I’ve been giving this alot of thought lately, and honestly, I don’t think it matters anymore.
The Democratic party is split. But so is the Republican Party. While there is (arguably) anywhere between 15-20 percent of Democrats who say they wont vote for Obama...the same is true about McCain. Hell, I’m not gonna vote for the guy, and Obama SCARES me, and I know I’m not the only one out there.
The Presidency, in the past, has been reduced to a ’who do you like more’ contest. We saw that with JFK and Nixon. We saw it with Dole vs Clinton. Hell, we saw it with Kerry vs Bush. Paired up against McCain, and if last night’s speech is any indication of how the campaign is going to be run...I don’t think McCain has a snowball’s chance in Hell.
call me pessimistic, but considering the Charisma, the ’historic opportunity’, Bush fatigue, the Economy perception: all of these things together spell Democratic Victory, and not by a little, either.
I pray I’m wrong, but from where I’m sitting, things look quite bleak. |
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Written By:
Joel C.
URL:
http://
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Obama/Clinton will be enough to win in November, but it would also haunt the rest of Obama’s presidency. Do you really want Bill and Hillary backseat driving your Administration for four to eight years? No. |
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Written By:
Jeff the Baptist
URL:
http://jeffthebaptist.blogspot.com
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Hillary will hurt more than help. How can "hope and change" wed itself to the same old hackery? The margins is where this election will be fought, and Hillary does not help there
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Written By:
shark
URL:
http://
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Uh, folks, Obama and Hillary hate each other. And Bill Clinton hates Obama more than his wife. And Obama’s wife hates the Clintons.
A ticket with these two? Forget it. Those who continue to either believe it will happen or think it will are delusional.
Ain’t gonna happen. You can bet on it. |
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Written By:
James Marsden
URL:
http://
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"I don’t think McCain has a snowball’s chance in Hell."
I hate to disagree, but I foresee a McCain victory, 52%-47%.
Obama is too untested, too inexperienced, and too smarmy to win. The center, the Independents, and the middle class and working class just do not like him. Heck, even nearly 40% of Jews are prepared to vote against him.
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Written By:
James Marsden
URL:
http://
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Written By:
cvfhxtapmmp
URL:
http://trkeucqodqyb.com/
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Obama is too untested, too inexperienced, and too smarmy to win. And too black. There is a very real 10% or 20% of non-minority Democrats who will vote against him because of his color, especially when the Republicans are running a "maverick" who is just about as close to the center of the Democrat party as Obama is. There’s even 10% of minority Democrats who will vote against Obama because Obama is a professional minority, just a step above Reverends Jackson and Sharpton. |
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Written By:
Arcs
URL:
http://
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Both parties are split and discombobulated.
I put forth the following theory: The biggest significance of the Presidential election is that it will determine how the political parties re-align over the next couple of years.
Realignment is ripe, because both parties are split and fractious. Consolidation is inevitable (it is part of the cycle), but how they consolidate is not.
The winner of the election will become the de facto leader of their party. The party will align around their ideology, with not insignificant aisle jumping involved, most likely. The opposition party will align around the polar opposite, because that is what they do. (For instance, note how the both Republican and Democratic opinion of the advisability of intervention in Iraq is fully determined by whether or not they hold the Presidency; the President, living in the real world, continues to believe it is advisable on one level or another, and the other party reflexively opposes them.)
Long term, I am tempted to think that both outcomes this election favor the Republicans, however, it favors different Republicans. Obama’s election will cause the Republicans to align against far-leftism, which would be refreshing for much of the electorate. McCain’s election would cause the Republicans to grab more of the "center" and more of the electors, but it would be a more incoherent platform and coalition that would probably fall apart more quickly.
(Long term, the outcomes favor Republicans because Republicans breed more.) |
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Written By:
Jeremy Bowers
URL:
http://www.jerf.org/iri
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The fact the Democratic nominations went down to the bitter end before a putative nominee is found tells me that Sen. Obama is going to have some very big trouble winning in November. He can’t get Democrats to jump on the bandwagon, how is he going to get independents? |
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Written By:
Mikey NTH
URL:
http://
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Being that I want the Democrats to lose this election cycle, I want an Obama-Kucinich ticket!
We are the ones we have been waiting for...the truth is out there! |
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Written By:
Daniel Stark
URL:
http://thestarktenet.blogspot.com
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I think McCain should offer the VP slot to Hillary. Then we could watch a re-run of McGovern (Obama) versus Tricky Dick (Hillary). |
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Written By:
Aldo
URL:
http://
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