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Maine Dem Caucus
Posted by: Dale Franks on Sunday, February 10, 2008

Well, it's more bad news for Hillary Clinton today in Maine. With 56% of the caucuses finished, the current total is:

Obama: 57%
Clinton: 42%
Uncommitted: 1%

I expect the bad news will continue on Tuesday, when VA, MD, and DC hold primaries. Clinton could win VA, but I expect that DC and MD will go to Obama. Frankly, I think VA will, too, but Clinton has a shot there.

Of course, she was supposed to have a shot in Maine, too.

All of this Obamamentum apparently isn't sitting well with the Clinton Camp.
Hillary Clinton's most senior advisers are in a state of "panic" about her presidential prospects and are plotting to enlist Democrat leaders in Congress to thwart her rival Barack Obama's ambitions.

The Clinton camp is braced for Mr Obama to win a series of primary elections over the next three weeks, which they fear could hand the Illinois senator unstoppable momentum in the race for the White House...

The Clinton camp hopes to stop the Obama bandwagon by winning Texas and Ohio primaries on March 4, after which Mrs Clinton is planning to call on party grandees including Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives and Harry Reid, the party's leader in the Senate, to persuade Mr Obama to stand down.
Well, if she loses everything from now until 4 Mar, I'm not sure a win in TX and OH will be enough to argue that she should be the nominee.

That isn't to say the argument won't work, but it's not a very compelling one.

By the way, the current delegate count is:

Hillary Clinton
Pledged: 915
Superdelegates: 224
Total: 1,139

Barack Obama
Pledged: 971
Superdelegates: 135
Total: 1,106

This must be Hillary Clinton's worst nightmare.

UPDATE: In another sign of the turmoil in the Clinton campaign:
Patti Solis Doyle announced that she is stepping down as the campaign manager for the presidential campaign of Sen. Hilary Clinton, D-N.Y., ABC News has learned that this afternoon.

In a note she sent to her staff, Solis Doyle announced that this week Maggie Williams, Clinton's chief of staff when she was first lady, "will begin to assume the duties of campaign manager." Solis Doyle, 42, said she would remain as a senior adviser to the campaign.
Just out of curiosity, do you think the problem is with the management of the campaign, or with the candidate?

UPDATE II: CNN is projecting Obama as the winner in Maine. With 70% of caucuses finished, the tally is:

Obama: 58%
Clinton: 41%
Uncommitted: 1%

That brings the delegate count to:

Hillary Clinton
Pledged: 924
Superdelegates: 224
Total: 1,148

Barack Obama
Pledged: 986
Superdelegates: 135
Total: 1,121

Those changes reflect the pledged delegates. No doubt the superdelegates will weigh in over the next day or so.
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Previous Comments to this Post 

This must be Hillary Clinton’s worst nightmare.

What being threatened by a Black Man or having to face the Oprah?

I think at this point Bill needs to ADMIT to another affair....Then Hillary can stand by him, and her poll numbers go WAY more crying, that always seems to help.

And Chelsea, good she start going out without any knickers, find a few paparazzi? And being committed, that’s good too...preferably both, no knickers and being committed...

I’m missing some good stuff, I’m sure everyone else here can help me out...I mean even Oliver Willis could contribute, because this is IMPORTANT
Written By: Joe
URL: http://
If Hillary (or Bill) made a call to Nancy like that, I can suggest a good line to zing back at them (although I doubt her ambitions actually run that high):
"Did it ever occur to you that maybe I want to be the first female president?"
Written By: kishnevi
URL: http://
I honestly believe that if Obama is the closer to winning the Del count, his super deligates will stick around until at least afterthe first vote (likely the second).

They can sense the political winds just as well as any other politician, and will know that backing the winner (Obama) will be better for them than switching and changing who wins...
Written By: Scott Jacobs
URL: http://
"The Clinton camp hopes to stop the Obama bandwagon by winning Texas and Ohio primaries on March 4, after which Mrs Clinton is planning to call on party grandees including Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives and Harry Reid, the party’s leader in the Senate, to persuade Mr Obama to stand down.

If Barrack does halfway good in TX and ohio Hillary can kiss the baby.
Written By: retired military
URL: http://
More tears in the forecast
Written By: Bandit
URL: http://
Well since my vote wont count in the TX republican primary I think I will go ahead and vote for Obama. Anything to deny the queen her coronation.

Written By: retired military
URL: http://
How long until Hillary begins her pleadings to get the Michigan and Florida delegates seated?
Written By: Is
URL: http://
I have already changed my registration to Dem, in order to vote for Obama in the primary here in Ohio. We get McCain, they get Obama, everybody loses.
Written By: Paden Cash
URL: http://
She will call upon Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid to work on her behalf?! Yet another example of Hillary’s top-notch decision making.
Written By: Tim
URL: http://
Vote for Obama? Unless one is entirely concerned with spiting Clinton and McCain, I disagree. As I see it:

* McCain would have an easier race against Clinton.
* Obama has momentum now and he could wrap up the nomination. It’d be better for the Dem contest to be bitterly contested all the way to the end.
* The Dems have the pendulumn swing to win the White House in 2008. I’d prefer to have Hillary as president than the inexperienced, untested, rock star, Obama.
Written By: huxley
URL: http://
"How long until Hillary begins her pleadings to get the Michigan and Florida delegates seated? "

Too late she started the ground work there a few weeks ago if I remember correctly.

If I had to choose between Hillary and Obama in the White House I think I will take Obama. Less experience means that he may not have the wherewithall to ram things down our throats as much as Hillary has. He doesnt have the poltical machine Hillary has and I think would be more careful about making mistakes. As the first African American in office he knows that he will be a standard bearer whereas Hillary’s power meglomania is well known.

Plus Obama is a lot easier to actually listen to for the next few months.

In addition Obama doesnt have much substance to him. Hillary on the other hand has more exp in dealing with Washington and I truly shudder to think of her at the controls.

In the long run I think Hillary will get the nomination anyway. Even if it takes 2 or 3 folks on the grassy gnoll to get it. Put nothing past her.

And that more than anything will cement the election for McCain. Hillary will destroy the democratic party in her quest for power. Lets hope she suceeds in doing so.

Written By: retired military
URL: http://

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