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Hillary: This Can’t be Good
Posted by: Dale Franks on Saturday, January 05, 2008

Time magazine's election blog is reporting that things could have gone better for Hillary Clinton tonight at the big Club 100 dinner in New Hampshire.
If the New Hampshire Democratic Party’s 100 Club dinner is any bell weather – Barack Obama will handily win here. When Obama, the dinner’s last speaker, took the stage the crowd surged forward chanting “O-bam-a” and “Fired Up, Ready to Go!” So many people pressed toward the stage that an announcer asked people to “please take their seats for safety concerns.”

By comparison Hillary was twice booed. The first time was when she said she has always and will continue to work for "change for you. The audience, particularly from Obama supporters (they were waving Obama signs) let out a noise that sounded like a thousand people collectively groaning. The second time came a few minutes later when Clinton said: "The there are two big questions for voters in New Hampshire. One is: who will be ready to lead from day one? The second," and here Clinton was forced to pause as boos from the crowd mixed with cheers from her own supporters. "Is who can we nominate who will go the distance against the Republicans?”
She really needs to get cracking in order to nip this kind of reaction in the bud. Obama is riding high coming ff his Iowa caucus victory, and frankly, the sharks are smelling blood in the water where Clinton is concerned.

She is not Bill. People don't have the same liking for her that he received, mainly because Bill Clinton can be much warmer and far more charismatic and charming. Whatever else her strengths may be, those aren't them.

And she needs to find those strengths quickly. Because, the odd thing about American politics is that their outcomes can so often hinge on specific moments in time.

"Snowflakes" in Ed Muskie's eyes.

"I'm paying for this microphone!"

George HW Bush looking at his watch.

"Yeeeeeaaaargh!"

"There he goes again."

Michael Dukakis in the tanker helmet.

Specific moments that create a new view in the mind of the electorate, or solidly confirm a pre-existing one.

Before Iowa there was a myth about Ms. Clinton. The myth of inevitability and invincibility. Iowa shattered that myth, and she needs a replacement for it. Fast.

If she can't find it, and find a way to connect with Democratic voters, or at least find a way to tarnish Obama's image, then this is the beginning of a humiliating end for her, and a blow-out victory for him.

In 1992, Bill Clinton could lose in Iowa and New Hampshire, and it didn't matter. He was a hick governor from a small state full of hayseeds. Nobody expected anything from him in the first place. Hillary Clinton is in exactly the opposite position. The primaries were supposed to be a long, pomp-filled coronation for her. Everyone has been waiting for her to run since 2000. If she can't close the deal early, she begins to look like a loser. That makes the rest of the nomination process an uphill battle for her. And right now, she's looking like the loser and Obama the winner in both New Hampshire and South Carolina, according to both the polling numbers and the Intrade contract prices.

It's too early to say "stick a fork in her, she's done", but the oven timer is about to go off.
 
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Previous Comments to this Post 

Comments
I don’t think the fat lady has sung yet, but I’ve been wondering. What happens to the Clintons when Hillary fails here?

I guess Hillary will remain a Senator. But for how long? And Bill will probably sulk around and hope for an ambassadorship.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
Face facts. Americans do not like Hillary. If she can’t get the job, Bill will stop liking her. Hillary is an older Rosie O’Donnell without the charm.
 
Written By: Arch
URL: http://
I always thought Hillary was overrated. I think the far right wants to imagine a kind of evil Clinton supermachine that has almost magical (albeit black magic) qualities. Nah, she’s just a politician, and her strengths don’t fit the mood of the country right now. I think some on the right really wanted another Clinton to focus upon. Ironically, the mood of the electorate is much like 1992, a year when the Democratic candidate was criticized for lack of experience and substance. That didn’t seem a problem to her then.
 
Written By: Scott Erb
URL: http://faculty.umf.maine.edu/~erb/blog.htm
Franks writes of Hillary:
She is not Bill.
Bill was not Bill.

The two of them are about equal in not being Bill.

People who could sit and listen to Bill as if he were making sense can do the same for her.

Her immediate problem is to remain calm, and act like a lady, as her thugs straighten Obama out.

 
Written By: Martin McPhillips
URL: http://mcphillips.blogspot.com/
Boris Erb writes:
I always thought Hillary was overrated. I think the far right wants to imagine a kind of evil Clinton supermachine that has almost magical (albeit black magic) qualities. Nah, she’s just a politician, and her strengths don’t fit the mood of the country right now.
The Clinton machine, Boris, is the most smashmouth political organization that exists, as Barack Obama is about to find out. You like to talk about the power of "mafias." Well, the Clintons run the closest thing to a mafia as exists in American politics as has ever existed.
 
Written By: Martin McPhillips
URL: http://mcphillips.blogspot.com/
One of her "strengths" is her ruthlessness. And don’t think for one minute that her Mafia aren’t looking at the little conspiracy theory at HuffPo (assuming they didn’t arrange for it) and going "Hmmmmm. How hard could Blackwater logos and badges be to fake? No Obama. Bush takes the fall. Sounds like a win-win."

NB: my family is from Arkansas. We’ve seen them up close.
 
Written By: SDN
URL: http://

 
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