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The Youth Vote
Posted by: McQ on Sunday, November 02, 2008

Gallup finds the frequently cited and "all important" youth vote shows signs of not materializing in the numbers that Democrats had hoped they would. In relative terms, while high, the youth vote will most likely be no higher or have any more impact than it did in 2004:
While Gallup data do suggest that voter turnout among young people will be high this year (as it was in 2004) compared to historical turnout rates, the data do not suggest that it will be appreciably higher than in 2004. Even if more young voters are registered this year, they do not appear to be any more interested in the campaign or in voting in the election than they were in 2004.

Unless turnout rates among older age groups drop substantially from what they were in 2004, young voters should represent about the same share of the electorate as in the last presidential election. And Gallup's data suggest interest in the campaign and voting are the same or higher among older voters compared to what they were in 2004.
I'd speculate that a higher rate among older voters breaks better for McCain than Obama. How much better is the question.
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Previous Comments to this Post 

Today’s youth vote becomes tomorrow’s lower middle age vote.

If its burned in their mind that they got ripped off this time by the actual vote differing from what they were told to expect, they will be more committed to vote the same way next time to restore ’justice’.

I believe the left has a long term plan and the right has barely any plan for the moment.
Written By: jpm100
URL: http://
I didn’t really become interested in politics until I was in my 30’s. Before that running the country was stuff that the grown-ups did...and yea, mid 40’s or higher seemed ancient to me. I was certainly idealistic/liberal but I wasn’t really tuned-in to the politics...none of my peers seemed to be either. Maybe things have changed with today’s youth but I doubt it. Of course back in my day there wasn’t the internet and I don’t remember political parties being quite as zealous and organized as today’s Democrats.

Written By: Bob
URL: http://
Today’s youth vote.......will generally be no-shows on Tues.

Written By: shark
URL: http://
Well, I don’t know about my friends or fellow college students, but I’ll be showing up to vote on Tuesday. I have pretty much always voted eacy cycle since I turned 18 about six years ago.

Of course, I’ll be voting for McCain and I live in PA, so I’m sure Obama would prefer I just stay home that day.
Written By: SpideyTerry
URL: http://
4 FDR Democrats in the family are voting for the Republican this time. There is hope.
Written By: amr
URL: http://
Here are the results of a groundbreaking survey that were just published a couple of days ago examining young voters and the issues that ACTUALLY influence their vote. Apparently racism and the economic crisis mean something to America’s youth! What do you all think of the findings — seems bogus to me...
Written By: Bobby
URL: http://
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Written By: 8

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