Meta-Blog

SEARCH QandO

Email:
Jon Henke
Bruce "McQ" McQuain
Dale Franks
Bryan Pick
Billy Hollis
Lance Paddock
MichaelW

BLOGROLL QandO

 
 
Recent Posts
The Ayers Resurrection Tour
Special Friends Get Special Breaks
One Hour
The Hope and Change Express - stalled in the slow lane
Michael Steele New RNC Chairman
Things that make you go "hmmmm"...
Oh yeah, that "rule of law" thing ...
Putting Dollar Signs in Front Of The AGW Hoax
Moving toward a 60 vote majority?
Do As I Say ....
 
 
QandO Newsroom

Newsroom Home Page

US News

US National News
Politics
Business
Science
Technology
Health
Entertainment
Sports
Opinion/Editorial

International News

Top World New
Iraq News
Mideast Conflict

Blogging

Blogpulse Daily Highlights
Daypop Top 40 Links

Regional

Regional News

Publications

News Publications

 
Could Nader actually be a factor in November?
Posted by: McQ on Monday, March 17, 2008

Conventional wisdom seems to believe that a Nader candidacy would only pull a very paltry vote, mainly because of the attractiveness of the Democratic candidates, somewhere around 1%. But a new Zogby poll throws a little cold water on that small percentage:
Ralph Nader's just-starting presidential campaign is bragging today about a poll released over the weekend that showed that he consumer activist and political gadfly would get 6 percent of the vote in a three-way race with Republican John McCain (45 percent) and Democrat Hillary Clinton (39 percent) and would get 5 percent in a contest with McCain (44 percent) and Democrat Barack Obama (39 percent).

Nader's support is enough to make a difference, and he takes more voters away from Democrats, according to Zogby International, which conducted the survey on March 13 and 14 (it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points).
Now add the usual disclaimers (a poll in March vs. November, etc., etc.), but understand that in reality such a number has other effects which, without the high percentage, don't happen:
"The messages to Democrats are clear — number one, Nader may win enough support to get into the general election debates. Number two, what could be at risk is support among several key constituencies that the Democratic Party candidate will need to win in November, notably younger voters, independents, and progressives."
Of course, on the other side of this, having Nader on stage with either of the possible Democratic nominees makes them look almost centrist. OTOH, McCain wouldn't be the oldest person in the debate. And it would certainly would have a tendency to derail the planned 'civil debate' between collegial Senators, that's for sure.

All in all, another wildcard in the most interesting and entertaining presidential campaign in my memory.
 
TrackBacks
Return to Main Blog Page
 
 

Previous Comments to this Post 

Comments
I think that if Obama gets the nomination (and I think he will), Nader will be running to his left. There isn’t much room on that flank, and the people that Nader does draw in are going to be of the moon bat wing of the party. I can’t see him drawing enough votes to make a difference.
 
Written By: Tim M
URL: http://
All in all, another wildcard in the most interesting and entertaining presidential campaign in my memory
But the Punchline sucks.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
A question:

When Nader ran in ’04, weren’t the Democrats able to bar Nader’s name from the Presidential ballot?

If this is true, what’s to stop them from doing so again in ’08. More importantly, how is it legally possible for Democrats to achieve this?
 
Written By: JasperPants
URL: http://
the people that Nader does draw in are going to be of the moon bat wing of the party
That’s not an insignificant bloc. Regardless, it would be interesting to see where Nader was polling before the Wright episode.
 
Written By: Is
URL: http://

 
Add Your Comment
  NOTICE: While we don't wish to censor your thoughts, we do blacklist certain terms of profanity or obscenity. This is not to muzzle you, but to ensure that the blog remains work-safe for our readers. If you wish to use profanity, simply insert asterisks (*) where the vowels usually go. Your meaning will still be clear, but our readers will be able to view the blog without worrying that content monitoring will get them in trouble when reading it.
Comments for this entry are closed.
Name:
Email:
URL:
HTML Tools:
Bold Italic Blockquote Hyperlink
Comment:
   
 
Vicious Capitalism

Divider

Buy Dale's Book!
Slackernomics by Dale Franks

Divider

Divider