless OBL says something along the lines of "Allah Willing, the Colt’s win on Thursday’s game shall be a harbinger of things to come" or anything that identifies a recent event, I still vote for "Permanent Cave Wall Art".

Recycled messages of hate do not prove anything. If he doesn’t provide dates, it’s a fake. Period.

If the man was alive, he’d be in front of a camera practically every day.
 
Written By: Robb Allen
URL: http://blog.robballen.com
Perhaps he is bearding us.
 
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Written By: the wolf
URL: http://
McQ, I take it neither you nor Clarke have been near a SE Asian recently. It would take a lot more for OBL to blend in there than just shaving his beard. For one thing, Arabs and SE Asians have very little in common in standard ethnic features—skin tone, facial features, etc. And SE Asians tend to be short, whereas OBL is supposed to be extremely tall. He’d have to chop himself off at the knees to blend in.

I wouldn’t discard the false beard idea entirely. Most westernized Pakistanis shave; if he was trying to go under the radar in Islamabad or Karachi-or in India, for that matter, since there still is a significant Muslim population in India—shaving off the beard would be a natural.
 
Written By: kishnevi
URL: http://
Don’t knock the source. I found Clarke to have perfect 20/20 hindsight.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
McQ, I take it neither you nor Clarke have been near a SE Asian recently. It would take a lot more for OBL to blend in there than just shaving his beard.


I don’t think it is a matter of "blending in", instead its a matter of not standing out. While he’ll always be a foreigner, he won’t be "the foreigner with the beard". They’re more likely to ignore the former and remember the later.
 
Written By: McQ
URL: http://www.qando.net/blog
From what bits have been leaked so far, he does reference recent events. .We’ll see
 
Written By: Robb Allen
URL: http://blog.robballen.com
I don’t think it is a matter of "blending in", instead its a matter of not standing out. While he’ll always be a foreigner, he won’t be "the foreigner with the beard". They’re more likely to ignore the former and remember the later.


Actually, I think it’s more to the point that they will remember the foreigner who’s several inches taller than the average Indonesian; almost a full foot taller if he is actually 6’4". The Indonesians I have met seem to average about 5"7. People tend to remember that sort of difference.

And, as I said in my other comment, a shaved beard would be just as suitable in the more westernized parts of Pakistan, in the Muslim areas of India, or (for that matter) Egypt and Syria.
 
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