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The UN and AIDS (and AGW)
Posted by: McQ on Monday, November 26, 2007

In the Thanksgiving rush you may have missed this one:
The United Nations' top AIDS scientists plan to acknowledge this week that they have long overestimated both the size and the course of the epidemic, which they now believe has been slowing for nearly a decade, according to U.N. documents prepared for the announcement.

AIDS remains a devastating public health crisis in the most heavily affected areas of sub-Saharan Africa. But the far-reaching revisions amount to at least a partial acknowledgment of criticisms long leveled by outside researchers who disputed the U.N. portrayal of an ever-expanding global epidemic.

The latest estimates, due to be released publicly Tuesday, put the number of annual new HIV infections at 2.5 million, a cut of more than 40 percent from last year's estimate, documents show. The worldwide total of people infected with HIV — estimated a year ago at nearly 40 million and rising — now will be reported as 33 million.

Having millions fewer people with a lethal contagious disease is good news. Some researchers, however, contend that persistent overestimates in the widely quoted U.N. reports have long skewed funding decisions and obscured potential lessons about how to slow the spread of HIV. Critics have also said that U.N. officials overstated the extent of the epidemic to help gather political and financial support for combating AIDS.
Wow, there's a surprise.

And, as I recall, we're seeing the same sort of "adjustment" in another report out of that body, aren't we?
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Previous Comments to this Post 

And, it’s a point I made last week.

You know, for every other organization on the planet this kind of a fabrication, would cause a serious credibility problem; serious enough to cause an organization to be discounted when they make such pronouncements about AGW, and Aids and whatever else.
For some reason, however, the United Nations gets a pass.
Written By: Bithead
Well it doesn’t surprise me that the UN looks incompetent once again, but that is good news that the spread of AIDS has slowed a bit. Even so, my God the poor Africans are still being hit hard with this!
Written By: John
For those of who read references such as "The Myth of Heterosexual AIDS" (published back in 1989!), this comes as no surprise. It’s long been clear that the counting methodologies were more political than scientific.
Written By: Billy Hollis
URL: http://
Never heard of this book, but of course I rarely read much on the subject anyways to be honest. If this book skewers radical AIDS activists, like ACT-UP, for their shenanigans that’s a good thing IMO. However, the title is a bit disturbing for while in the USA gays who foolishly indulge in hedonism are the majority of cases, that’s not true for all cases or the majority throughout the world. Eh, if it’s a call to use the head on your shoulders before giving into momentary gratification that’s good. I don’t believe the good Lord ever intended sex to be a recreational activity one can partake in with as many partners as they please.
Written By: John
...that’s not true for all cases or the majority throughout the world.
The book was focused on the US (which was where most of the action on AIDS was at that point in time) and did not say heterosexual transmission was unknown - just that the rates of heterosexual transmission were very, very low and the disease was heavily concentrated in the gay, bi, and drug-using communities. One of the book’s main conclusions was that the danger to the heterosexual community was exaggerated to get more funding for AIDS research and education. Tracking heterosexual rates of transmission in America in the ensuing years suggests he was probably correct.
Written By: Billy Hollis
URL: http://
Beats me, since I don’t live my life making whoopee like bunnies with multiple hares I haven’t followed this closely. I would caution anyone though regardless of sexuality to be careful in whom they choose to engage in...shall we say extracurricular activities with. As far as funding goes, this wouldn’t surprise me as things with far higher rates, like cancer and heart disease, aren’t funded as they should be. Pity.
Written By: John

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