Posted by: McQ on Saturday, December 29, 2007 The polls have all but declared Iowa a tie for the top three Democrats. And last week, when we consulted Intrade, it broke down like this: Clinton: 39.4 Obama: 50 Edwards: 24 So how is it looking now with only a few days to go? Clinton: 38.7 Obama: 44.9 Edwards: 22.5 Obama has taken a considerable hit over the last week but neither Clinton or Edwards seem to have benefited from it (both having lost a little ground). Last week the numbers for New Hampshire were this: Clinton: 56 Obama: 48 Edwards: 1.9 This week they break down like this: Clinton: 57.3 Obama: 44 Edwards: 1.6 So Clinton has extended her lead, Obama has taken about the same hit in NH that he took in Iowa and Edwards is simply not a contender for the folks at Intrade. How about the Republicans in Iowa? Romney: 35.1 McCain: 5.0 Huckabee: 60.1 Thompson 1.5 Huckabee's seen a drop in his numbers (from 66.6) and that and more has gone to Romney who was at 24.1 last week. McCain has remained about the same, but Thompson has dropped 4 points (5.5) even though polls in IA have him running third there. Giuliani is nowhere to be seen (0.2). And NH? Last week: Romney: 56 McCain: 29.9 Huckabee: 4.8 This week: Romney: 47 McCain: 40 Huckabee: 4.9 Strong surge by McCain and a 9 point loss by Romney. Thompson and Giuliani are at 0.3 and 1.2 respectively. |
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