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MS 01 goes Democrat
Posted by: McQ on Tuesday, May 13, 2008

The Tupelo Daily Journal has declared Travis Childers, Democrat, the winner in a closely watched special election runoff. Childers took Republican Greg Davis 53% to 47%. This is he first deep red seat (George Bush took this district by 25 points in the last election) in the deep red South that Dems have taken.

The implication is, of course, that November Congressional elections are shaping up as a blood bath for the Republicans.

And, of course, the further implication is that if so, unless people are willing to be ticket splitters, this could also spell problems for John McCain.

I really can't fault the thinking at this point.

OTOH, the MSM (and its pundits) will try a different spin as to why Childers won.

Mark Ambinder:
Because Davis and Childers tangled via advertisements over whether Childers had been endorsed by Obama amid Rev. Wright's revenge tour, the press will be tempted to spin a Childers victory as a sign that Obama is not a drag on the ticket. Local factors and the national environment are going to be dispositive here, not Barack Obama. So don't believe the hype.
I can't fault the thinking there either.

Is it or is it not an foretaste of things to come?

Way to early to tell.
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Previous Comments to this Post 

Nothing really has changed since ’06 to reverse the public’s sentiment wrt Republicans.
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
Are you scared, McQ? After all, your state is the home of the bartender who comapred Obama to a monkey and was selling t-thirts to that effect. What the hell is wrong with you people? r midst.

Seriously. What is your problem?

Of course, your colleague, Mr. Henke, worked for a die-hard racist George Allen. And now Henke has teamed up with another die-hard racist, Soren Dayton.

What the hell is wrong with you people?
Written By: mkultra
URL: http://
Seriously. When are the right-wingers from the South prepared to deal with their racist heritage? Mr. Henke, by teaming up with Mr. Dayton, has obviously signaled that he is not prepared to do so.

But when are you are prepared to do so, McQ?
Written By: mkultra
URL: http://
MK, you are really funny, in the get them to the asylum sense. Here you are dancing upon a grave that the right has already dutifully dug, respected, and covered. You are doing pirouettes to songs long silenced while the right has move[d]

While you may take glee in what is looking like a slaughter for the GOP this upcoming national election, I suspect you mistake disdain for our candidates for love and adoration for yours. Barack may well win the White House, but he’ll have whole lot of opponents that detest his proposals marginally more than what the GOP offered. I may in fact vote for him just to see how grotesque the contortions you and your ilk in acedemia/media engage in to propose that what will have ensued wasn’t Messiah’s fault.

Sometimes I wish that the national media would back my side, as they have backed leftists for 40 years. But then, I realize, were that the case, I would be as stupid as you.
Written By: bains
URL: http://
I suspect we’re experiencing a "recreate ’76". With the only consolation is that at the end of it, Democrats will lose power an even longer period of time.

But that would also require the Republicans to stand for something other than being moderated Democrat clones. In which case, people will elect the original over the clones.
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
I suspect that the region has, as a percentage far more Democrats than it had prior to Katrina, as a product of a goodly chunk of the Republicans moving out.

Written By: Bithead
I thought you had kicked MK and his ridiculous rantings off of the blog.

Hey socialist idiot, If the South has such a horrible racist heritage can you tell me why nearly every incident of police brutality, racial violence, and race riots in the last twenty years are either in the west coast, the east coast, St Louis, or Detroit?

As for the elections, I see no hope for republicans, and I will not support McCain, so the nation, for the first time since Carter, will have the chance to experience exactly what pure liberalism is. It’s gonna be a hoot.
Written By: kyleN
The conservatives have been saying for a few YEARS now that the Republicans do not represent them. The Republicans answer is to become more like the Democrats.

Written By: SkyWatch
URL: http://
First of all, this is one special election in one Congressional district. I think it is a reach to apply this a national trend. You might look at the governor’s race in Louisiana or the House race in Mass.

Second, there is anger among conservatives about the republicans congress and white house. Spending, earmarks and misbehavior have undermined their support. The 2006 congressional election was not about the war. It was about abandoning values - small government, social conservative issues.

Third, McCain has not yet begun to campaign. The democrats plan to attack the economy and tie McCain to Bush. John is perfectly capable of handling himself. No one considers McCain a Bush clone.

Finally, sooner or later people are going to look at the lack of substance in Barack Hussein Obama and wonder where he might take us. White guilt may be rampant among the Liberal Left, but it’s not popular with the center or the right where this election will be won.
Written By: Arch
URL: http://
The anger at the Republicans is understated. I think "rage" is the better word.

I’ll vote for McCain, based on his word on judges, but I won’t give the Republicans a dime. Jim Walsh, RINO, NY is retiring. He was another prince of pork, no drilling in ANWR, gang of 14 moron who barely won re-election in 2006 against some political hack who moved back to the area to run against him. What does he do after a close victory? He chastized the voters who didn’t vote for him.

Hey, Congressman. You left us. We just returned the favor.

Given a choice between bigger government and even bigger government, what’s a voter to do?
Written By: MarkD
URL: http://
Wow...MK is really unhinged lately more than usual.

Written By: shark
URL: http://
How can you tell, shark?

Written By: Bithead
I think it is a foretaste of things to come. The GOP sold out and increased the size of government. For this they rightly deserve to be out of power. I think they are headed for another blood bath.

That said, the Dems will overreach. They’ll win the presidency and have the majority of both houses. With this they’ll enact a laundry list of bad big government policies and raise taxes. It could be as little as two years before Americans get fed up with this.

These sorts of power switches used to take a few terms to happen. This doesn’t seem to be true anymore. It is taking less and less time for the voters to disapprove of whichever party is in power.

IMHO, this is a good thing. Maybe it will get us something different than either the DNC or the GOP. I have no use for either.
Written By: tkc
URL: http://
Clearly the result in MS01 isn’t good news for Republicans. But I’d expect that a race without McCain Obama on the ticket has got to be more about local issues and give candidates more freedom to distance themselves from national parties (which distance would help the Democrat in this instance) than will be that case in the fall. Places like this will be harder for Democrats to win in the fall than this one was yesterday because, national Dem issues will be more prominent and harder to ignore, and voting R for president should make voting D for congress harder. Although if the McCain hate evident in comments here is any indication (which I don’t expect it is) maybe those coattails aren’t as strong.
Written By: Retief
URL: http://

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