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The Dem Veep Sweepstakes
Posted by: mcq on Friday, February 08, 2008

Kevin Drum talks "veep" on the Dem side, based on Lee Sigelman's calculations:
Assuming that neither Hillary Clinton nor Barack Obama chooses the other as their running mate, who would be their top choice? Lee Sigelman has applied Scienceā„¢ to this question and concludes that the first pick for both candidates is.....

Ohio governor Ted Strickland.

The implicit electoral cynicism of this choice is pretty overwhelming, but still, I guess I'll buy it. A lot of people assume that one of the primary also-rans is the most likely choice, but in fact winning nominees rarely choose one of their erstwhile competitors. Kerry did it in 2004 and Reagan did it in 1980, and then you have to go all the way back to 1960 to find another example. That's a grand total of three times in half a century.

FWIW, Sigelman figures that Obama's top three choices are Strickland, Sam Nunn, and Jim Webb. Clinton's top three are Strickland, Sam Nunn, and (in a tie) Jim Webb and Mark Warner.
OK, I throw this up here for fun because no one to include Kevin Drum or Lee Sigelman have any idea of who the Dem veep pick might be (since, first, it depends on who wins the nomination, and that's not clear yet). But even so, I was a bit surprised to see Sam Nunn's name appear on the short list for each. But there are so many more choices to be had for strategic reasons. Like Wes Clark. Southern, national defense bona fides out the wazoo, a perfect VP pick for either candidate. And then there's the whole "if Obama wins he'll pick a woman, if Hillary wins, she'll pick a black" school of thought.

One thing I'm pretty sure of though, is that if Obama wins, Hillary won't be his pick and if Obama wins, Hillary will be sitting it out as well. And while they may be a Democrat dream ticket, I don't think there's any love lost between the two and I doubt that either one would care to play second fiddle to the other.
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Previous Comments to this Post 

Odds on favorite is Indiana’s Evan Bayh.

It’s kind of funny that he didn’t run for President because he thought the Democrats would choose a more populist candidate. Considering that the most populist candidate got slaughtered in the polls, he might be kicking himself. Still with Obama and Hillary sucking all the oxygen out of the room (mediawise), he probably would not have fared any better than Edwards.

Written By: Captin Sarcastic
URL: http://
Clinton - William Jefferson
Obama - Nancy Pelosi

PC syncronicity...

Seriously, Barak would benefit from Bill Richardson tremendously. Whereas Hillary would benefit most from... Bill.
Written By: bains
URL: http://
Barack, colin Powell(VP) Condi(State) Sharpton(Inland security) Jesse(DOD) Rangel(FBI) One of the Jena 6 (Justice); Tawana (somewhere); well, you get the idea!

He’s gotta have people around him he can trust, and that ain’t Whitey!

It ain’t racist; it’s affirmative action!

How dare you question his motives you prejudiced pig?!
Written By: eliXelx
URL: http://

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