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That fickle youth vote
Posted by: McQ on Thursday, August 21, 2008

Trouble on all sides for Obama right now. A demographic that Obama is counting on to help make the difference in November may be slipping away:
"Obama's support among voters between the ages of 18 and 29, which had been one of his strengths, slipped 12 percentage points to 52 percent. McCain, who will turn 72 next week, was winning 40 percent of younger voters."
That's according to a recent Zogby poll.

Guy Benson relates the following:
Anecdotally, I can attest that several of my friends — fellow twenty-somethings — who were once quite enthusiastic about Obama have recently expressed disappointment in his campaign. "I'm so sick of reading headlines like 'Obama Slams McCain,' or vice versa," one told me. "I thought that this campaign would actually be different, but it's not. It's depressing."
Expectations among youth who tend to be much more idealistic than older voters, are easily crushed. Benson's anecdotal observation is interesting because it points to the problem of setting certain expectations and then not living up to them. That is why it seems that McCain is able to get away with "negative campaigning" (it is expected of him) and Obama is losing support over it (coming on the realization that he is, in fact, simply another politician instead of something new).

Concludes Benson:
The more Obama wades into the mud, the less transcendent he appears, and his Unity/Hope/Change message is exposed for the vacuous nonsense that it is. This data should be worrisome for Team Obama because their ultimate base is slipping away. Perhaps it's time for another super-hip will.i.am video.
Heh ... yup, maybe it is.
 
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Here is a poll that, more or less, predicts a repeat of 2000 (i.e. Obama wins popular vote, McCain wins).

You’d think that after the fiasco of 2000 that there would have been some effort to change this, but I guess "whining rights" are more important.
 
Written By: Neo
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Neo-

Good catch. Electionprojection is a pretty reliable site
 
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Well, considering Neo’s comment, gotta go stock up on some more XM193 . . .
 
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