Posted by: Dale Franks on Sunday, January 27, 2008 Playing with the QandO Electoral Vote Counter, I looked up some historical info. Looking over the last four elections, a number of states have voted for the same party in all elections since 1992.
So, let's look, then, at states which have voted for the same party in 3 of the last 4 elections.
So, the worst-case scenario for the Democrat candidate is that 22 electoral votes are needed to put them over the top. Best case, based on historical votes, is that they are only 13 electoral votes short. All they need is a win in Ohio, or failing that, any of the two other eastern swing states. In other words, Republicans have to win Ohio, and pretty much every other eastern state. It really depends on the candidates, of course, but the Dems sure start out with an advantage. |
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