Meta-Blog

SEARCH QandO

Email:
Jon Henke
Bruce "McQ" McQuain
Dale Franks
Bryan Pick
Billy Hollis
Lance Paddock
MichaelW

BLOGROLL QandO

 
 
Recent Posts
The Ayers Resurrection Tour
Special Friends Get Special Breaks
One Hour
The Hope and Change Express - stalled in the slow lane
Michael Steele New RNC Chairman
Things that make you go "hmmmm"...
Oh yeah, that "rule of law" thing ...
Putting Dollar Signs in Front Of The AGW Hoax
Moving toward a 60 vote majority?
Do As I Say ....
 
 
QandO Newsroom

Newsroom Home Page

US News

US National News
Politics
Business
Science
Technology
Health
Entertainment
Sports
Opinion/Editorial

International News

Top World New
Iraq News
Mideast Conflict

Blogging

Blogpulse Daily Highlights
Daypop Top 40 Links

Regional

Regional News

Publications

News Publications

 
The Primary Scoreboard from Intrade
Posted by: McQ on Saturday, December 29, 2007

The polls have all but declared Iowa a tie for the top three Democrats. And last week, when we consulted Intrade, it broke down like this:

Clinton: 39.4

Obama: 50

Edwards: 24

So how is it looking now with only a few days to go?

Clinton: 38.7

Obama: 44.9

Edwards: 22.5

Obama has taken a considerable hit over the last week but neither Clinton or Edwards seem to have benefited from it (both having lost a little ground).

Last week the numbers for New Hampshire were this:

Clinton: 56

Obama: 48

Edwards: 1.9

This week they break down like this:

Clinton: 57.3

Obama: 44

Edwards: 1.6

So Clinton has extended her lead, Obama has taken about the same hit in NH that he took in Iowa and Edwards is simply not a contender for the folks at Intrade.

How about the Republicans in Iowa?

Romney: 35.1

McCain: 5.0

Huckabee: 60.1

Thompson 1.5

Huckabee's seen a drop in his numbers (from 66.6) and that and more has gone to Romney who was at 24.1 last week. McCain has remained about the same, but Thompson has dropped 4 points (5.5) even though polls in IA have him running third there. Giuliani is nowhere to be seen (0.2).

And NH? Last week:

Romney: 56

McCain: 29.9

Huckabee: 4.8

This week:

Romney: 47

McCain: 40

Huckabee: 4.9

Strong surge by McCain and a 9 point loss by Romney. Thompson and Giuliani are at 0.3 and 1.2 respectively.
 
TrackBacks
Return to Main Blog Page
 
 

Previous Comments to this Post 

Comments
Given the nature of the Iowa caucus, I’ve got to wonder just how accurate polling there is. And without any more definitive gauge to rely upon, I also wonder just how predictive intrade (or tradesports) is.

My gut tells me Thompson and McCain will fare better than expected, Romney on par, and Huckabee worse. I have no sense what the Dems will do, but then, they haven’t nominated who I thought their strongest candidate was for years.
 
Written By: bains
URL: http://

 
Add Your Comment
  NOTICE: While we don't wish to censor your thoughts, we do blacklist certain terms of profanity or obscenity. This is not to muzzle you, but to ensure that the blog remains work-safe for our readers. If you wish to use profanity, simply insert asterisks (*) where the vowels usually go. Your meaning will still be clear, but our readers will be able to view the blog without worrying that content monitoring will get them in trouble when reading it.
Comments for this entry are closed.
Name:
Email:
URL:
HTML Tools:
Bold Italic Blockquote Hyperlink
Comment:
   
 
Vicious Capitalism

Divider

Buy Dale's Book!
Slackernomics by Dale Franks

Divider

Divider