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October (BOOM) Surprise?
Posted by: McQ on Monday, September 22, 2008

It is blog interactivity time, dear reader.

The intel system has been hearing rumblings of a desire by al-Qaeda to influence the US elections in November as it managed to do in Spain a few years ago.

That raises the obvious question:

Which ticket would an al-Qaeda attack benefit?
McCain-Palin
Obama-Biden
Neither
  
pollcode.com free polls

And who would you think al-Qaeda would rather see win the election (which should, you'd think, have a direct bearing on whether or not they'd want to have an October surprise at all)?
Who do you think al-Qaeda would prefer to win the US presidential election?
McCain
Obama
They don't care who wins
  
pollcode.com free polls

So, that brings us to a concluding poll question:
Given your reasoning based in the last two questions, do you think AQ will attempt an "October surprise"?
Yes
No
  
pollcode.com free polls

Why?
 
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Previous Comments to this Post 

Comments
Which ticket would an al-Qaeda attack benefit?
Any signs of aggressive behavior will make people look a little harder on Obama’s foreign policy credentials, as well as his statements. He comes off looking weak, and swing voters go for McCain.
Who do you think al-Qaeda would prefer to win the US presidential election?
This is a rhetorical question, right?

Given your reasoning based in the last two questions, do you think AQ will attempt an "October surprise"?
I think they’ve realized our national resolve is not something you want to attack straight up. That gets everyone fired up, shuts up the super liberals, and generally gives the president the support needed to do things like declare war. Now, make it a long drawn out war of attrition....??? That’s a whole other can of peas.
 
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Written By: bort
URL: http://
Even though I believe an attack would help McCain,who they don’t want as president,IMHO they would try anyway because they do not understand our system of government, our culture and our people. They believe what the MSM reports and the Left politicians say; from those reports they believe we are weak and uncompromisingly divided. They thought, according to an interview with Osama bin Laden, that the 2001 attack on NYC would cause NY State to try to succeed from the US and it would destroy our economy. Maybe they have learned, but I believe that their hatred blinds their understanding of our country. Even the Soviets had misconceptions about us because of their own propaganda and political PC requirements even though they certainly had American experts available.
 
Written By: AMR
URL: http://
Were I AQ, I wouldn’t undertake an attack in October, since I think I woulod prefer Obama, and an attack would help McCain...

Then again, I’m not AQ, and they have made MASSIVE errors before...
 
Written By: Scott Jacobs
URL: http://
Which ticket would an al-Qaeda attack benefit?
I said ’Neither’. Because many people know better. But Obama, with friends in the media, has a better noise machine.

The financial sector problems are being successfully laid entirely at the feet of Republicans.
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
I am currently reading, A Legacy of Ashes (The History of the CIA). With all of the blown CIA operations fresh in my mind from reading the book, it seems completely plausible that Al Queada and Bin Lardass are CIA constructs and that they have done as directed by the CIA or have tried to do as directed and as so often happens, screwed the pooch in the process of trying to perform for their CIA handlers.

So, did the CIA direct the WTC and Pentagon attacks? Not likely, but they could have directed that some or more of their operatives "take-out" certain individual targets and those orders could have been misinterpreted along the way.

In the Legacy of Ashes, it is postulated that orders from Bobby Kennedy that were intended to create a "hit" on Castro, ended up being blown, then the hit was reversed and ended up getting Jack Kennedy assassinated.

Given the monkey business that our CIA has been involved in ever since the end of WWII, it is easy to believe that Al Queada and Bin Laden are either renegade CIA operations or CIA plots that have backfired. In another fifty years when we see some de-classified documents we may find out.

If you don’t want to wait fifty years, throw the bums out of office and get a new, more open government; one that will pledge to adopt and maintain a non-interventionist foreign policy and that will pledge to have no more undeclared wars.
 
Written By: J. Tyler Ballance
URL: http://
Were al Qaeda to attack the United States before the November election, Democrats would be jumping up and down like they had pogo sticks for kegs, screaming, "It’s all Bush-McCain’s fault. They didn’t do enough to prevent the attacks. Or their warmongering brought the attacks upon us. Or, for some other reason, it’s Bush-McCain’s fault!"

And millions of Americans would buy it and vote accordingly. Remember, a guy with close ties to an unrepentant bomber and a convicted felon, whose spiritual mentor screams "God damn America!" is already within a stone’s throw of the presidency. And only 65,000 or so Ohioans prevented the underaccomplished John Kerry from becoming commander in chief of a military he once disparaged.
 
Written By: Diffus
URL: http://
I think it would hurt Obama because of his national security cred (and the Ayers connection.) Though maybe is the attack came from Pakistan, he would look better?

I think some in AQ understand our system, and some don’t. But they do need PR to keep their cause going, and the best PR they can get is from sensational attacks that get in the media.

Also, they did succeed in Spain with one of these surprises. Who knows, it could work here I guess.
 
Written By: Harun
URL: http://
I’ve come to the conclusion that a McCain presidency will only stave off the Anointed Bearer of the Social!st Utopia (whoever that is) for a few years. But the Dumbing of America is only getting worse. The Media will get its way and the Anointed Bearer of the Social!st Utopia will eventually be elected.

The questions are whether we can tolerated it better soon or later and which one will it be?
 
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
If bin Laden orders another strike before November 4, he can guarantee that Obama will lose.

The left wing media will go crazy (and try to downplay whatever the incident is), but if it is as big as a Madrid or a London, then McCain will see a +5 rise in the polls.

October surprise? That will be the November surprise for Democrats across the board.
 
Written By: James Marsden
URL: http://
I think AQ looks upo the success of the Madrid bombings and how the result of those attacks threw the Spanish elections to the far left. AQ does not understand the US. If they did they would never have even attempted 911 - at least not on US soil.
If you don’t want to wait fifty years, throw the bums out of office and get a new, more open government; one that will pledge to adopt and maintain a non-interventionist foreign policy and that will pledge to have no more undeclared wars.
What a maroon!
 
Written By: SShiell
URL: http://
Why wouldn’t AQ prefer McCain to win? He’s for attacking Iran, which is their enemy, and against threatening Pakistan, which is where they are.

Again, what AQ wanted to achieve with 9/11 was not some idiotic scenario like NY seceding from USA, but to replicate the economic collapse of the Soviet Union. So far Bush is making his best to help AQ in this endeavor, even vastly outperforming. Given the fact that Osama did help Bush win in 2004, there would be nothing surprising if he tried to help McCain as well.
 
Written By: Nikolay
URL: http://
1. An attack would probably help The Annointed One due to the MSM’s gleeful efforts to paint the attack as the result of Bush’s policies (lax security measures, war in Iraq making us more dangerous, etc) and linking him to McCain.

2. Who does AQ (and Putin, and the norkies, and Red China, and Chavez) want to win? Is that a serious question?

3. AQ will attack if they can not only to try to influence the election, but also reestablish their own creds. They’ve been taking a beating in Iraq and haven’t been able to hit us on our home soil in years. It looks kind of bad for them despite the MSM’s willing efforts to prop them up.

jpm100 - I’ve come to the conclusion that a McCain presidency will only stave off the Anointed Bearer of the Social!st Utopia (whoever that is) for a few years. But the Dumbing of America is only getting worse. The Media will get its way and the Anointed Bearer of the Social!st Utopia will eventually be elected.

I’m afraid you’re right. It sucks.
 
Written By: docjim505
URL: http://
I am currently reading, A Legacy of Ashes (The History of the CIA).
Please! There are certain things that you should not see and read since you obviously do not have the ability to discern reality from fantasy. These things will only scare you, Please avoid conspiracy books, horror stories, and murder mysteries in the future.

The CIA was a cock up from the very beginning, but there is nothing they have ever done that was ever kept a secret(or done competently). Now, put your tin foil hat back on.
 
Written By: kyleN
URL: http://impudent.blognation.us/blog
an attack would benefit senor mccain. and aq would much prefer senor mccain to replace senor bush on their recruitment posters. rhetorical questions indeed.

unfortunately even dumb gringos have seen what happens when you give the keys to idiots, so in the end nothing will help senor bottom-of-his-class.
 
Written By: pedro the illegal alien
URL: http://
Why wouldn’t AQ prefer McCain to win? He’s for attacking Iran, which is their enemy, and against threatening Pakistan, which is where they are.


McCain is for attacking Iran?

And, since al Quada may be within Pakistan, attacking Pakistan is a good plan? Or is it just something stupid Obama said?

Obama is/was for the defeat of the US in Iraq, which would play perfectly into Al Quada hands. A weak, hesitent, and foolish politician like Obama would be good for terrorists all oven, including his own sponser, Ayers.
Again, what AQ wanted to achieve with 9/11 was not some idiotic scenario like NY seceding from USA, but to replicate the economic collapse of the Soviet Union. So far Bush is making his best to help AQ in this endeavor, even vastly outperforming. Given the fact that Osama did help Bush win in 2004, there would be nothing surprising if he tried to help McCain as well.
The current financial crises lies almost entirely with the Democrats, too a large degree on the Clinton Administration due to their efforts at making homes affordable by those who couldn’t afford them, causing the housing bubble. Of course, Al Quada likely doesn’t understand free markets, and may agree with you on this one.

However, it appeared that bin Laden was rooting for Kerry last time around. My guess is, if he’s still alive, he’s rooting for Obama.
 
Written By: Don
URL: http://
Part A could, in the minds of voters, go either way.

Either "Blame Bush for not somehow stopping it, and McCain = Bush so McCain bad" or "Christ, we can’t trust Obama and Biden* to stop this. Seriously, do we look stupid?"

(* And that’s even assuming nobody reminds them of his "give Iran $200M to remind the Arabs that we don’t hate them" idea.

Or in fairness, that Obama isn’t actually going to pull out of Iraq - but I can’t blame voters for being unaware of that, since he’s deliberately trying to make them think he will, if they’re on his side.)

Part C therefore depends on which way AlQ thinks part A swings.

(I voted "no" on C, because I think AlQ can’t manage such an operation at this point, regardless of their desires.)
 
Written By: Sigivald
URL: http://

 
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