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Economic Statistics for 1 May 14

April auto sales cooled slightly, to an annual pace of 16.0 million vice March’s 16.4 million.

Challenger’s layoff count rose to 40,298 in April from 34,399 in March, led by layoffs in the retail sector.

Weekly initial jobless claims rose 16,000 to 344,000. The 4-week average rose 3,250 to 320,000. Continuing claims rose 97,000 to 2.771 million.

Personal income rose 0.5% in March, while personal spending increased by 0.9% The PCE price index rose 0.2% at both the headline and core level. On a year-over-year basis, personal income rose 3.4% while spending rose 4.0%. The PCE price index rose 1.1%, and 1.2% ex-food and -energy.

Markit’s final PMI Manufacturing Index for April fell 0.1 points to 55.4.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index plummeted from -25.4 to -37.9 in the latest week.

The ISM manufacturing composite index rose 1.4 points to 54.9 in April.

Construction spending in March rose a less-than-expected 0.2%, an increase of 8.4% from March 2013.

The Fed’s balance sheet fell $-0.3 billion last week, with total assets of $4.296 trillion. Total reserve bank credit rose by $4.6 billion.

The Fed reports that M2 money supply fell by $-25.8 billion in the latest week.


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Economic Statistics for 30 Apr 14

Real economic growth slowed to an annualized 0.1% in the 1st Quarter of 2014, well short of expectations. The GDP Price Index rose an annualized 1.3%. The ongoing sub-par economic growth we predicted in 2009 continues into its fifth year. As of yet, we have experienced no real recovery from the economic crash that began in October, 2008.

The Employment Cost Index hit a record low increase of 0.3% for 1Q 2014, a level only seen twice before in the 32 years of this index. On a year-over-year basis, the index is up 1.8%.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index made a big jump in April to 63.0 from 55.9 in March.

The MBA reports that mortgage applications plummeted -5.9% last week. Purchases fell -4.0% and re-fis -7.0%.

The Federal Open Markets Committee left interest rates unchanged today, with a Federal Funds Rate Target Level of 0% to 0.25%.

ADP’s estimate for private payroll growth in April is for 220,000 net new jobs.


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Economic Statistics for 29 Apr 14

The State Street Investor Confidence Index fell -4 points to 119 in April.

ICSC-Goldman reports weekly retail sales jumped 1.6% for the week, and were up 3.1% on a year-over-year basis. Redbook reports an 3.8% increase in retail sales over last year.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index rose 0.8% in February.

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence index was unchanged at 82.3 for April.


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Economic Statistics for 24 Apr 14

Durable goods orders rose 2.6% in March, while orders ex-transportation rose a very positive 2.0%.

Weekly initial jobless claims rose 24,000 to 329,000. The 4-week average rose 4,750 to 316,750. Continuing claims fell 61,000 to 2.680 million.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 3.7 points to -25.4 in the latest week.

The Kansas City Fed manufacturing index fell 3 points to 7 in April.

The Fed’s balance sheet rose $12.4 billion last week, with total assets of $4.296 trillion. Total reserve bank credit rose by $7.8 billion.

The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose $25.2 billion in the latest week.


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Economic Statistics for 22 Apr 14

ICSC-Goldman reports weekly retail sales rose 0.4%, and were up 1.9% on a year-over-year basis. Redbook reports a 3.7% rise in retail sales over last year.

The FHFA House Price Index rose 0.6% in February, with a year-on-year rate at 6.9%.

Sales of existing homes weakened, down -0.2% in March, to a 4.59 million annual rate.

The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index rose from -7 in March to 7 in April.


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Economic Statistics for 17 Apr 14

Weekly initial jobless claims fell 4,000 to 300,000. The 4-week average fell 4,250 to 312,000. Continuing claims fell 11,000 to 2.739 million.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 2.8 points to -29.1 in the latest week.

The Philadelphia Fed Survey rose from 9.0 to 16.6 in April.

The Fed’s balance sheet rose $39.8 billion last week, with total assets of $4.284 trillion. Total reserve bank credit rose by $39.7 billion.

The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose $41.5 billion in the latest week.


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