Initial jobless claims fell 42,000 to 338,000. The 4-week average rose 4,500 to 348,000, while continuing claims rose 46,000 to 2.923 million. Holiday volatility is still skewing the claims numbers wildly.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 2 points to -27.4 in the latest week.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose $24.5 billion last week, with total assets of $4.033 trillion. Reserve Bank credit increased $27 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $5 billion in the latest week.
The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index remained unchanged at 13 for December.
The MBA reports that mortgage applications fell -6.3% last week, with purchases down -4.0% and re-fis down -8.0%.
In weekly retail sales, ICSC Goldman reports a 1.4% weekly sales increase, and a 2.7% year-on-year increase. Meanwhile, Redbook says sales rose 3.9% on a year-ago basis. These are the strongest sales results of the holidays.
Durable goods orders rose a sharp 3.5% in November, with orders ex-transportation orders up 1.9%. On a year-over-year basis, orders are up 10.9% and ex-transportation orders are up 6.1%.
The FHFA House Price Index rose 0.5% in October, a year-over-year increase of 8.2%.
New Home Sales fell -2.1% in November, to a 464,000 annual rate. This exceeded expectations, but looks soft against a sharply upward revised October annualized rate of 474,000.
Personal income rose 0.2% in November while personal spending increased 0.5%. The PCE price index was unchanged overall, and up 0.1% at the core. On a year-over-year basis, income rose 2.3% while spending rose 3.5%. The PCE price index rose 0.9% at the headline level, and up 1.1% ex-food and energy.
The Reuter’s/University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index was unchanged at 82.5 for November.
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose from -0.18 to 0.60 in November.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index moved into the minus 20s for the first time in 10 weeks, at -29.4.
Initial jobless claims rose 11,000 last week, to 379,000. The 4-week moving average rose 14,750 to 343,500. Continuing claims rose 94,000 to 2.884 million. These are all holiday numbers, though, so the week-to-week number is pretty volatile.
The Philadelphia Fed Survey’s General Business Conditions Index rose 0.5 points to 7.0 in December.
Existing home sales fell a sharp -4.3% in November, to a 4.9 million annual rate.
The Conference Board’s index of leading indicators rose 0.8% in November.
The Commerce Department’s final GDP revision for the 3rd Quarter was revised sharply upwards to a 4.1% annual rate. The GDP Price Index remained unrevised at 2.0%. Much of the revision came from increases in personal consumption expenditures, higher exports, and lower imports.
3rd Quarter corporate profits were revised upwards to $1.869 trillion vice the initial estimate of $1.872 trillion.
The Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Survey was unchanged at 1.9% in December.
The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index fell sharply in December to -3 from last month’s 7.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose $14.1 billion last week, with total assets of $$4.008 trillion. Reserve Bank credit increased $53.0 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 Money Supply increased by $17.5 billion last week.
The Federal Open Markets Committee ended their meeting today. They announced that they would start a modest tapering on Quantitative Easing III in January starting with a $10 billion cut. They left interest rates unchanged, with the Fed Funds rate at a targeted 0% to 0.25%. Their December projections for GDP remain in modest—which is to say, below-trend territory: 2013: 2.2 to 2.3%; 2014: 2.8 to 3.2%; 2015: 3.0 to 3.4%; 2016: 2.5 to 3.2%; longer run: 2.2 to 2.4%.
Housing starts in November jumped 22.7% to a 1.091 million annual rate.
The MBA reports that mortgage applications fell -5.5% last week, with purchases down 6.0% and refinancings down 5.0%.
In weekly retail sales, Redbook reports a weak 2.9% increase from the previous year. ICSC-Goldman reports a weekly sales increase of 4.8%, but a weak a 2.0% increase on a year-over-year basis.
Consumer prices were unchanged in November, with a core CPI increase of 0.2%. Annually, the CPI is up 1.2%, and up 1.7% less food and energy.
The Housing Market Index surged 4 points to 58 in December.
The nation’s current account deficit narrowed slightly in the 3rd Quarter, to $-94.8 billion.
The NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey rose from -2.21 to 0.98 in December.
The December revision to Q3 productivity shows a 3.0% annualized rate of productivity growth, while unit labor costs fell -1.4%.
The Markit Economics PMI manufacturing index flash for December rose 0.1 points to 54.4.
Foreign net demand for US long-term securities rose $35.4 billion in October.
Industrial production for December rose a sharp 1.1%, while capacity utilization in the nation’s factories rose 0.9% to 79.0%.
Initial jobless claims rose 68,000 to 368,000. The 4-week average rose 6,000 to 328,750, while continuing claims rose 40,000 to 2.791 million. It’s the holiday period, though, so a lot of this wild swing probably comes from wonky seasonal adjustments.
Retail sales rose 0.7% in November. Less autos, sales were up 0.4%, and up 0.6% less autos and gas.
Export prices rose 0.1% in November, while import prices fell -0.6%. On a year-over-year basis, export prices are down -1.6% and import prices have fallen -1.5%.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose to -30.9 in the latest week, having risen 7 points since November.
Business inventories rose 0.7% in October, while a 0.5% increase in B2B sales left the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged at 1.29.
Information services revenue rose 1.1% in the 3rd quarter, and is up 4.9% on a year-to-year basis.
The Producer Price Index fell -0.1% in November, and rose 0.1% less food and energy. On a year-over-year basis, the PPI is up 0.7%, and up 1.3% less food and energy.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose a sharp $61.3 billion last week, with total assets of $3.994trillion. Reserve Bank credit increased $21.1 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply rose by $1.7 billion in the latest week.
The MBA reports that mortgage applications rose 1.0% last week, with purchases up 1.0% and refinancings up 2.0%.
The Treasury reports that the government’s budget deficit was $-135 billion in November, compared to $-172 billion last November.
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose a point to 92.5 in November.
In weekly retail sales, Redbook reports a weak 2.6% increase from the previous year. ICSC-Goldman shows weakness, as it reports a weekly sales drop of -1.6%, and a 1.5% increase on a year-over-year basis.
Wholesale inventories rose a very sharp 1.4% increase in October, but a 1.0% rise in sales kept the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged for a third month at 1.18.