The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index moved further into positive territory in June, rising 5 points to a reading of 6.
Led by a -49% drop in aircraft orders, May durable goods orders fell once again by -1.8% overall. April’s number was revised down to -1.5%. Ex-Transportation orders rose 0.5%.
Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales remain soft, rising to 1.6% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 1.1%.
The FHFA House Price Index rose 0.3% in April, with a year-on-year increase of 5.3%.
The PMI Manufacturing Index Flash fell -0.4 points in June, to 53.4.
New Home Sales continued April’s big gain, up 2.2% in May to a 546,000 annual rate. April’s gain was revised upwards to 8.1% to a 534,000 annual rate.
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in May, while the CPI less food & energy rose 0.1%. On a year-over-year basis, the CPI is unchanged at the headline level, while the core CPI is up 1.7%.
The nation’s current account deficit for the 1st Quarter came in at the low end of expectations, at $-113.3 billion.
The Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey jumped above expectations, rising 7.5 points to 15.2 in May.
The Conference Board reports that the index of leading economic indicators rose 0.7% in May.
Initial weekly jobless claims fell 12,000 to 267,000. The 4-week average fell 2,000 to 276,750. Continuing claims fell 50,000 to 2.222 million.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose 0.8 points to 40.9 in the latest week.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose $19.8 billion last week, with total assets of $4.487 trillion. Reserve bank credit rose $23.1 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply fell by $9.3 billion in the latest week.
Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales were still soft, rising to 1.2% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 1.1%.
Housing starts fell -11.1% in May, from April’s record high pace, to a still-strong 1.036 million annual rate. Building permits—an indicator of future construction activity—rose 11.8%, as well, to a 1.275 million annual rate. April’s initial result was revised even higher, up 22.1% from march to a 1.165 million rate.
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey turned slightly less negative in June, rising from -3.09 to -1.98.
The Fed reports industrial production fell -0.2% in May, while capacity utilization in the nation’s factories fell -0.1% to 78.1%.
The Housing Market Index rose from 54 to 59 in June.
Foreign Demand for Long-Term U.S. Securities jumped to $53.9 billion in April on heavy buying of government agency bonds.
Producer Prices for Final Demand rose 0.5% in May. Prices less food and energy rose 0.1%. Prices less food, energy & trade services fell -0.1%. On a year-over-year basis, PPI-FD is down -1.1%, less food & energy up 0.6%, and less food, energy, and trade services up 0.6%. Other numbers from the release:
PPI-FD Goods – M/M change: 1.3 %
PPI-FD Goods – Y/Y change: -4.3%
PPI-FD Services – M/M change: 0.0%
PPI-FD Services – Y/Y change: 0.6%
The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index rose 3.9 points to 94.6.
Retail Sales for May rose 1.2% overall, 1.0% less autos, and 0.7% less autos and gas. This looks like a rebound from the soft 1st Quarter.
Export prices rose 0.6% in May, while import prices rose 1.3%, after a year of declines. On a year-over-year basis, export prices are down -5.9% and import prices are down -9.6%.
Business inventories rose 0.4% in April, while a strong 0.6% increase in business sales left the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged at 1.36.
Initial weekly jobless claims rose 3,000 to 279,000. The 4-week average rose 3,750 to 278,750. Continuing claims rose 61,000 to 2.265 million.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell -0.4 points to 40.1 in the latest week.
The Fed’s balance sheet rose $2.7 billion last week, with total assets of $4.468 trillion. Reserve bank credit rose $7.1 billion.
The Fed reports that M2 money supply fell by $-15.0 billion in the latest week.
The MBA reports that mortgage applications rose 8.4% last week, with purchases up 10.0% and refis up 7.0%.
Information revenue rose 0.4% in the 1st Quarter. Year-on-year, information revenue rose 3.0%.
The Treasury reports an $-82.4 billion deficit for may, with tax receipts up 12.4% and spending up 4.0%. The deficit is running 16.3% below last fiscal year, at $365.2 billion vice $436.4 billion this time last year.
Redbook reports that last week’s retail sales continued to disappoint, down to 1.2% on a year-ago basis, from the previous week’s 1.7%.
The NFIB’s small business optimism index came in well above expectations, at 98.3 for a very solid 1.4 point gain in May.
Wholesale inventories rose 0.4% in April but far below a giant 1.6% surge in sales. The stock-to-sales ratio edged down to 1.29 from 1.30.
The Labor Department’s JOLTS Report shows April job openings at 5.376 million, the highest reading in the history of the series since 2000.