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Economic statistics

Economic Statistics for 6 Mar 13

The following US economic statistics were announced today:

The MBA reports that mortgage applications surged by 14.8%, with both purchases and re-fis up 15.0%.

ADP reports that private payroll jobs increased by 198,000 last month, compared to a revised 215,000 in January.

New Orders for factory goods fell -2.0% in January, but that was sharply skewed by a drop in aircraft orders. Ex-transportation, orders rose 1.3%. Ex aircraft capital goods rose 7.2%.

The Fed’s Beige Book reports "that economic activity generally expanded at a modest to moderate pace since the previous Beige Book." Both the Boston and Chicago districts report slow growth. Price pressures remain moderate, according to the report.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 1 Mar 13

The following US economic statistics were announced today:

Personal income fell a steep -3.6% in January, while personal spending increased 0.2%. The PCE Price Index was unchanged, but was up 0.1% at the core level. On a year-over-year basis, income rose 2.2% while spending rose 3.2%, and PCE price index is up 1.2% overall, and 1.3% at the core level.

The PMI Manufacturing Index fell to 54.3 in February, from 55.8 last month, while the ISM Manufacturing Index rose 1.1 points to 54.2 in February.

The Reuter’s/University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index rose 1.3 points to 77.6 in February.

Construction spending fell -2.1% in January, mainly on a -5.1% decline in private nonresidential outlays and a -4.3% drop in residential renovations.

Automakers are reporting their monthly sales today. GM: 7%. Ford: 9%. Chrysler: 4%. Sales are on track for 15.5 million sales this year.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 28 Feb 13

The following US economic statistics were announced today:

Real 4th quarter GDP was revised upwards to 0.1% annualized today, as the commerce Department’s first revision of the preliminary number.The GDP price index, an inflation measure, was revised to a 0.9% annualized rate.

Initial claims for unemployment fell 22,000 last week, to 344,000. The 4-week moving average fell 6,750 to 355,000, Continuing claims fell a sharp 91,000 to 3.155 million, a recovery low.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 0.6 points to –32.8.

The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index fell to –10 from –2 last month as manufacturing activity in the district weakened.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose 1.2 points to a better-than-expected 56.8 in February.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 27 Feb 13

The following US economic statistics were announced today:

Durable goods orders plunged -5.2% in January due to a -19.8% drop in transportation orders. Ex-transportation, orders rose a strong 1.9%.

The Pending Home Sales Index rose 5.4% to 105.9 in January, solidly above expectations.

The MBA reports mortgage applications declined again last week, down -3.8%, with purchase apps falling -5.0% and re-fis down -3.0%.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 26 Feb 13

The following US economic statistics were announced today:

New home sales in January rose 15.6% to an annualized 437,000 in January, though large seasonal factors may exaggerate the winter months. Monthly supply dipped to 4.9 months from 5.6 months in December, as supplies constrain sales.

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index rose a steep 10 points in February, to a better than expected 69.6.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index rose a strong 0.9% in December, and is up 6.8% on a year-over-year basis. Similarly, the FHFA House Price Index rose 0.6% in December, and is up 5.8% on a year-over-year basis.

In weekly retail sales, Redbook is reporting a respectable 2.7% year-over-year sales growth. ICSC-Goldman Store Sales are up only 0/1% from last week, but up 2.9% from last year.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 21 Feb 13

Here are today’s statistics on the state of the economy:

Consumer prices were unchanged in January, but the core CPI (ex-food and energy) rose 0.3%. On a year-over-year basis the CPI is up 1.6%, and the core CPI is up 1.9%.

The Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2% in January, though the consumer expectations component is still depressed.

The Philadelphia Fed survey fell from -5.8 to a worse than expected -12.5 for February, as mid-Atlantic regional business conditions worsened.

Initial jobless claims surged by 20,000 to 362,000 last week. The 4-week average rose 8,000 to 360.750, and continuing claims rose 11,000 to 3.148 million.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose to -33.4, the highest level of the year so far.

Existing home sales rose slightly, up 0.4% to an annual rate of 4.92 million. Sales are up 9.1% on a year-ago basis.

The PMI Manufacturing Index Flash fell -0.3 points to 55.2, though this is still firmly in positive territory.

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Dale Franks
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Economic Statistics for 20 Feb 13

Here are today’s statistics on the state of the economy:

Producer prices rose 0.2% in January, at both the headline and core level. Year over year, the PPI rose 1.4% and was up 1.8% ex-food and energy.

The MBA reports mortgage applications fell again, down -1.7% with both purchases and re-fis down -2.0%.

Housing starts were less than expected at a 0.89 million annual rate in January. Permits, however, rose to a 0.925 million annual rate.

ICSC-Goldman reports retail sales rose 2.7% from last week, and only 1.8% from last year. Redbook, however, reports a 3.1% annual increase.

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Dale Franks
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