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Poll: Obama’s lead evaporates (update)
Posted by: McQ on Wednesday, March 19, 2008

A Reuters/Zogby poll shows Obama slipping in the polls. His 14 point lead against Hillary Clinton has dropped to 3 points (47-44, within the margin of error) and his numbers against John McCain have reversed.
"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.

Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 percent to 40 percent, narrower than his 50 to 38 percent advantage over her in February.

"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side," Zogby said
Or said another way, it is much to early to put much emphasis on these polls. However, they are a snapshot of the thinking within the electorate at the time of the poll and I think it indicates the impact of the Wright story.

The McCain numbers point to the effect that the continued strife within the Democratic primary is having.

I'd also point out that this is a poll taken before Obama's speech. It'll be interesting to see a post-speech poll from Reuters/Zogby in the next few days.

UPDATE: A new Gallup poll has Clinton taking the lead from Obama among all Democrats for the first time since just prior to Super Tuesday. I can promise you the super delegates are hearing all about it.
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Comments
I tend to doubt the Obama speech is going to change the mind of anyone who already wouldn’t vote for him. Is there really anyone out there who has considered the Obama/Wright relationship to any serious degree, heard the speech yesterday and said to themselves "oh, he handled that! Sign me up for Changeyness!"
 
Written By: RDub
URL: http://
It’s the people in the middle that matter and I really don’t know how they are handling the bumpy ride from Rev. Wright’s YouTube clips to Obama’s new speech.

It was a well-crafted and crafty speech. If a person just listens to it once, I think he or she will be carried away by the soaring rhetoric and seemingly evenhanded humanity. You have to read the speech a few times and really focus on the equivalences that Obama presents (is his grandmother’s fear of blacks on the street and her occasional private use of the N-word equivalent to Wright’s cursing and lying about America from a pulpit to a congregation and then broadcast via CDs and tapes to a larger audience?) and the alternatives Obama fails to mention (couldn’t Obama have spoken some truth to Wright’s power when Wright was out of control?).

I will hazard the guess, though, that a fair number of working and middle-class whites really don’t want another lecture on slavery and how much slack they are supposed to keep cutting for blacks or else whites are racists. I think Obama lost those people for good.

The deal Obama was offering to whites was that if you supported him you didn’t have to feel guilty about race. Not so.
 
Written By: huxley
URL: http://
I think Obama’s basic favorable numbers will hardly move at all - but that his unfavorable numbers will jump considerably. I also believe that he has not put this behind him and that as time goes on, both his favorable and unfavorable numbers will suffer.

Obama is a "one trick pony" and he has played his one trick. From now on Hillary will virtually take the rest of the Primaries. In fact, as a result of this and the previous NAFTA glitch from Obama, Hillary could take Pennsylvania by better than 20 points.
 
Written By: SShiell
URL: http://
Huxley,

I agree totally. I think many working class and middle class whites really thought that Obama was the person that might be able to move us forward on the race issue. But after hearing Wright’s ranting, and learning about Obama’s connection to Wright, I believe the same group just said "my God, this will never end, no matter who’s in power or what we do".

Mighty sad.
 
Written By: autot
URL: http://
(is his grandmother’s fear of blacks on the street and her occasional private use of the N-word equivalent to Wright’s cursing and lying about America from a pulpit to a congregation and then broadcast via CDs and tapes to a larger audience?)
Way to throw your granny under the bus Obama....

 
Written By: shark
URL: http://
I’ll be glad if people who are Democrats take their party back from the radicals and their donkibots.

The main reason one parties can go to crap is because the other one is going there as well.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://

 
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